August 1 Saratoga Card + Bing Crosby Points Picks go here . . .

[DonGuido]

OK, we have the NY State highlands and the California surf for a challenging 11 race card. Starting with Race 3 at Saratoga thru Race 12 and adding Race 10 The Bing Crosby at DelMar. Please have all ROI wagers and Points Picks posted by Spa 3rd Race post time of 2:18ET.

Race order:

Races 3-12 Saratoga
Race 10 Del Mar

Ga'luk to all!!!

[RUFFIAN]

R3
9 1 4 8 5

R4
3 5 2 4 9

R5
3 6 4 2 1

R6
7 2 6 3 1

R7
7 8 10 6 5

R8
7 8 1 5 3

R9
5 2 3 1 4

R10
6 4 8 11 5

R11
6 2 4 5 1

R12
7 9 2 6 3

D M R10


4. 9 3 6 1

[cal828]

R3 9-8-5-2

R4 5-3-7-2

R5 3-6-4-2

R6 5-7-6-2

R7 7-2-10-8

R8 7-8-1-3

R9 5-1-3-2

R10 6-5-2-11

R11 6-4-5-2

R12 7-6-9-5

R10 Dmr 2-9-5-8

[Roamin42]

R3…8-6-9

R4…3-9-5

R5…6-3-5

R6…3-7-6

R7…2-8-10

R8…3-7-8

R9…3-5-2

R10..4-3-7

R11..2-6-5

R12..10-8-7
-----------------------
DelMar-Bing Crosby...5-9-4

[Real Quiet]

Race 3...9-4-5-1-8
Race 4...5-3-4-1-2
Race 5...3-4-6-2-1
Race 6...5-7-6-3-2
Race 7...7-10-6-8-5
Race 8...7-3-8-1-4
Race 9...5-2-1-4-3
Race 10..6-4-9-2-5
Race 11..1-5-6-2-7
Race 12..5-6-3-7-9
DMR 10..4-2-7-3-6

[DonGuido]

3: 9-5-8-1-4
4: 5-3-4-7-1
5: 3-6-4-2-1
6: 2-6-8-7-5
7: 7-8-2-1-6
8: 7-8-1-3-4
9: 5-3-2-1-4
10: 6-4-2-5-11
11: 2-4-6-5-7
12: 7-9-2-6-4

Dmr 10: 4-6-3-9-2
Ga'luk to all!!!
Who picked this crazy card anyway???

[Real Quiet]

Originally Posted by RUFFIAN-333

R3
9 1 4 8 5

R4
3 5 2 4 9

R5
3 6 4 2 1

R6
7 2 6 3 1

R7
7 8 10 6 5

R8
7 8 1 5 3

R9
5 2 3 1 4

R10
6 4 8 11 5

R11
6 2 4 5 1

R12
7 9 2 6 3

D M R10
*** BASED ON #4 SCRATCHED PER BAFFERT
IF #4 STAYS IN, THEN LEAVE AS #1 PICK

9 3 6 1 8

I may be wrong but isn't there a 5 horse limit which is supposed to allow for scratches?

[DonGuido]

Originally Posted by Real Quiet

I may be wrong but isn't there a 5 horse limit which is supposed to allow for scratches?

Yes, if Ruff wanted 4 to win her pick should have been 4-9-3-6-1. Then if 4 is scratched it's 9-3-6-1. Must be a "blonde moment" for her.

[cruzan200246]

R3. 8-9-5-1
R4. 5-3-4-9
R5. 2-3-4-6
R6. 5-6-7-8
R7. 7-10-8-2
R8. 5-8-7-1
R9. 5-2-1-3
R10. 10-6-5-4
R11. 6-5-3-2
R12. 5-4-8-7


Dmt

R10. 10-9-8-3

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

Yes, if Ruff wanted 4 to win her pick should have been 4-9-3-6-1. Then if 4 is scratched it's 9-3-6-1. Must be a "blonde moment" for her.

Fortunately, the matter has been rendered moot. McKinzie has in fact been scratched.

[JolyB]

Whitney Day. Small fields for the major stakes races, but some wonderful horses to watch and root for.

R3: 9-5-4-2-8
R4: 3-5-6-4-9
R5: 3-6-4-1-2
R6: 7-2-6-8-1
R7: 7-10-8-2-6
R8: 7-8-1-5-6
R9: 5-3-2-4-1
R10: 9-4-11-8-7
R11: 2-6-5-4-3
R12: 7-2-9-5-10
DMR: 6-9-8-3-2

Good luck to all and thank you to Plenilune for scoring.

[Alli]

R3: 5-9-4-1
R4: 3-5-2-9
R5: 3-6-4-2
R6: 7-2-1-6
R7: 7-8-10-6
R8: 7-8-1-5
R9: 5-2-3-1
R10: 2-6-4-8
R11: 6-5-4-2
R12: 7-6-2-10
Dmr: 6-9-2-8

[Plenilune]

R3: 9 1 4 alt: 5 2
R4: 3 5 4 alt: 9 2
R5: 3 2 6 alt: 4 1
R6: 7 2 3 alt: 6 5
R7: 8 7 10 alt: 4 5
R8: 1 7 8 alt: 6 3
R9: 5 1 3 alt: 2 4
R10: 4 6 5 alt: 11 7
R11: 6 5 4 alt: 3 2
R12: 7 3 9 alt: 5 6
DMR R10 9 6 7 alt: 8 1

[DonGuido]

Well, I'm sorry folks I mixed Midnight Bisou. I picked her win.

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

Well, I'm sorry folks I mixed Midnight Bisou. I picked her win.

Don't blame yourself Don Guido. You weren't alone. I was right with you. So was $362,000 out of $564,000 in the win pool, not to mention lots more in exacta, tri, dd and pick several pools. Perhaps the weight of all that money was just too much. Perhaps she was just a little intimidated when Vexatious came over to her, although the Midnight Bisou of the past wouldn't back down to anyone. Perhaps she has just lost a tiny bit on her fastball - she didn't get beaten by much.

[Plenilune]

I feel a lot worse for Tom's D'Etat than Midnight Bisou. I think she's been brilliant yet I was more excited for his race. Dang it, that stumble at the start!

[cal828]

I sometimes shy away from those short fields with short priced favorites, but they often turn out different than we anticipate. Have certainly seen that stumble thing happen a lot. Funny thing is, it's usually Improbable that has all the difficulty getting out of the gate.

As for Vexatious, can't say I was any wiser than anybody else, but she had some good, though not winning races against some pretty good horses. She was second in her last race, I think, to Monomoy Girl and I noticed she also had a decent race again Blue Prize, the mare that beat Midnight Bisou in the Breeder's Cup last year, so I guess the talent was there.

[JolyB]

While not one of our contest races, the Shared Belief from Del Mar also was a head scratcher. After the defections of Uncle Chuck [Travers] and Anneau d'Or [Ellis Park], they were left with a field of 4. Honor A.P. was an overwhealming favorite. Baffert's Thousand Words led all the way and qualified for the KY Derby, but didn't impress me very much. Honor A.P. ran a puzzling race - he had moved up to second place, but seemed to be struggling on the final turn and finally kicked in much too late to finish second.

From what I saw of Honor A.P. today, I'd have trouble including him on my Derby short list. Mike Smith thought that he needed more distance, but I'm not sure that was the only issue. It's worth your watching a tape of the race if you're in the HAP camp. Perhaps you'll see something that I didn't.