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Originally Posted by miraja2
You seem a bit confused.
Is anyone talking about betting him in his next race? I don't think so. Depending on which race he enters next, what the field looks like in terms of likely pace scenario and quality, he might very well be a good "bet against" horse. You seem to be saying in your earlier post that this fact makes it stupid for him to have his own thread. I couldn't disagree more.
The horse just ran a very fast race (119 BSF). How often do horses run those kinds of races? Are there so many other interesting things to talk about in this sport in the middle of January that we shouldn't waste our time talking about it? That seems pretty stupid to me.
Also, the fact that his last really big win came two and half years ago (which, for some reason, you decided to illustrate in that rather lengthy manner) only makes it more obvious that this horse accomplished something impressive. How many horses can ever run a race like that at any point in their careers? The fact that he did it at age 7 despite his history of problems makes it even more impressive.
You rightly point out that this doesn't ensure that he will win next time out, but so what?
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The 119 Beyer against questionable opposition pretty much guarantees he'll be overbet.
What he did the other day is what he does. Put him against a classified allowance field where he's bet down to microscopic odds, he clears and he wins huge. He's a classic bully. Put him in against horses who are as talented and they'll break him.
01-21-2008, 04:43 PM
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