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#1
08-10-2011, 04:59 AM
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8/10: Saratoga (Day 17; $232k C/O)
$232k Double Carryover available to kick off Week 4 of the stand as quirky Monday winners scuttled all sextet punts and many smaller sequence multis as well...
SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Brown slips Silver Timber into softest spot he's seen in ages. Can understand those playing against, but even at 8, he should still be able to handle these if close to best.. Most Likely: #5 Silver Timber 3-1 WON ($5.80) Exotics Use: #6 Strong Impact 5-1 4th Best Value: #8 Hot Money 15-1 2nd Super Add: #10 Pegasus Tommy D. 6-1 6th 2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Curious and weak-looking group.. Best Value: #3 Mayville 6-1 3rd Next Best: #7 I'd Lie 3-1 WON ($6.40) Exotics Use: #8 Trashi Diva 4-1 4th 3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 D' Bulldog 5-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Tackle 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #8 War Ballad 8-1 5th Super Add: #5 Black Diablo 6-1 3rd 4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 Vexor 5-1 WON ($8.20) Next Best: #7 Raconteur 2-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Seeker 3-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Elusive Story 4-1 2nd 5th: Waya, F&M-3+, 12f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super) $232k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #2 Snow Top Mountain 5-2 4th Next Best: #8 Dyani 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Emerald Beach 6-1 WON ($14.00) Super Add: #5 Gold d'Oro 8-1 7th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 3-6-7-8 3: 5-6-7-8 4: 2-5-7 5: 2-4-8 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Need an Angel 4-1 WON ($5.50) Next Best: #9 Fortheloveof Anna 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #8 SCR 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3 , DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Cosmic King 7-2 3rd Best Value: #9 Storm Galileo 6-1 7th Next Best: #3 The Man Uptown 9-2 WON ($7.60) Exotics Use: #6 Ahgogo 8-1 4th 8th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Dawly 5-2 WON ($3.80) Best Value: #6 Tap Attack 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Goodtimehadbyall 7-2 3rd 9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9.5f-T (DD, Super) Balanced and high quality event.. Most Likely: #5 Colonialism 3-1 WON ($9.20) Best Value: #7 Ducduc 6-1 5th Next Best: #6 Distant Sky 5-1 8th Exotics Use: #3 En Fuego 9-2 2nd 10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super) Most Likely: #6 Turn Up the Music 5-1 3rd Best Value: #2 Cincinnati Kid 12-1 2nd Next Best: #1 What's the Record 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #4 Hershel 4-1 9th @$150 P6 Play: 5: 2 6: 3-9 7: 5-9 8: ALL 9: 5 10: 1-2-3-6 1x2x2x5x1x4 = 80 x $2 = $160 <$75 P4 Play: Let's swing for fences by trying to get a single of Colonialism home.. 7: 1-2-3-5-6-9 8: ALL 9: 5 10: 1-2-3-4-6 6x5x1x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 $.50 P4 (3-3-5-4) Paid $93.25 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-11-2011 at 11:25 AM. 
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#2
08-10-2011, 10:16 AM
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
Huge SCR of #7 Tarrip (3-1) out of the 5th. Other races impacted by changes as well...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
08-10-2011, 10:23 AM
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Quote:
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#6
08-10-2011, 10:27 AM
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Dawly is the type of favorite you're supposed to bet against, even with the scratch of the main speed. The field he beat last time was incredibly soft, he is likely better at 6fs and there are some respectable horses in here. You don't want to leave him off a Pick 6 for serious money but I'll bet to beat him in the Pick 4. I like Goodtimehadbyall and Sam Sparkle.
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#7
08-10-2011, 10:52 AM
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Steve,
In the 10th, you use writethatdown, which is the 7 and is scratched. You have listed as the #8, and use the #8 in your P4. In the same race, any thoughts on the 15 Piecesofmonlight, which as of now hasn't scratched? Thanks as always, and BOL with the card!!
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#8
08-10-2011, 12:01 PM
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Done now. I wasn't super confident with the day's events to begin with, but after the SCR's, I'm completely uneasy with the whole card. G/L!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
08-10-2011, 12:03 PM
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Hot Money gives me a renewed hope for the day's endeavors! LOL...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
08-11-2011, 04:39 AM
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Thx Larry.. My initial feel was that it was kind of an odd day, and it bore out. Had lots of good notions but didn't really make make money off of them. Really would have liked Cincinnati Kid to get past Obviously Tuesday in the nightcap... Hope you and anyone playing along did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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