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  #1  
Old 11-14-2006, 08:45 AM
eurobounce
 
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Default Who are the singles for tomorrow?

I think there are at least 3 singles in tomorrow's pick 6 at Hollywood.

Pistol Creek
Fly By
Harvard Avenue
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  #2  
Old 11-14-2006, 08:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
I think there are at least 3 singles in tomorrow's pick 6 at Hollywood.

Pistol Creek
Fly By
Harvard Avenue
I guess we will play Hollywood tomorrow due to the huge pool but Cushion track is proving to be very hard to get a handle on.
I would suggest trying to single grass races and spreading out the cushion.
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Old 11-14-2006, 09:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
I guess we will play Hollywood tomorrow due to the huge pool but Cushion track is proving to be very hard to get a handle on.
I would suggest trying to single grass races and spreading out the cushion.
That was my initial thought, but the grass races are tough, with the exception of Pistol Creek. The 8th (the other turf race) is hard. I like Imagine and Tea Cakes. But I could make an case for 3 others in that race. I havent really followed Hollywood and the Cushion Track so I dont know how it has been playing.
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Old 11-14-2006, 09:04 AM
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fyi antongorii and tyler b like to bust out tix..
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Old 11-14-2006, 10:06 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
fyi antongorii and tyler b like to bust out tix..
Cohen too...,and that f'n duck called M Baze too.
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  #6  
Old 11-14-2006, 10:11 AM
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soo true scuds...those are superfecta of anguish...
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Old 11-14-2006, 09:05 AM
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I have a couple potential singles, and interestingly none of yours match mine. I have all of yours in the mix, though... i just can't stand on Harvard Avenue alone (even though he's clearly the one to beat.) The race off the layoff was just OK. Will use him equally with Buckland Manor who may love the Cushion and a small backup on Gotaghostofachance who if he's right is the equal to the others and is training up a storm, however given the trainer's record off the long layoff i expect this to be a conditioning run only.

R4: #3 Ferndale Sal: Was 4 wide in his last but only missed by 2 as the 2nd choice and wheels back 6 days later, was in for $80K but drops back to his proper level of $50K.

R5: #5 I B Bad: Is simply 3-4 lengths better than the rest of this field, a legit $12,000 horse, so unless he's completely crippled he'll lap this group of ragtags. Not a fan of singling in a 13 horse field but the rest of these are $5K Los Alamitos types.

R6: #3 Jump Rope Girl: Drops from MSW (As a few others are) after nearly wiring the field down the hill at SA (almost impossible to do) after getting the 6F in 1:08, steaming fast for 2YO's on that course. Looks to be the only early speed in here.
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Old 11-14-2006, 09:17 AM
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pair of events in the 8th chop chop,,,,
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Old 11-14-2006, 09:27 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
pair of events in the 8th chop chop,,,,
Nothing wrong with chasing a price, but Pair of Events is going to have to make up 4-5 lengths on the 6, as they both exit the same pair of races in which the 5 was well beaten with no real excuse. The 6 gets a positive rider switch and the 5 sticks with "chopped up" Chavez. The 5 is a pretty easy exclusion for me.

Outside of the 6, I like the 9, a Giants Causeway FTS from Sherriffs, who has this one working well and is outstanding having them ready to roll; the 2, who goes Poly-turf for Mullins after setting the pace and should find herself in a good spot entering the far turn; and the 8 who had 2 good attempts on turf last fall before hitting the bench for almost a year.

My ticket will be 6,9 main and 2,8 backup or 6 main 2,8,9 backup, depending on how I spread in the other races.
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Old 11-14-2006, 09:33 AM
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rounding into form and with a good break hes right there 78 beyer is possible......but good luck..
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  #11  
Old 11-14-2006, 09:40 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
rounding into form and with a good break hes right there 78 beyer is possible......but good luck..
A 78 beyer would be good enough to win this but I think a 14 point improvement projection is rather aggressive with no other tangential changes. If you have a live ticket and I don't at that stage i'll be rooting for you because this IS the kind of horse that makes a pick 6 gangbusters. I don't think she's impossible and i'd be apt to take a shot on her in a p3 or p4 but it's just too expensive to get her on mine.
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Old 11-14-2006, 10:28 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I have a couple potential singles, and interestingly none of yours match mine. I have all of yours in the mix, though... i just can't stand on Harvard Avenue alone (even though he's clearly the one to beat.) The race off the layoff was just OK. Will use him equally with Buckland Manor who may love the Cushion and a small backup on Gotaghostofachance who if he's right is the equal to the others and is training up a storm, however given the trainer's record off the long layoff i expect this to be a conditioning run only.

R4: #3 Ferndale Sal: Was 4 wide in his last but only missed by 2 as the 2nd choice and wheels back 6 days later, was in for $80K but drops back to his proper level of $50K.

R5: #5 I B Bad: Is simply 3-4 lengths better than the rest of this field, a legit $12,000 horse, so unless he's completely crippled he'll lap this group of ragtags. Not a fan of singling in a 13 horse field but the rest of these are $5K Los Alamitos types.

R6: #3 Jump Rope Girl: Drops from MSW (As a few others are) after nearly wiring the field down the hill at SA (almost impossible to do) after getting the 6F in 1:08, steaming fast for 2YO's on that course. Looks to be the only early speed in here.
ib looks good /other id look hard at is tommyland seems to pop a good one everyfew races..keg tap also..thats not a single leg for mine..
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  #13  
Old 11-14-2006, 11:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
ib looks good /other id look hard at is tommyland seems to pop a good one everyfew races..keg tap also..thats not a single leg for mine..
Keg tap is very intriguing. Got dumped for 4K in NoCal and the sharp claimer Koriner picks him up. This guy is a "miracle working" type, he doesn't need to improve much to be back in the mix with this group. I'm using him on my backup ticket for sure.

My problem with Tommyland is his best recent races were at Fpx which is essentially an extension of Los Al, so $5k there isn't even worth $5k, as evidenced by him getting clobbered at the $10k level at OSA. The trainer has a lot of bad horses and hardly wins. Exotics player but I don't like him to win. If he beats me he beats me.
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  #14  
Old 11-14-2006, 06:02 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I have a couple potential singles, and interestingly none of yours match mine. I have all of yours in the mix, though... i just can't stand on Harvard Avenue alone (even though he's clearly the one to beat.) The race off the layoff was just OK. Will use him equally with Buckland Manor who may love the Cushion and a small backup on Gotaghostofachance who if he's right is the equal to the others and is training up a storm, however given the trainer's record off the long layoff i expect this to be a conditioning run only.

R4: #3 Ferndale Sal: Was 4 wide in his last but only missed by 2 as the 2nd choice and wheels back 6 days later, was in for $80K but drops back to his proper level of $50K.

R5: #5 I B Bad: Is simply 3-4 lengths better than the rest of this field, a legit $12,000 horse, so unless he's completely crippled he'll lap this group of ragtags. Not a fan of singling in a 13 horse field but the rest of these are $5K Los Alamitos types.
R6: #3 Jump Rope Girl: Drops from MSW (As a few others are) after nearly wiring the field down the hill at SA (almost impossible to do) after getting the 6F in 1:08, steaming fast for 2YO's on that course. Looks to be the only early speed in here.
Have to agree with you on I B Bad. So far the only single i've identified. Clear standout here.
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  #15  
Old 11-14-2006, 09:13 PM
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A few things I noticed:

Race #3 - Strip N Carson/Top of Atlantra look like a single. I like Truly Madera though. The 1M work on Nov4 is a sign to me, as well as W. Stute's 24% win rate on 1st routes. Add M. Garcia and looks like she may run very well.

Race #4 - Love Ferndale Sal here, but the Abrams runs them way too much....Oct 6th, Oct 19th, Nov 9th, Nov 15th. With a nice Allowance win two back he is quick to get rid of this guy before the band aid breaks. Using but cant singel. Like Pistol, but also using On Edge at a FAT 12-1. Last turf race at Del Mar would win this and coming in fresh.

Race #5 - Again I B Bad looks like a single, but man is he quick to give up the lead. If he gets a easy trip he should win but not sure he will. The rest are crap, but if I had to use another I like Ribomoon for two reasons...Blinks OFF and has a decent closing kick adn Delgadillo picks her over a few and him and Bean connect at $$$$$.

6th - Crazy race..need help here. Top pick is Smooch, blinks going on and ran well being 5w last out. Dont get the favorite unless Sadler is wizard.

7th - Ghost wins for fun on an easy lead.
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  #16  
Old 11-14-2006, 04:58 PM
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3 big scratches in the 5th at HWD:

1A Talking To John (KY)
1 Rashard Lamar (CA)
9 Bound For Victory (KY)

I figured Ted West to be the one to send something to kill that chalk,but he gone.No doubt I B BAD gets late in the final furlong(pretty much going up n' down in the final 16th .)There just isn't much left now.High Z would have a much better shot if he could get off that rail,and get a regular jock.Tommyland is a classic 1 run 7f horse,but still may not be good enough.The KEG TAP has a shot.Kristin's horse is just 2 for 36.Ribomoon doesn't seem to want to have anything to do with anything but a short track.What's this horse(I B B) going off? 2 to 5?
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