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Old 04-08-2016, 06:12 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,044
Default 4/8: Keeneland (Opening Day; 6th-10th)

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Interesting mix including return of enigmatic Tap It Rich, now with Attfield. For the most part, the obvious lightly raced players look best (Araqeel, Bokeelia Island, etc.), but Cali board hit veteran 8-1 Dylan Ward has to be used to boost exotics..

Most Likely: #6 Araqeel 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Bokeelia Island 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Dylan Ward 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Animal Instinct 7-2 WON ($9.60)


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 (POE) Realistic 6-1: Half to American Lion; Entrymate OK too.. 7th/9th
Next Best: #6 Annathela 4-1: Arnold primed for KEE; Sneaky good debut.. 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Conquest Serenade 3-1: Chased Go Maggie Go in bow.. WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #2 Walkabout 10-1: Wilkes' Stroll filly good in lone st. at 2.. 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Entire field separated by about 4 lengths on paper and honest to fast pace should make it open to any on their best. Saw Lough Ness surprise in the flesh on Risen Star Day. Jimmy Baker perhaps the most under-appreciated trainer in the country and likely had this spot circled on calendar days later..

Best Value: #5 Lough Ness 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Limitless 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sugar Cone 7-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Lady Day Blue 9-2 7th


9th: 28th Transylvania (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Next layer of 3yo turf stakes for boys starts here and bodes well for the division. Really fun set and while Chad Brown pair the focal point, none would shock a winner..

Most Likely: #8 Catapult 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 J R's Holiday 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Converge 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Inspector Lynley 3-1 3rd


10th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Union Label 2-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Magical Moment 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Fleet Gold Digger 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Jaz N Tap 15-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Not an Illusion 20-1 9th


P5 Grid:

6: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-12 (C)
7: 1 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), - (B), 2-3-6-7-9 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple: 2x3x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-9 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple: 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-08-2016 at 06:27 PM.
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  #2  
Old 04-08-2016, 10:48 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,044
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KEE SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #3  
Old 04-08-2016, 11:40 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Good to Simon Bray on the set .
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