Let’s DU-ET !! Pegasus Day Handicapping Thread

[declansharbor]

Anybody here care to delve into each and every race on the card? I printed out the pp’s and I’m jumping IN tonight. This is a terrific card, and I can’t wait until Saturday.

Let’s get a show of hands here from the usual characters, but let’s mix in some new blood if we can!

Rock? Bama? jms? Herk? Byk? Gus? NTamm? Joey? Casp? Serling?!? All are welcome here obviously, but let’s have healthy conversations regarding the P5’s, Rainbow6, and of course the two main races!

I’ll start it off with the first horse you see when opening up the form. Race 1, horse 1, Olympic Runner. Watch a replay of his debut on YouTube, Paco found trouble for this one every single step of the stretch run. 7/2 on the morning line for Saturday and stretches out from 5 panels to 8.5. He looked ready to RUN in his debut, but Paco couldn’t tip him off the rail once the hole closed up.

LETS HEAR IT FOLKS - - LETS TACKLE THESE RACES AND GET PAIIIID!. I’m ready for an all night discussion if that’s what it takes! Rock & Rollllllll Babycakes!

[RHT2004]

The 1st feels like 1,4,6 to me. Nothing clever.

[RHT2004]

3rd... 4 is a stone cold single.

[RHT2004]

4th.... 1,6 look live about 3 other's can win. Totally against the 4. I hope he's crushed, dont like him at all.

[knickslions2]

Although I wasn’t included in the list of elite I’ll give my opinion on first race as it’s only one I looked at so far. Paco and the 1 horse look like they will get frisky and try to go coast to coast. Don’t see it happening. 2 and 6 look like the ones to beat here and expect either to win.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Although I wasn’t included in the list of elite I’ll give my opinion on first race as it’s only one I looked at so far. Paco and the 1 horse look like they will get frisky and try to go coast to coast. Don’t see it happening. 2 and 6 look like the ones to beat here and expect either to win.

LMAO

Knicks, I seriously had a brain fart when it was time to name some heavy hitters. You’re right up there with the best this board has to offer, and I ALWAYS look forward to your insight. It’s always welcome.

Let’s burn that midnight oil!

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Although I wasn’t included in the list of elite I’ll give my opinion on first race as it’s only one I looked at so far. Paco and the 1 horse look like they will get frisky and try to go coast to coast. Don’t see it happening. 2 and 6 look like the ones to beat here and expect either to win.

I, too, see Paco trying to take control early, but it scares me that Saez will be piloting a horse that has the ability to flash some speed. Seems like he’s been placing every mount of his perfectly and I give a ton of credence to that.

Chad’s numbers are hysterically good with Turf routers debuting over a mile. All you can do is laugh when you see the consistency he has with this sort.

Interesting race to kick off the P5 for sure. I’d LOVE to get through this one using 3 or less horses, bc I feel race’s 4 & 5 it would be best to cast a wider net if possible. Try to limit the number of horses used in this race and the Turf Sprint too, obviously.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

4th.... 1,6 look live about 3 other's can win. Totally against the 4. I hope he's crushed, dont like him at all.

I’m with you in trying to beat the 4 in the third race. If Saez doesn’t ride the hair off of Bodexpress for the entire trip and can get him to relax in a nice position, the 3 horse could be in a nice spot on the turn for home if he’s good enough.

I don’t expect much from the Pletcher on the outside. If that horse was anything remotely special he wouldn’t have raced at Tampa in a 25k MSW in the slop. Could be me overthinking things of course, but I like the Union Rags Pletcher horse with Prat up.

This race could produce a nice price......and a horse or two to keep our eyes on in the future.

[Alabama Stakes]

In the first the 11 hoss by War front with a couple of turf winners out of the mare working well looks good to me. 11/ 6-12. I’m gonna use some bombs in the super underneath as 7-8-9-14 all have a fighting chance at 15 or 20-1 morning line.
Super
11
6-12
6-7-8-9-12-14
6-7-8-9-12-14

In the pick 5
11-12
4-6-9
3-4
3-7-8-9
2-3-4

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

4th.... 1,6 look live about 3 other's can win. Totally against the 4. I hope he's crushed, dont like him at all.

Wow from the 1.

[Alabama Stakes]

I know that you’re supposed to ignore those big wins on the front end in the slop, but that was pretty impressive. Hidden Scroll can rock and roll.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

3rd... 4 is a stone cold single.

Because of the cutback to 5 furlongs? Or bc you like him to sit just off of Matties’ horse and pounce turning for home? He’ll have to hold off Stormy Liberal who looks to have a perfect setup here.

That said, I agree with the 4 being my most likely winner here. I’ll be playing the logical horses up top and keying the 2 Oak Bluffs to get up late for 3rd or 4th. A heavy SUPER play might be in store.

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

The 1st feels like 1,4,6 to me. Nothing clever.

While I obviously think the 1 is a major player, he’ll be bumping up in class, when the horse to his immediate right is dropping a peg. Could be running on late, esp if the fractions here are hotter than the one he faced in his debut.

I’m definitely looking hard at the Chad of course, and we’d be idiots if we leave off Saez’s mount and he pops at first asking.

[Alabama Stakes]

In the 4th at gulfstream the bottom hoss had no mishap but did break slowly, then sucked up for second. At 3-1 he is tremendously underlaid

[casp0555]

a bill mott firster