Prediction List

justindew · #1 07-04-2007, 08:40 AM

I try to avoid being one of those people who makes tons of predictions and then never mentions them again unless they prove to be correct. Thus, below I have listed a few of mine from this spring:

1) Street Sense will never race again.
2) Nobiz Like Shobiz will ultimately prove to be the best horse in this crop.
3) Zanjero will win a Grade I someday.

Laugh away, but I think I will hit 2 of 3.

Samarta · #2 07-04-2007, 08:53 AM

I can see 2 of those 3 happening.....the question is will Nobiz or Zanjero be the 2nd one......

robfla · #3 07-04-2007, 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew

2) Nobiz Like Shobiz will ultimately prove to be the best horse in this crop.
.

You've been on the NoBiz bandwagon for quite some time now, including your pick in the Derby. Yeah, the horse is a nice horse, but best in crop? He will have to move forward quite a bit to reach that pinnacle. Sometimes people get "married" to a certain horse. I think it's time for a divorce!

He runs his steady decent races, but just look at that trip he had in the Derby. Absolutely perfect with no excuses. He just wasn't fast enough then, and might not be fast enough now. He just doesn't have the late kick necessary to be the cream of the crop. All or most of his wins have been mediocre, with perfect trips, and he is always overbet.

Lets see how he runs today, I hope he runs well and establishes that he belongs in the top.

Are you going to CRC for the SOS? Stop by and say hi.

Good Luck

Hickory Hill Hoff · #4 07-04-2007, 09:19 AM

I predict that Showbiz will not nearly be as good as today's Wadsworth Memorial winner!

justindew · #5 07-04-2007, 09:19 AM

Rob,

Probably not heading to Calder, simply because of my stupid promise to just watch the sport until Saratoga.

Nobiz's Derby race looked like a classic case of "Not-Handling-The-Track Syndrome." We all know that happens to some horses at Churchill. He may be one of them. We'll see how the rest of the summer shakes out. But if Street Sense heads to the farm, Nobiz has the right to make a run at the title starting with a win today.

robfla · #6 07-04-2007, 09:22 AM

promises are made to be broken. How many people have "promised to never post again if __ horse loses".

How could u miss the Summit. I admire your stubbornness

Split Rock · #7 07-04-2007, 09:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew

I try to avoid being one of those people who makes tons of predictions and then never mentions them again unless they prove to be correct. Thus, below I have listed a few of mine from this spring:

1) Street Sense will never race again.
2) Nobiz Like Shobiz will ultimately prove to be the best horse in this crop.
3) Zanjero will win a Grade I someday.

Laugh away, but I think I will hit 2 of 3.

Interesting.....here are my three:

1) A top trainer like Wesley Ward or Thomas Amoss will be the next name trainer to sit out 6 months
2) Discreet Cat will never win again
3) Three 2007 Breeders Cup winners are racing on Juy 4th, 2007. They are RONDO (SPRINT), NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ (CLASSIC) and BOOTED (JUV).

The Bid · #8 07-04-2007, 09:34 AM

Nobiz never had a chance to be good. His daddy saw to that, proven sire of cheap lawnmowers, and plugs.

Zanerjo should win a G-1

Street Sense will race a couple more times.

Danzig · #9 07-04-2007, 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

I predict that Showbiz will not nearly be as good as today's Wadsworth Memorial winner!

i dreamt last nite funny cide ran last, now that you mention the race....

hockey2315 · #10 07-04-2007, 10:10 AM

I agree with number one, number two is absolutely laughable, and the only way Zanjero can win a G1 is if he finds one with a four horse field like the mother goose or something. . .

2Hot4TV · #11 07-04-2007, 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Split Rock

Interesting.....here are my three:

1) A top trainer like Wesley Ward or Thomas Amoss will be the next name trainer to sit out 6 months
2) Discreet Cat will never win again
3) Three 2007 Breeders Cup winners are racing on Juy 4th, 2007. They are RONDO (SPRINT), NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ (CLASSIC) and BOOTED (JUV).

Bold long term prediction. 1 out of 3, is my guess

justindew · #12 07-04-2007, 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

.....number two is absolutely laughable. . .

First of all, I made that prediction before the Derby. Second, what if Street Sense retires before winning again, and Curlin wins maybe once more and does not return as a 4-year-old? Then maybe Nobiz can win some of the big fall races, and become a major player next year winning multiple Grade 1s in the handicap division. Who knows?

miraja2 · #13 07-04-2007, 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig

i dreamt last nite funny cide ran last, now that you mention the race....

Once you start dreaming about races at Finger Lakes........well........I really don't know what to tell you.

Danzig · #14 07-04-2007, 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2

Once you start dreaming about races at Finger Lakes........well........I really don't know what to tell you.

lol

it was weird, i actually only saw the result on paper. i'd imagine it would be hard to dream about a place you've never seen!

now if i had only seen the winners name....

but i'm sure the bloody mary had nothing to do with it!

unassailable08 · #15 07-04-2007, 11:01 AM

1) Their will be races on the Fourth of July

2) A lot of us will be going to them and we all hope that all the dumb money brought in by the holiday will put us in the black for the year.

3) Lines for said Track's Concessions will be ridiculously long.

4) At Least One person will lose money b/c they run into an in competent Mutuel Teller.

Oh wait that all happened Last night for Me at Lone Star Park.

justindew · #16 07-04-2007, 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

You'll be lucky to sniff 1 of 3 here, as maybe Zanjero can muster up a grade 1, although his hang job at Churchill was pretty bad. Funny thing is, for a guy who seemingly likes action, you were offered action on your Street Sense prediction and you declined. So why make it again?

Why can't I make a prediction without backing it up with a wager? I'm not an action junky.

Left Bank · #17 07-04-2007, 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig

i dreamt last nite funny cide ran last, now that you mention the race....

I dreamt I got drunk with Edgar Prado last night.

Danzig · #18 07-04-2007, 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kimmeastar

I dreamt I got drunk with Edgar Prado last night.

somehow i think mine has a better chance of becoming a reality.

justindew · #19 07-04-2007, 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

You can, but you seem VERY sold on this one, bringing it up multiple times. I just figured since you seem so sure of yourself you might want to make it a bit interesting.

Like I said, I think it's 50/50. When they announced his sale, I probably thought there was less chance he would race again than I do now. But still, for the record, I stand by my prediction that he won't race. If my life depended on me guessing correctly on this issue, who knows what my answer would be.

I re-posted the prediction mainly so that I could be held ACCOUNTABLE for my words (an allusion to another thread here).

ateamstupid · #20 07-04-2007, 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew

First of all, I made that prediction before the Derby. Second, what if Street Sense retires before winning again, and Curlin wins maybe once more and does not return as a 4-year-old? Then maybe Nobiz can win some of the big fall races, and become a major player next year winning multiple Grade 1s in the handicap division. Who knows?

That wouldn't make him the best horse of the crop. That would make him a mediocre horse who needed everyone else to retire to finally get some significant wins.