Derby Future Odds, Presented by Dunbar

[Dunbar]

I thought it might be of interest to compare the last future odds I posted (on Friday, May 4) to the parimutual payouts. The first number is the future odds from Friday, the 2nd number is the parimutual:


Sedgefield 70, 58.60
Curlin 4.85, 5.00
Zanjero 25, 36.00
StormInMay 72.5 , 27.20
ImaWildGuy 75, 28.90
CowtownCat 28.5 , 19.80
StreetSense 5.39 , 4.90
HardSpun 15.25 , 10.00
Liquidity 46.98 , 40.00
Teuflesberg 80 , 51.90
Bwana Bull 70, 50.30
Nobiz 8.9, 10.40
SamP 40, 43.70
ScatDaddy 8.85 , 7.20
Tiago 18.15 , 14.80
CircQuay 9 , 11.40
Stormello 40 , 44.80
AGS 16.15 , 13.60
Dominican 25.5, 24.90
Great Hunter 27, 25.30

6 of the 20 horses would have paid more in the parimutuals than the highest futures on Friday. Curlin was the best finisher of those 6.

I don't understand what the bettors saw in Storm In May to make him 27-1. I thought the futures price of 72-1 was more realistic. Huge difference, too, between the future on Imawildandcrazyguy at 75-1 and the parimutual at 28-1.

--Dunbar