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#1
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![]() Anybody heard any news about Sun King? I read in January where Zito said he was pointing him towards the Met Mile, but I haven't seen any works on him.
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#2
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A Ruthian like record which will surely stand the test of time!---and hey, he's already over half way there. Even though he's named after a Beatles song, I now think of him everytime I hear Bon Jovi's Living on a Prayer. |
#3
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![]() Yes, the goal is to make him the first horse in racing history to go 0-for-25 lifetime in Grade 1 stake races.
LOL! |
#4
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__________________
http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26 |
#5
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Sure, he's not the second coming of Secretariat, but who is these days? He usually gives an honest effort, he's still running, and he's earned, I believe, just short of $2 million, but I guess you can always find something to criticize. I've seen him run a couple of times and I look forward to seeing him run again.
__________________
Ticket Seller: All kind of balls... Bodyguard: One of his is crystal. |
#6
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#7
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#8
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Criminal Type and In Excess I'm sure of. I'll stab with Kelso, Forego, and Buckpasser for the other three |
#9
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#10
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#11
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Norse Dancer's already done it.. 0-25 in G1s.. ![]()
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#12
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![]() i just watched the replay of the whitney 4 times, and i dont see how in anyway invasor got a bad trip.. early on he is off the pace on the rail, jara moves him up sensing he needs to not let jv and flower alley get first jump, he then puts that rival away and holds off sun king, never at any point in the race did he have any trouble or was he more then 3 wide. very good trip in my opinion
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#13
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![]() Another with subpar trip handicapping skills.....
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#14
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While perhaps there is something admirable about your enthusiasm, believe it or not, you aren't an expert, and these posts of yours make this more and more apparent. If you would spend less time belaboring your mediocre points, and more time thinking about what the knowledgable posters here have said, you might actually learn something. Because you do not understand trips and trip handicapping, and thus don't understand why Invasor had a trip that compromised him from running his best race, does not mean he had a good trip. One thing is for sure....Invasor had less than an ideal trip and in fact a tougher one than he had in the Donn. You're entitled to your opinions but that doesn't elevate them above those around here that have earned credibility. |
#15
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I think, and you kind of allude to this a bit, that most people see trip handicapping as identifying trouble that a horse was in and betting him next time out. That's not nearly all of it though. There are countless others. One that I like is when a speed horse breaks slowly, gets absolutely gunned from there, then tires. He/she often proves to be a good bet next time out with a more consistent trip. So, I guess I was asking a question there, I'm just interested in your opinion a bit more, as I'm always interested in honing what minute handicapping skills I may have. Thanks in advance. NT |
#16
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To me, what people need to do is sort of take the whole trip apart and then put it back together and view it as a whole. The most basic mistake people make involves a horse who is getting a perfect trip, maybe saving ground behind the pace, and he/she has to steady or wait in traffic for room, and then perhaps gets free too late and ends up losing a relatively close race. The initial reaction of " if that horse had gotten out it would have won " may well be true, but it would have won with a perfect trip, and the sound horseplayer would downgrade that performance the next time the horse runs. Instead, they mistakenly upgrade it. Or perhaps I should say substantially upgrade it. The example you gave may be a good one, though it would depend on the horse and where it was racing and is racing next, but certainly you have pointed out the essense of effective trip handicapping, which is finding horses who's performances were compromised by events during the running of the race. Most of this is often very subtle, often more subtle than the tough trip Invasor had that DrugS correctly pointed out, as it can be about understanding the dynamics of a race and how that helped or hindered the competitors. Sometimes trips can be as simple as trouble or being wide, assuming the horse still performed well or was severly compromised by a bias, and assuming that trouble did in fact severly hamper them, hopefully in a way that isn't obvious. Because, identifying trouble is fine, but only useful if you can also find a way to use it to make money in the future. |
#17
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![]() ok i guess i understand what your saying black... but i have seen alot of races, and i just dont think he got that bad of a trip, why is that a bad thing for me to think that ? i was there live that day and have watched the race 10 times, maybe you can explain to me why the trip was so bad, and help me understand.
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