8/27: Saratoga; Del Mar (C/O's)

[Kasept]

Ended Week 5 of Spa session well with improved results closing out Sunday and Monday after week long dry spell. Was unable to capitalize on both successful P4 singles, but caught early and late P3's and a couple of well-priced winners/exactas. Hope you did OK. Meet's final week kicks off with $55k carryover and Del Mar offers a $111k pot...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: The Happy Intellectual, 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2e Fisher entry 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Prep School 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Looks Good Junic 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Langburg 6-1 4th


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 That's a Good Thing 8-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Frosty Diamond 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Retriever 6-1 3rd


3rd: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Ofcr. Shiela T Rex 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Majestic Moon 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Calling My Colors 3-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Last Desire 9-2 4th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Golden Man 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Storm Boot Gold 15-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Kamboo Man 5-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Auto City 12-1 7th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Very tough way to start P6.. Will be tough to exclude Jerkens, Hough..

Most Likely: #5 Majestic Blue 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Madison Heights 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Mayor Marv 2-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

Super tricky Quad..

2: 3-5-7
3: 7
4: 2-3-4-5-7-8-9-10
5: 3-5-6

3x1x8x3 = $72


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Figure many will be P6 singling Kiaran entry, but I fear Casse's #7 and will include on main play..

Most Likely: #1e KMc entry 2-1 WON/5th
Best Value: #7 Moonshine Hall 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 True Dancer 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Storming Off 12-1


7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Outrageously intriguing Empire-bred heat that screams trouble..

Most Likely: #4 Zipolina 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Grace's Valentine 4-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Our Golden Dream 5-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Lilly of Paradise 30-1 5th


8th: The Mollie Wilmot, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Fabulous betting race with well-matched field of state-breds of which only 3 or so can be dismissed..

Most Likely: #7 Rewrite 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Nehantic Cat 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 You Go West Girl 3-1 6th
Super Adds: #4 Nedjma 12-1 2nd; #8 Love Cove 10-1 3rd

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 5-7 over 3-4-5-7-8-9 (2x5x4x3 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


9th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Excess Capital 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Yield Bogey 10-1 WON
Next Best: #6 He Struck It Rich 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Distortedamusement 6-1 6th


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Wow.. If you happen to alive to this nightcap, make sure there aren't any sharp instruments close by. Terrific finale..

Most Likely: #2 Piazza Di Spagna 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Howdyamissthisone 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sammy's Toy 3-1 8th
Super Add: #11 See More Spirit 30-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-5-6
6: 1-7
7: 4-7
8: 5-7
9: 4
10: 2-4-5-11

3x2x2x2x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-7
8: 3-4-5-7-8-9
9: 4
10: 1-2-4-5-7-11

2x6x1x6 = $72



DEL MAR 3rd-8th ($111k C/O)


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Helmsgold 6-1
Best Value: #4 Hotitude 5-1
Next Best: #6 Too Phar 7-2
Super Add: #11 Velvety Smooth 9-2


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Burnt 5-2
Best Value: #9 Narley Darley 5-1
Next Best: #3 Renees Beauty 4-1
Super Add: #8 Miss Lydia 6-1 WON


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Inspiration Within 3-1
Best Value: #3 Persian Honey 20-1
Next Best: #4 Awesome Empress 5-1
Super Add: #6 Asian Eyes 6-1


6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Stathy 8-1
Most Likely: #3 One on the House 3-1
Next Best: #4 Royal Vision 9-2
Super Add: #9 Trulymet'smydaddy 15-1


7th: 16th General Portion, 2yo Cal-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Ten Churros 3-1
Best Value: #1 Spanish Ice 10-1
Next Best: #5 Streamin Heat 7-2
Super Add: #6 Listisimo 12-1


8th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (Super Hi 5)

Most Likely: #11 Chief Poniso 12-1
Best Value: #5 Lion Heart Victory 20-1
Next Best: #8 Brave Justice 7-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Skim Scam 5-1
Hi 5 Play: #10 Warren's Tony R. 5-1


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-4
4: 5-9
5: 3-4-6-7
6: 5
7: 1-8
8: 5-8-11

2x2x4x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 3-4-6-7
6: 3-4-5
7: 1-8
8: 5-8-11

4x3x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[asudevil]

Missing J B Wine

[docicu3]

Steve, what made you want to leave Indian Hawke out of your P4 or was that a typo intending to wheel them all as they were indistinguishable?