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  #21  
Old 01-21-2007, 10:45 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
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Default Quick speed analysis from the bootleg PP's on Gulfstream's site

he might be able to be 3w going into the turn, Get Funky and Bob's Proud Moment will show speed, but both of those have been turf speed, which we all know is different then dirt speed. Could be even 2w because Bob Proud hasn't shown serious gate speed until his last.
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  #22  
Old 01-21-2007, 10:47 PM
eurobounce
 
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I think SNS will be fine. I happen to think this field is OK. It is an interesting group to say the least. Texcess is an ok horse. Silver Wagon is a mystery as to the distance (I dont think he can get it) and Dry Martini is in good form. But the horse I sort of like is the 2 horse. It should be a good day of racing.
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  #23  
Old 01-21-2007, 10:59 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
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Default If anything......

this might have 'helped' my odds. he is the 9/5 ML and people will try and beat him that far out, it will happen sooner or later, and sooner is better then later in this spot....
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  #24  
Old 01-22-2007, 03:43 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
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It's a very difficult post.

However, it's a weak field, and he has the absolute perfect jockey for the situation.

Ramon Dominguez annually seems to show a flat bet profit in route races, and amazingly, he does that riding mostly on a circuit where his mounts are always, seemingly wildly overbet.

He's a guy who is very commited to saving ground....and maybe the only jockey in racing who always seems much more comfortable riding the rail than being outside of horses.
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  #25  
Old 01-22-2007, 06:37 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Texcess has turned up with a few big efforts now and again...maybe he'll surprise.
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  #26  
Old 01-22-2007, 08:56 AM
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Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
Texcess has turned up with a few big efforts now and again...maybe he'll surprise.
I think so too.
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  #27  
Old 01-22-2007, 12:03 PM
tycharles01 tycharles01 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
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Terrible post for SNS however its not like this is the Donn with Invasor and others in it. Also gets a 2lb break

Not alot of speed in this race and probably the best formwise- Dry Martini down on the inside where as we all know could have problems if they box him in

Probably wont bet SNS at 9/5 but if he goes up!!! (Hope people write him off because of the post) Def Bet if he is up at 3/1

Texcess has a good chance if he breaks good and a horse I think could hit the board(3 or 4) at a nice price --Rehoboth
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  #28  
Old 01-22-2007, 12:07 PM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Texcess...love that he shows up in these types of races every once in a while. I'm pretty sure that's why he's still kept in training.
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  #29  
Old 01-22-2007, 01:22 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
It's a very difficult post.

He's a guy who is very commited to saving ground....and maybe the only jockey in racing who always seems much more comfortable riding the rail than being outside of horses.
I don't think he's going to see the rail in this one.

One advantage SNS has with that post is natural speed. Its not like he will have to be pushed out of his normal comfort zone in order to make his way to the leading group and possibly be only 2-3 wide on the first turn.

I would just recommend that he not be pushed too much out of the gate and perhaps be allowed to move from off the pace a bit on the backstretch if necessary.

So much will depend on how the rest of the field breaks. I really like this horse but the post is troublesome and I don't think he is so much clearly superior to the rest of the field that he can still win given a fast and wide run on the first turn.
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