9/7: Kentucky Downs (Day 6; 3rd-11th)

[Kasept]

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Catalonia 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Lovely Grey 6th
Next Best: #7 Collective Beauty 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Snappy Comeback 15-1 WON ($65.76)


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Hay Stack 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Rosato 9-2 WON ($9.08)
Exotics Use: #10 Tiger Division 15-1 11th
Super Add: #12 Belle of the Dance 8-1 10th


5th: MSW, 3+, 6.5F (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Bright Skittle 1-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Atlal 10-1 WON ($16.12)
Best Value: #2 Urban Ruler 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 I'm Trouble 9-2 2nd


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Buttercream Babe 5-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Summerintahoe 8-5 WON ($5.68)
Exotics Use: #9 Goats On a Tree 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Reagan's Flame 12-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Brave Force 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Chasing Freedom SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Wonder Mist 4-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Question Answered 12-1 9th


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 1M (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Strikingly Spun 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 She's Lookin Lucky 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Sun Bea 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Sabalenka 6-1 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 4-6 (A), 10-12 (B), - (C)
5: 10 (A), 11 (B), - (C)
6: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-3 in 8th)


9th: Juvenile Mile, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Street Beast 8-5 WON ($4.08)
Best Value: #5 Baytown Dreamer 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Thunder Zeus 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Ciborio 6-1 7th


10th: Untapable, 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Z Z's 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Snow Face Princess 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Carolyncaroline 20-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Quiet Street 8-1 WON ($6.64)


11th: MSW, 3+, 12.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Blast Furnace 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Chapman's Peak 6-1 WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Abbi Fede 10-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Maki Monarchy 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-4-6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 9-12 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x2x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 5x2x1x2x2 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (AACAA): 5x2x1x2x2 = 40 x .50 = $20 (5 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-6 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
9: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Let's get lucky!
Steve