Early betting on Belmont?

[tiznowthegreat]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

I think we can safely assume that the final odds will bear little relation to those odds!

A better predictor is the future odds at TheGreek. (Pinnacle doesn't have straight future odds.) TheGreek's odds on Curlin have dropped from 6-5 to even money. Hard Spun has dropped from 4.05-1 to 3.85-1. Rags to Riches has risen from 3.05-1 to 3.45-1.

Interestingly, Bodog is offering the morning line odds on its futures. (Curlin is still 6-5 there). If you combine the best from Bodog and TheGreek, the takeout is just 11%.

fwiw, here's my guess at closing odds:
Imawild, 20
Tiago, 12
Curlin, 4-5
CP West, 15
Slew's Tizzy, 25
Hard Spun, 4
Rags to Riches, 4

--Dunbar

I think that Tiago will be single digits as he appears to be the "wise guy" horse for the race (i.e. Circular Quay in the preakness)