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#1
01-31-2007, 09:32 PM
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Theoretical Question-Barbaro
Ive been interested in horse racing since Smarty Jones, but I only follow it loosely. I was wondering how good you guys think Barbaro could have been. Would he have won the Triple Crown? I watched this video and it seems like he won all of his races by a good margin. Thanks
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kmgf-ocQFbc 
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#2
01-31-2007, 09:41 PM
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I don't believe he would have won the Preakness....I'm quite confident he wouldn't have.
Bernardini got a perfect trip....and ran his eyes-out that day. Barbaro, on the other hand, broke through the gate VERY hard prior to the start (a big negative IMO) and found himself in a tough tactical spot before the injury occured...shortly into the race. I'm confident there have been many (a dozen or so) better 3yo dirt males over the last 25 or 30 years. He was a sensational turf horse however, and was cut out to be a standout champion on that surface.
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#3
01-31-2007, 09:59 PM
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As for the Preakness, I think he would have beaten Bernardini that day. It is hard to know for sure but Bernardini seemed like the classic "public workout" type horse. As long as everything went his way he was impressive, but when faced with trouble (his debut) or with a really good horse (the BCC) he came up empty. If it came down to a stretch duel between those two.....I'd go with Barbaro. I think he was....all things considered.....better than evey horse that has come close to winning the TC in the last 26 years with the exceptions of Point Given and - of course - Sunday Silence.
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#5
01-31-2007, 10:15 PM
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I'm not so sure anyone can make a rational case that Barbaro would have won the Preakness this year---considering A.) The fact that he broke through the gate prior to the start. B.) that he was in a tough spot tactically before the breakdown. C.) Bernardini fell into a dream trip. D.) Bernardini ran a gigantic number on everyone's speed figures.
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#6
02-01-2007, 06:37 AM
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A.) I agree with you it is rare to see a horse break through the gate and still run his or her race. B.) How you can you say he was in a "tough spot tactically" after 1/8th of a mile. He was in mid pack a couple spots off of the rail? I doubt seriouslly that he could not have over come that "difficult spot." C.) Would the Bernardini had his dream trip if he had to look Barbaro in the eye. I don't remember Bernardini looking many horses in the eye and running on. Barbaro on the other hand had displayed that gift. D.) How much better was Bernardini's Preakness number than Barbaro's Derby win? Keep in mind Barbaro probably wasn't pushed too much in the late stages of the Derby with a six length lead. I don't think it was beyond the realm of possibility for Barbaro to beat Bernardini in the Preakness, but we'll never know will we?
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#7
02-01-2007, 06:52 AM
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It's a little sad to try to speculate on what might have been. I was at the Preakness this year (my first ever Triple Crown event). Bernardini and Barbaro hooking it up in the stretch would have been nice to see. I personally feel that Barbaro would have beaten Bernardini, but wonder whether or not a hard fought trip would have compromised his chances in the Belmont.
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#8
02-01-2007, 01:05 PM
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Hybrid Mode
