Del Mar Race 3 8/10

[LITF]

Just curious as to why the 8 was bet down from the morning line of 20-1 to 5-1? And how in the world he ran so well when his form didn't suggest anything of the sort. I bet the race pretty hard and couldn't fathom a scenario in which the 8 won. It was his second start after being gelded, is that at thing? Other than that I can't see any reason for the horse to run the way he did and, more importantly, to have been bet the way he was. I've looked at it for like the last hour to try and find my mistake (usually my error is pretty glaring) but in this case I just can't seem to come up with anything. It knocked me out of the Pick 4 and 5. I had the 10 too, in my Pick 5, to add injury to insult. And it's driving me mad trying to figure out what I missed other than something I couldn't have missed.

[cal828]

His two races were pretty bad, but trainer stats were high.

[taxicab]

@ LITF:
The current DMR meet has been miserable for horses anywhere near the rail..…...especially on the front end & sprints.
A majority of the winners at the current meet have been swinging wide/wider/widest.
WWK was dueling in the 3 lane early on in his 7/20 race...….he really paid the price.
Tonight he stayed in the 5-6 lane off of a three horse duel early and swung even wider in the stretch.
The best angle of the meet has been horses coming off of inside trips and drawing outside next out.
FWIW: Memorable Election fits the inside/outside profile like a glove in the opener tomorrow...….he should be the goods.
And Silent Alarm kind of fits it in the nightcap for Machowsky.
Good Luck if you're wagering Saturday.

[LITF]

Thanks. Will start looking out for that trend. Makes sense and good to learn something off of losing.