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Old 09-05-2025, 05:47 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,160
Default 9/6: KY Downs (Mint Millions Day); Colonial (Oaks); Del Mar (6th-10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sadie Earp 9-5: Way the horse to beat.. WON ($6.32)
Best Value: #6 Sonic Sass 8-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Triskelion 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mony Mony 10-1 5th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 12.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #13 Tres Soles 20-1: Draws in and coming around to big effort.. 10th
Next Best: #7 Out of Deductions 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Sugoi 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Risk Manager 8-1 WON ($15.84)


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Aunt Mo 8-1: First turf route last time makes her a player.. 4th
Next Best: #12 Steampunk 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Classy'n Connected 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Love You Anyway 9-2 2nd


4th: ALW/NC, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Love Cervere 7-2: Imposing and Joel knows her well.. 2nd
Best Value: #2 Ninth Island 20-1 12th
Next Best: #8 Justinqueso 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Proud Starlet 4-1 3rd


5th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Playa Azul 15-1: Rajiv comes to KYD with a chance to wire.. 4th
Next Best: #11 Don't Look Now 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Crimsonite 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Cleopatra Selene 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 7-13 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
3: 3-12 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)
5: 5-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-8 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

2: 7-13 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
3: 3-12 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
4: 2-9 (A), - (B), 8-12 (C)
5: 5-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (8-12 in 4th)


6th: Ladies Marathon (G3), F&M-3+, 12.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Spanish Eyes 7-2: Walsh came alive Thursday and is poised for more today.. 9th
Next Best: #3 Beach Bomb 9-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Way to Be Marie 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Miwa 4-1 3rd

Hate leaving out: #6 Stellify 6-1 WON ($6.22)


7th: Mint Millions (G3), 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Cairo 12-1: Million was too far for him; Price irresistible.. 11th
Next Best: #5 Spirit of St Louis 6-1 12th
Exotics Use: #7 Brilliant Bertie 8-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Lagynos 4-1 2nd

Hate leaving out: #1 Goliad 5-1 8th


8th: Gun Runner, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Clever Again 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 New Century 5-1 10th
Best Value: #13 Tiz Dashing 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Namaron 4-1 3rd

Hate leaving out: #4 Giocoso 6-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

4: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 5-6-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 1-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup (AACAA): 1x4x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (6-8 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

5: 5-11 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
6: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 1-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-8 in 5th)


9th: Music City (G2), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Pondering 8-1: Walsh live again ~ if stretch out within her scope.. 10th
Next Best: #9 Kilwin 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Shisospicy 3-1 WON ($8.42)
Super Add: #5 Tabiti 5-1 3rd


10th: Franklin-Simpson (G1), 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Nearly impossible group with 6 obvious win candidates (2-4-5-7-8-9) and 3 longshots (1-3-6) that own wins (one via DQ) over the course..

Best Value: #5 Antisocial 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Troubleshooting 6-1 WON ($13.84)
Exotics Use: #7 Governor Sam 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Golden Afternoon 20-1 2nd

$1 EX (2/1) $54.17
$1 TRI (2/1/7) $388.68
$1 SUPER (2/1/7/5) $2,179.00



11th: Turf Cup (G2), 3+, 12f (DD)

Best Value: #10 Corruption 6-1: Keeps improving and excelling at 12f.. 3rd
Next Best: #11 Fort Washington 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Anglophile 8-1 DH-7th
Super Add: #5 Mercante 5-1 4th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 She's On a Roll 6-1: Improved on lawn; Victor/Wesley connected Thursday (Navy Seal, $9.60).. 3rd
Best Value: #9 Prodigious 12-1: Half to Emmanuel had early trouble in debut.. 9th
Next Best:: #3 Spun Legacy 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Hot Ice 15-1 11th


P5 Grid:

8: 7-10 (A), 1-13 (B), - (C)
9: 7-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

9: 7-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18



COLONIAL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: Old Dominion Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #5 MISCHIEF IN MOTION 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Will Then SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Evershed 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Sigh No More 5-1 5th


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2025 at 07:57 AM.
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