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Old 08-31-2025, 08:48 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,144
Default 8/31: Saratoga (Day 39; JC Gold Cup); Kentucky Downs (Day 3)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Maria Callas 9-5 9th
Next Best: #8 Cosmic Candy Girl 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Athena's Fury 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Spectacular Belle 6-1 8th


5th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (P5, P3, DD)

Spectacular assembly for this famed standard and Pletcher camp looks poised to complete heady summer with Mindframe and Antiquarian lining up here. Can't pass up chance to key Antiquarian (12-1) who can win with a pairing up of his big Suburban try. Johnny V should set up shop stalking Phileas Fogg and Contrary Thinking directly to his inside and get first run. Needs things to go perfectly, but is the best price of those with chance..

Best Value: #8 Antiquarian 12-1 WON ($28.00) ~ BEAT BYK
Next Best: #2 Highland Falls 5-1 3rd-Up via DQ
Exotics Use: #3 Sierra Leone 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mindframe 2-1 DNF-Lost rider


6th: OC-$100k/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Annelle 15-1 9th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #7 Sea to Sky 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Virgin Colada 2-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Obeissante 8-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Paige Turner 8-1: Half to Speed Boat Beach prepped at Ellis.. 2nd
Next Best: #9 Celebrity Quest 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Lovely Christina 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #5 Fancy N Flight 20-1 10th


P4 Grid:

4: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 7th)


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Tap Into This 3-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #8 Pass the Hat 5-1 9th
Best Value: #10 Vekoma Rides 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Protective 9-2 5th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Royal Guard 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chambersville 10-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Tacticality 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Section 8-1 8th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-9-10 (A), 8-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x1x5 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-8 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-9-10 (A), 8-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 7th)


10th: Disco Partner, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

With Doncho out, there's not really any clear pacesetter. Dancing Buck has been out over a year and maybe Kendrick takes control and doesn't look back?

Best Value: #1 Dancing Buck 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Twenty Six Black 4-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Outlaw Kid 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Big Invasion 5-1 5th


11th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Vibrant Express 9-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Let's Get Weird 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Lodato 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Army Proud 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8-9-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
11: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x5x2x1 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x5x2x1 = 40 x .50 = $20 (5-8 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

8: 7-8 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8-9-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
11: 10 (A), - (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x5x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (CAAAA): 2x5x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10 (5 in 11th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 08-31-2025 at 07:13 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-31-2025, 09:21 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,144
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KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Aspenite 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Quatrocento 5-2 WON ($3.34)
Exotics Use: #5 Accredit 12-1 8th
Super Add: #13 Alder 12-1 5th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5,P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Caprichosinfront 6-1: 2nd time starter and Tiz the Law's popping on lawn.. 8th
Next Best: #1 One Front War 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Risky Wave 9-2 9th
Super Add: #12 Auntie 10-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10.5f (P3, DD)

A race teed up for the 'Chase set with Jack Fisher & Keri Brion invading the Dueling Grounds..

Most Likely: #9 Smart Uncle 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Write Off Jerry 3-1 10th
Best Value: #12 Vintage Year 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Salted Caramel 4-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Very Connected 15-1: A McPeek Special if you ever saw one with turf meant colt in 2nd start.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Irish Law 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Risk 7-2 10th
Super Add: #5 Eva Ready 8-1 8th


7th: OC-$100k/N$Y, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Banjo Chris 20-1: WON ($23.10) Wismer colt a better horse at 4; Lures Dettori for turf return..
Next Best: #1 Mo Stash 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Let My People Go 9-2 5th
Super Add: #13 Double Clutch 12-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Love a Little Mo 9-2 8th
Best Value: #7 Turner's Charm 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Beach Ballad 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Maiora 6-1 6th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 9-11 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
6: 11 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
7: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-9 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-10 in 8th)


9th: Juvenile Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Johnny's Red Storm 3-1: Weaver SCR'd for this.. WON ($5.48)
Best Value: #1 Zeus's Echo 8-1: Quick developing type for Davis.. 9th
Next Best: #8 Obliteration 7-2: Sanford win'r in slightly surprising move to lawn.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Twilight Delight 8-1: Leitch debut win'r may forget to stop.. 4th


10th: HCP, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #3 Astronomer 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Chasing the Crown 5-2 WON ($8.28)
Exotics Use: #8 Genius Jimmy 15-1 11th
Super Add: #1 Gaslight Dancer 15-1 12th


11th: Juvy Fillies Sprint, 2yo-F, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 TO A FLAME 6-1: Won debut despite all turf pedigree; In Rusty We Trusty.. 3rd
Next Best: #7 Soloist 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Oscar's Encore 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Meringue 3-1 WON ($13.20)


P5 Grid:

7: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-9 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), 7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 7-9 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-9 in 11th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 08-31-2025 at 07:23 PM.
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  #3  
Old 08-31-2025, 09:27 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,144
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SAR SCR/CHG'S

KD SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 08-31-2025, 12:50 PM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
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Posts: 3,914
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Antiquarian!
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  #5  
Old 08-31-2025, 12:53 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,144
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Happy Phucking Easter..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #6  
Old 08-31-2025, 01:08 PM
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casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 19,092
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Im happy Antiquarian won (pick 3 ticket), but Fogg took out one of if not the top contender and probably spooked Sierra Leone and got him off his stride, I know its racing but would have liked to have seen a clean break/race.
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