Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-30-2015, 08:44 AM
tector's Avatar
tector tector is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: South Florida
Posts: 1,053
Default So who is the "wiseguy" horse this year?

It is not as self-evident as some years, at least not to me.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-30-2015, 09:03 AM
Holybull1 Holybull1 is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 124
Default

Firing Line and Upstart are getting lots of buzz it seems.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-30-2015, 09:06 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Firing Line may well wind up being the speed of the speed; Danzig Moon is probably the most talented closer...It seems those two are getting more and more attention
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-30-2015, 09:27 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,942
Default

eddie olczyk was talking about danzig moon this morning...i was like, shut up!
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-30-2015, 10:48 AM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

El Kabeir will go off at odds drastically underneath his fair value.
__________________
Lady and The Track
Twitter
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-30-2015, 10:53 AM
-BT- -BT- is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: 60613
Posts: 2,622
Default

Upstart and Frosted

-bt-
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-30-2015, 02:20 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
El Kabeir will go off at odds drastically underneath his fair value.
I have not heard a peep about anyone liking him at all.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-30-2015, 02:21 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
Firing Line may well wind up being the speed of the speed; Danzig Moon is probably the most talented closer...It seems those two are getting more and more attention
How is Danzig Moon talented at all? No one likes Carpe Diem, me included. So how can we like Danzig Moon off a non threatening 2nd to him.
Feels to me like the wise guy horse is Firing Line. Serling gave him some love on the Derby preview video also.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-30-2015, 06:54 PM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
How is Danzig Moon talented at all? No one likes Carpe Diem, me included. So how can we like Danzig Moon off a non threatening 2nd to him.
Feels to me like the wise guy horse is Firing Line. Serling gave him some love on the Derby preview video also.
Agree about Danzig Moon. 30-1 ML, and have a feeling he'll go off lower that that. I don't get the love for him at all. He should be in the Pat Day Mile race, instead. I don't trust his trainer in major Grade 1 races in the U.S, either.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-30-2015, 08:54 PM
pick4's Avatar
pick4 pick4 is offline
Aqueduct
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 645
Default

I do not believe there is a true "Wise Guy" horse in this Derby. This is a deep field and the winner of the Louisiana Derby, Florida Derby, and Wood are 15 to 1 and above. The speed figures of the top runners are pretty close . If there is a wise guy horse it is Danzig Moon but that is to hit the board which could happen.

I am still trying to figure out how this pace scenario is going to play out. Will AP go straight to the lead and not have enough stamina to hold on? Does AP have enough foundation to win this race? 10 furlongs with 20 runners is a demanding test. Is 2 easy preps against sub par Arkansas races enough? I will include him on my pick 4's but I am skeptical about him. He has never been tested in a race by serious racehorses.

Last edited by pick4 : 04-30-2015 at 09:17 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-30-2015, 09:17 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush View Post
Agree about Danzig Moon. 30-1 ML, and have a feeling he'll go off lower that that. I don't get the love for him at all. He should be in the Pat Day Mile race, instead. I don't trust his trainer in major Grade 1 races in the U.S, either.
I have a friend who likes him a lot. I just dont get it at all. You can make a case for almost anyone else, I dont get him. I would use the 2nd place horse from the Wood before Danzig Moon.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-01-2015, 10:02 AM
my miss storm cat's Avatar
my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 22,025
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush View Post
Agree about Danzig Moon. 30-1 ML, and have a feeling he'll go off lower that that. I don't get the love for him at all. He should be in the Pat Day Mile race, instead. I don't trust his trainer in major Grade 1 races in the U.S, either.
Not sure what race he should be in but basically agree with this.

Easy toss for me too.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:05 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.