Hollywood 6/20 early pick 4

[MaTH716]

Another slow dog day at work. Took a look at what seems to be a tough sequance which includes 2/ 25,000 maiden claimer races. Hopefully we can do a little better than the chalky $297 payout we got last Friday night.
RACE 1
#1 ANGELETTA-Hollendorfer filly has been has been close her last few starts and I think the extra distance will be good for her. Consistant beyers plus hopefully being able to save ground by being on the rail. Does lose Bejerano to the 3, but picks up Rosario who is winning at a 43% clip when riding for Mr. H.
#4 EXCLUSIVE DANIELLE-She should be on the lead and try to go wire to wire. She might have some pressure from the 5 to her outside. She has hit the board in all 4 of her starts at Hollywood and all 3 starts at the distance.
#6 BYE BYE LADIES-The shades come off this 6 year old making her 2nd start in the Mullins barn. Stalk/Closer type should be in good position at the top of the stretch. She finished a neck in front of the 1 last time out.

Beware of the #3MARK SET GO Picks up Bejerano, looks like she had some trouble in the last 2 and should be in a good stalking spot . Raffie is winning at a 40% clip when riding for Mike Mitchell. Right now I am not using her, but there is a chance I switch her with the 4.

RACE 2
#2 PASS ME THE SUGAR-First start in 11 months for this filly that did not run badly, showed some speed and took some money in her debut in a maiden 62k race. A couple of good drills for a trainer who is winning at a 32% clip in his 2nd starts. Picks up Smokin Joe who is winning at 41% when riding for Koriner.
#4 CHARLOTTA-Taking a stab at 1 of only 3, 4 year olds in the race. Didn't run bad in her last race for 32k and taking a slight drop. She was near a quick pace last time and wasn't disgraced, expect her to be close to the pace again.
#8 SPRING CATCH-2 near misses since coming off the bench of the lightly raced Neil French barn. Another 4 year old that looks like she could run from on or off the pace. Most likely favorite and probably single on some tickets.
I am taking a stand against the 12 SERBIANA, picking up T. Baze. She will be on or near the lead. I am hoping she gets a wide trip and ends up out of the win slot.

RACE 3
#2 KALOOKAN DANCER-Looks like the lone speed in the race, drilled a 1:12 in her last workout on the 14th of June. The only question is the layoff for a low % trainer.
#4 LEMON KISS-Probable single/odds on favorite for the combo of Hollendorfer and Bejerano. She has won her last 2 races. This is her 2nd start of a layoff and has 2 bullet works heading into this race. Only other note is that she has never raced on a synthetic track before (the last bullet of 1:11 was at Hollywood park).

RACE 4
#2 HASTY COURT-This is the bottom for this 160k purchase. Has decent Beyers compared to much of this field. A couple of good works going into his 4th career start. Hopefully he can avoid some of the trouble that it seems that he encounted in his first few races.
#6 STAG ON THE RUN-Burned up some money as the favorite last time when running for 32k. 3rd place finisher of that race won next time out. His 75 Beyer 2 back is the best of this field, the winner of that race also came back to win next out. He should be near the front of this group that really doesn't have any speedballs.
#14 FIRE SCOUT-2nd time starter for the Koriner/Talamo connections(see gaudy numbers above), that showed some speed in his 1st start and took some money. Tough post, but looking to add a possible price.

NOTE:The A/E horses do warrant a look if they draw into the race.

1)1,4,6
2)2,4,8
3)2,4
4)2,6,14
$1 pick4 $54
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!

[-BT-]

I wanted to single the chalk in the 3rd leg but i can't pull the trigger. First time poly and Kalookan Dancer looks to be the loan speed in the race.....probably gonna use them both

i was glancing over the PP's at lunch and i think my structure is gonna be something like
2x4x2x4 tonight
Although there are some big price horses in both those maiden races i'd like to use as well....

-bt-

[the_fat_man]

I wouldn't leave out Serbiana in the 2nd. The cutback in distance and the rider switch should get her a more patient ride today.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

I wouldn't leave out Serbiana in the 2nd. The cutback in distance and the rider switch should get her a more patient ride today.

I agree with the thread starter and this mention, as well.
I'm going to single the chalk in the 3rd, even though it may kill my ticket. I just can't find a more inexpensive way to play the early pk. 4

1) 1, 4, 6
2) 5, 8, 12
3) 4
4) 6,7,15,16 (if eligible)

$36

[Rootdog1]

early 4

1)1,3,6
2)2,3,4,5,8
3)4,5
4)6,8,12
$90
Or single the #6 in the 4th for $30

[ArlJim78]

early ticket

1) 1 6
2) 5 8 12
3) 3 4
4) 2 3 6 8
$48

[hockey2315]

#9 Rock the Rock in the 6th. . .

The trainer's not particularly good with firsters but this horse has superior turf breeding and a nice work-tab. The fact that he's debuting at 4 isn't ideal but he seems to be on track now and may be more mature than the 3 year-olds. If he's anywhere close to his 12-1 morning line he's worth a flyer.

[Lava]

Race 1 $2 Pick 4
1)1,4,6
2)1,5,8,12
3)2,4
4)6,15

$96

[-BT-]

like i said in the earlier posts i think there could be some value in the maiden races tonight

R2) #7 Terra Bella m/l 30-1

R6) #6 Casue m/l 20-1

am i stretching or onto something?


gl all

-bt-

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by -BT-

like i said in the earlier posts i think there could be some value in the maiden races tonight

R2) #7 Terra Bella m/l 30-1

R6) #6 Cause m/l 20-1

am i stretching or onto something?

-bt-

I'm not seeing it - what do you like about him?

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

#9 Rock the Rock in the 6th. . .

The trainer's not particularly good with firsters but this horse has superior turf breeding and a nice work-tab. The fact that he's debuting at 4 isn't ideal but he seems to be on track now and may be more mature than the 3 year-olds. If he's anywhere close to his 12-1 morning line he's worth a flyer.

i like this horse a little......along with the other 2 firsters... the giant and fu-peg

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I'm not seeing it - what do you like about him?

your right on sir...

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I'm not seeing it - what do you like about him?

its a giants casueway, and everyone who has run, has done NOTHING.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by jcs11204

i like this horse a little......along with the other 2 firsters... the giant and fu-peg

Ya . . . the GC and the fu-peg have bad dam sides. . . The 11 looks like the one to beat but he won't be any kind of price.

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Ya . . . the GC and the fu-peg have bad dam sides. . . The 11 looks like the one to beat but he won't be any kind of price.

i used the 11
and the three firsters in the pick 3

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by jcs11204

its a giants casueway, and everyone who has run, has done NOTHING.

He's got a pretty awful 1st and 2nd dam (3rd dam won BC Juv. Fillies but hasn't been a very good producer). . . he probably wants more ground. . . and his trainer is 0-fer in all the relevant categories.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by -BT-

like i said in the earlier posts i think there could be some value in the maiden races tonight

R2) #7 Terra Bella m/l 30-1

R6) #6 Casue m/l 20-1

am i stretching or onto something?


gl all

-bt-

I like the workout, plus she had some trouble in the first race. I wouldn't suprise me if he ran well, but she is one of those horses I can't afford to put on a pick 4 ticket.

[XIIPointStables]

Packing for a wedding in CT tomorrow for people I don't know (g/f is dragging me)..ugh.

Let's try to make it back to back weeks with the early P4.

1,3,4,6
2,10,12
4
6,13,14

$36 ticket

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by -BT-

like i said in the earlier posts i think there could be some value in the maiden races tonight

R2) #7 Terra Bella m/l 30-1

R6) #6 Casue m/l 20-1

am i stretching or onto something?


gl all

-bt-

#7 Excuse last out.... comes back with 2 fast works. I still think the #2 is the horse to beat in that race, but 30-1 looked nice against the world beaters

#6 Cause, high priced colt for a lightly raced trainer, decent works

like i said, just a thought, it's not like i'm putting a g-bar on them

R1) PK3/PK4

16
258 12
24
268 13


gl all

-bt-

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Early 4

1,3
2,4,5,12
2,4
2,3,6,8,14

$80

i like 4, 7 in the first.... good luck though