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#1
07-22-2013, 07:09 AM
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7/22: Saratoga (Day 4-Shipman; $57k C/O)
It was one of those wacky Saratoga Sundays when bombs fly and as soon as Happy Fella won the 5th, you could assume a P6 carryover. But a late P4 that included $24.40 Strong Impact in the Fiddlers Patriot, $16,40 Wired Bryan in the Sanford and $141.50 Gialiana in the NY-ALW nightcap $17,714 quad pay and $900 4/6 consos in the sextet. $57,553 in the pot to start the Monday P6 pool. Frustrating part of the losses on the day was sensing that Sunday was going to be quirky, reaching for offbeat horses and connecting with none of them! Hope everyone did OK. As usual at Saratoga, you only needed to be right a little bit to make out or at least get out. Rain overnight and t-storms possible but everything on turf as of now..
SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Financial Mogul 7-2 4th Best Value: #4 Flat Jack 8-1 8th Next Best: #3 Big Sugar Soda 4-1 WON ($12.00) Exotics Use: #1 Pecorino 5-2 2nd 2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Cello a dull to Optimizer; Super Sky a half to Princess Aeabella. Dam of Duff One is half sis of Kindergarten Kid, Assateague and He's Had Enough.. Most Likely: #7 Super Sky 4-1 3rd Best Value: #5 Ready to Act 5-1 WON ($17.60) Next Best: #4 Whomping Willow 8-5 7th Exotics Use: #3 The Careless Cat 6-1 5th 3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) SCR of fave Seans Silverdancer changes this markedly.. Most Likely: #4 Full of Intent 7-2 6th Next Best: #5 Chance Encounter 4-1 WON ($8.70) Best Value: #3 Mess in a Dress 20-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Nuff Said Nuff Said 5-1 5th 4th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD) More wide open than ML indicates as Mongol Boss (9-5) doesn't have to win.. Best Value: #3 Joe Can Gallop 15-1 WON ($40.20) Next Best: #11 Mongol Boss 9-5 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Pacific Theater 4-1 4th Super Add: #4 Goesse 6-1 10th 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD) $57k C/O starts here.. Clement firster Sea Queen a half to Nereid. Paulownia was a $500k weanling (!).. Best Value: #2 Sea Queen 6-1 WON ($10.80) Next Best: #9 Candy Kitty 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Palestrina 10-1 6th Super Add: #7 Hillhouse High 7-2 4th (Purse only/Lost shoe pre-race) <$75 P4 Play: 2: 4-5-7 3: 3-4-5-8 4: 2-3-4-11 5: 2-8-9 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (5/5/3/2) Paid $1,519.25 6th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Off the Page 5-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Southern Tier 4-1 4th Best Value: #9 Thomas Hill 12-1 WON ($16.60) Exotics Use: #7 Hebert Hall 9-2 8th 7th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) SCR of Fairy Snow leaves Stop Sign alone up front.. Most Likely: #7 Stop Sign 4-1 WON ($8.50) Best Value: #9 Dapper Draper 6-1 6th Next Best: #2 Mr. William 5-1 9th Exotics Use: #1 Optionality 3-1 3rd 8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Peace Preserver 5-2 5th Best Value: #4 Corsage 8-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Fantasy of Flight 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Open Water 7-2 6th 9th: NY-Evan Shipman, 3+, 9f (DD) Best Value: #2 Awesome Vision 3-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Groomed for Victory 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Readbytheline 9-5 3rd 10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT Most Likely: #8 Starship Gambler 5-2 WON ($4.30) Next Best: #3 Sheerflakesofgold 6-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Silent Joy 20-1 8th Exotics Use: #9 Miss Sweet Afleet 8-1 9th <$150 P6 Play: 5: 2-8-9 6: 6-8-9 7: 7 8: 4-5-6-7 9: 2-5 10: 8 3x3x1x4x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-7-9 8: 4-5-6-7 9: 3-2-5 10: 3-8 3x4x3x2 = $72 ($36 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 07-22-2013 at 05:03 PM. 
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#2
07-22-2013, 10:26 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
07-22-2013, 02:16 PM
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Great Job Steve!
__________________
Nelson and Union
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#5
07-22-2013, 02:17 PM
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Well done Steve!
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#6
07-22-2013, 02:18 PM
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Awesome Job
 Well Done Steve!
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#8
07-22-2013, 02:22 PM
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Very nice Steve!!!
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#11
07-22-2013, 05:01 PM
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$245,278 2-day C/O Wednesday!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#12
07-22-2013, 05:04 PM
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Nice Capping
Steve,
Well done today. Your advice of a few big opinions during the meet was never so true as in today's results. Thanks ... I was on board for the early $1600 P-3. Had work to do after that. Too bad I couldn't have stuck around.
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#13
07-22-2013, 11:17 PM
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Great job of capping today. Sure hope you took your 2 singles in your posted P6 and used them in the p4 with all in the other 2 legs. $42 (6x7)ticket returned $4,600. The all button in short fields has to be a consideration the way the bombs have been coming in.
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#14
07-23-2013, 08:09 AM
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with that kind of carryover, and the way you're runnin. You should keep everything under your hat till after the pick 6 starts. Just sayin'. I hope you don't, but you give so much to everyone, it would be fitting if you took it down all alone.
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#16
07-23-2013, 08:38 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
07-23-2013, 08:39 AM
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Thanks again everyone.. Always nice to get out of the box well here.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#18
07-22-2013, 07:38 PM
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Congrats Steve!!! Well done - Nothing like having a Double carryover with a couple of days to study, especially when things are clear. Great Hit
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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#19
07-22-2013, 08:55 PM
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Great Job Steve, congrats!
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#20
07-22-2013, 10:02 PM
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Quote:
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Hybrid Mode
