1/6: AQU P6; GP/SA Stakes-P4's

[Kasept]

Stakes quality and intensity wratch up a notch Saturday with the first 3yo contests of note (Count Fleet-AQU/Santa Ysabel-SA) and early Graded heats for the handicap division (Hal's Hope-GP/San Pasquale-SA). A $32,000 carryover adds to the intrigue at Ozone Park, while '07 debuts of Sweetnorthernsaint and Strong Contender pepper Hallandale's first credible card.


SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, 1/6, R4-9 (P6)


4th: NYB-MSW, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3)

1. #7 Wally World 5-2: Top connections WON
2. #2 Nine Positives Paraneck performing 5th
A. #6 Anxious Contender 15-1: Lopez gets away? 6th
B. #3 SCR


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3, Superfecta)

1. #8 Lethal Weapon 5-2: ITM 6/6 this strip 3rd
2. #3 Little Red Rocket 5-1: Moves inside, drops, adds CC 2nd
A. #10 Fighting Roy Kelly 3-1: Drilled 'em on drop 5th
B. #6 Just Say the Word 10-1: Tries level again 7th


6th: NYB-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, DD)

Tricky state-bred MSW here.. NOTES: Blasi Graeme Hall firster scary (#9, Native Hall); AE (#13) He's a Ray is a colt Contessa has been raving about; Luzzi, who rode 3 others entered here including top ML choices, takes reins on Pletcher-Benzel firster (#5 Belz)...

1. #12 Raven H 7-2: Amongst serious colts when seen last 5th
2. #11 Chief for a Day 9-2: Levine bay jumped up on inner 2nd
A. #7 Mansion of Thought 12-1: Made middle move in debut 4th
B. #5 Belz 6-1: Does Luzzi know best? 10th
C. #10 Citifest 10-1: In mix on cutback WON


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 4+, 1m & 70y (P3)

1. #4 PRINCE RAFFIE 3-1: Chased next out winners 8th
2. #1e Baker entry 6-1: Both entrymates have back figs 2nd
A. #7 Stellianos 15-1: Always tough on inner 6th
B. #5 Drizzly 4-1: Consistent and good this oval 3rd


8th: 32nd Count Fleet, $65,000, 3yo, 1m & 70y (DD)

Terrific edition of NY's first Derby Trail race.. Playing against 9-5 ML fave Johannesburg Star 2nd in race, but including him in the multi-race wagers...

1. #3 Sir Whimsey 10-1: Off pace type in field of speed 3rd
2. #7 SCR
A. #1 Pink Viper 12-1: Inviting price; sits trip WON
B. #5 No Reply 5-1: KMc DepComm bay improving with distance 4th


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (Superfecta)

1. #8 Southern Prince 5-2 : Lost chance at break when last seen WON
2. #7 Energico 5-1: Ritvo Dixie Union ITM 8/9 career 2nd
A. #4 Colbert Street 15-1: Takes them a long way 4th
B. #3 Bonus Size 15-1: Martin got Paraneck bay ITM last 5th


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 7
5: 6-8
6: 11-12
7: 1e-4
8: 3-4-(7 SCR)
9: 7-8

1x2x2x2x2x2 = 24 x $2 = $48


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-5-7-9-10-11-12
7: 4
8: 1-3-4-5-6-(7 SCR)
9: 8

8x1x5x1 = $40



SELECTIONS -- Gulfstream, 1/6, R7-10 (P4)


7th (4:10pm): 52nd Mr. Prospector (Gr. III), $100,000, 4+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Superfecta)

1. #1 High Finance 10-1 2nd
2. #6 SCR
A. #5 SCR
B. #8 Kelly's Landing 3-1 WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Hither Lane 10-1 4th


8th: 53rd Ft. Lauderdale, $100,000, 4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Superfecta)

1. #11 Saint Stephen 3-1 3rd
2. #10 Old Dodge 4-1 10th
A. #5 Giant Wrecker 8-1 9th
B. #6 Classic Campaign 10-1 WON
C. #2 Ballast 6-1 6th


9th: 17th Hal's Hope (Gr. III), $100,000, 4+, 1m (DD, Superfecta)

1. #3 Sweetnorthernsaint 3-1 3RD
2. #8 Rehoboth 6-1 4TH
A. #5 Chatain 8-1 WON
B. #9 Sir Greeley 5-1 2ND

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #7 Istan 15-1 6th

$2 Exacta 5-9 $96.60
$2 Trifecta 5-9-3 $322.60
$1 Trifecta Box $161.30
$1 Quad/Superfecta 5-9-3-8 $918.00


10th: CLM, 4+, 1m (Superfecta)

1. #4 SCR
2. #8 Grand 6-1 2nd
A. #7 Cresson 4-1 5th
B. #11 Everything to Gain 3-1 WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #2 Hatch 15-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-8
8: 5-6-10
9: 3
10: 2-4-7-8

2x3x1x4 = $24



SELECTIONS -- Santa Anita, 1/6, R6-9m (P4)


6th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5-T (DD, P3, P4, .10 Super)

1. #10 Mind the Minister 7-2 2nd
2. #1 Relentless Pursuit 5-1
A. #12 Ide Takeachance 10-1
B. #4 Spanish Influence 8-1 WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Asteri 15-1 4th


7th: 40th Santa Ysabel (Gr. III), $100,000, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #1 BARONESS THATCHER 4-1 WON
2. #6 Back in the Saddle 5-1
A. #9 Mistical Plan 7-2 3rd
B. #8 Seaside Affair 6-1 4th


8th: 70th San Pasqual (Gr. II), $150,000, 4+, 8.5f (DD)

1. #1 PREACHINATTHEBAR 5-1
2. #7 Spellbinder 4-1
A. #5 Cheroot 6-1
B. #2 Dixie Meister 3-1


9th: MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (.10 Super)

1. #8 Captain Quigley 7-2
2. #1 Jimmy's Quest 5-1
A. #10 Purely Wild 12-1
B. #6 The Big One 6-1

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 All Man 8-1


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-8-10-12
7: 1-6
8: 1
9: 1-6-8-10

6x2x1x4 =$48

[Sightseek]

I hope you don't mind I posted my Aqueduct selections here too, I didn't want to start the trend of a gadzillion posts for each track...

Race 3 - #6 Dreaming of Victory

Race 6 - #11 Chief for a Day

Race 8 - #5 No Reply
#4 Jo Star
#2 Here to Please

Race 9 - #7 Energico

I'll stay away from Race 7 because Prince Raffie hates me.

[rock1968]

I really liked He's A Ray in the 6th. but alas he scratched.
Think Alan Garcia will be hot again today??

[Gander]

Think Alan Garcia will be hot again today??

No, my guess is CC Lopez wins at least 4 races today

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ReGuL8R

I really liked He's A Ray in the 6th. but alas he scratched.
Think Alan Garcia will be hot again today??

Contessa was wetting himself talking about He's a Ray yesterday on the show. Didn't expect to get in today and said to watch for him... Honestly, he couldn't rave enough about the horse and how ready he is.

[rock1968]

I tend to like contessa horses, specially if they have coa riding

[philcski]

Steve B, we have several matches in the P6 today. I'm standing alone in the first leg as well... not much fun.

my $250 tickets:
7/8,9/11/4,6/3,6/7 = $16
7/3,4,10/11/4,6/3,6/7 = $24
7/8,9/8,12/4,6/3,6/7 = $32
7/8,9/11/5/3,6/7 = $8
7/8,9/11/4,6/5/7 = $8
7/8,9/11/4,6/3,6/5 = $16
7/8,9/2,5/4,6/3,6/7 = $32
7/8,9/11/7,9/3,6/7 = $16
7/8,9/11/4,6/3,6/8 = $16
7/3,10/8,12/4,6/3,6/7 = $32
7/3,10/11/5/3,6/7 = $8
7/3,10/11/4,6/5/7 = $8
7/3,10/11/4,6/3,6/5 = $16
7/8,9/11/5/5/7 = $4
7/8,9/11/5/3,6/5 = $8
7/8,9/11/4,6/5/5 = $8

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by philcski

Steve B, we have several matches in the P6 today. I'm standing alone in the first leg as well... not much fun.

Phil.. I don't know.. That seemed liked fun.. Good luck the rest of the way..

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Phil.. I don't know.. That seemed liked fun.. Good luck the rest of the way..

Yes, it was... I was clapping at the top of the stretch. I like that One of those situations where you have a fresh, good face facing career NYB maidens. 6/5 was probably generous, in hindsight... there was only 1 other horse that could win (Paraneck's hoss) and he didn't run a step.
You too. Let's knock this thing down.

[infield_line]

4 was a no-show

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by infield_line

4 was a no-show

Big time.. I didn't like the winner any better than 5th-6th choice, so wouldn't have had him anyway, but Raffie was stunningly bad.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Big time.. I didn't like the winner any better than 5th-6th choice, so wouldn't have had him anyway, but Raffie was stunningly bad.

Need the "prince" for the tri...had the 6-1 cold in the 7th...
to quote Trotter; "having a good day!"

[Kasept]

Wow.. Had right idea chasing the P4 with oddball try. Lowest payoff is $4,600 to the fave (the 8 who I tabbed). The 11 takes down the whole P4 pool...

Carryover with all but the 6, Sam I Am...

Big congrats to Ernie P. and our own "Outofthebox" (Alan Klanfer) on another Count Fleet win.. (How many times has Paraneck won this race???)

[brianwspencer]

you've really got to think sweetnorthernsaint is a steal in here at 3-2 or better. at least for me he would be.

[Kasept]

$140,000 Carryover...

P4 paid $2300+ for the $1.. Wow...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

dats what im talking about..

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Kasept

$140,000 Carryover...

P4 paid $2300+ for the $1.. Wow...

From the land of the bizarre...
Your P4 ticket from SA would have hit Aqueduct...


Don't let anybody tell you hitting the P6 is easy. I felt like I couldn't have done a better job handicapping and had 4 of 6. Congrats to Outofthebox but that was painful to watch... inside speed won all the routes today. Shocker.

[infield_line]

you get the tough ones, but I guess at G1, there all tough ones.....

Ponder using the 10 in the last.... figs say its a contender

I/L

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by infield_line

you get the tough ones, but I guess at G1, there all tough ones.....

Ponder using the 10 in the last.... figs say its a contender

I/L

I'm not much of a post-race grouser, but I've seen some pretty poor riding on three of the horses I especially liked today...

Eddie Martin on Sir Whimsey was awful;
Bejarano ridiculous in jackpots constantly on clearly best High Finance;
Ramon D wasting ready SNS, stupidly contending with a hopeless speedball..

Yeesh..

[Rootdog1]

Santa Anita Late Pk4

6) 1,6,7,8,10,11
7) 1,2
8) 1
9) 4,6,11

$36