9/19: Belmont Park (4th-10th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 22nd Noble Damsel (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Does Rutherienne win here? Probably.. Should you take $3 on a notorious hanger that refuses to win against whatever level of competition she faces? Absolutely not. Fred Seitz' filly has the hedge, Ramon and 5 pounds on the favorite. She's nearly as fast too and will be at least a $20 prop. I'll bite.

Best Value: #1 Meadow Saffron 15-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Rutherienne 1-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Quiet Meadow 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Social Queen 8-1 3rd


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Sunny 5-1 9th
Most Likely: #1 Es Mia 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Casa Di Vino 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Simple Western 8-1 WON

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 7 with 1-2-3-6 with 1-2-3-4-5-6 with All (1x4x5x7 = 140 x .10 = $14.00)


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Pictural 6-1 8th
Most Likely: #4 Picou 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Brother Nick 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Crown Point 20-1 9th

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 4-5 with 4-5 with 2-3-6-8-9-11 with All (2x1x6x8 = 960 x .10 = $9.60)


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 D' Wildcard 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Live On the Edge 7-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Pavoratti's Soul 10-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Stroll for Acure 2-1 5th


8th: 120th Futurity (Gr. II), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 D' Funnybone 6-5 WON
Next Best: #1 Discreetly Mine 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Successful Score 10-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Thiskyhasnolimit 12-1 3rd

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-6 with 1-6-7-8 with 1-3-6-7-8 with All (2x3x3x5 = 90 x .10 = $9.00)


9th: 103rd Matron (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)

Very well-matched group of fillies.. Will play against 2-1 Violette fave..

Most Likely: #4 Awesome Maria 7-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Worship the Moon 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Speightful Lady 6-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Southern Truth 20-1 4th


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Terrific nightcap with mind-bendingly balanced bunch of solid state-breds. Respect ML fave #10 Scientist (3-1), but simply compelled to find prices here. Impossible finish to very tough P4..

Best Value: #2 Globemaster 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #12 Livin Large 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Too Amenable 8-1 WON
Super Add: #3 Gamblin Fever 15-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

Murderously tough quad..

7: 1-4
8: 1-6
9: 1-2-4-5-6-8
10: 2-5-12

2x2x6x3 = $72

P4 Paid $268.50


Good luck!
Steve