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#1
08-05-2012, 07:43 AM
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8/5: Saratoga (Day 15; Vanderbilt)
Long, hot day at the Spa Saturday featured some notable performances and the leaking of money. Seeing Allen Jerkens win another G1 was worth losing the late P4 when Emma's Encore nosed Judy the Beauty in the Prioress and having some of the sports' good people like Janis Whitham, Ian Wilkes and Brian Hernandez win the Whitney with Fort Larned was equally heart-warming. Fort Larned blew apart the quality Whitney field showing an added stalking dimension to earn an ideal trip with solid, low profile pilot Hernandez seizing control of the race at the top of the stretch throttling the E Dubai colt into high gear. The move earned the field's lone 4 year old an immediate 4+ length lead that put the closers into panic mode. By the time Ron the Greek, Flat Out and Hymm Book found their best stride, the race was long over. Fort Larned's 110 Beyer makes him the 8th horse in 2012 to achieve a 110 or more fig at a mile or more joining Wise Dan (117), Shackleford and Caleb's Posse (Both 115's), Game On Dude (116), Nates Mineshaft (113), Royal Delta and Successful Dan (110's).
The day's wagering was manically frustrating having found several featured price plays that ran well but ultimately fell short of placements required for remunerative success. In the 5th, Fredricksburg (9-1) threw his head before the gates opened and missed the start before turning in a sustained run that got him the super slot in his debut. Mark him down for next time. Meanwhile, Summer Shiner (29-1) was involved from the outset chasing Craving Carats and ended third. The 6th saw Lord of Love (10-1) stymied for a beat while trying to rally, only to miss by a neck and head, third to Poliziotto and Prime Devil. In the De La Rose, Dancing to Town (10-1) ran a courageous race on the front end only to be headed at the wire by favored Dealbata that stole an exacta score out from under with winner Julie's Love. In the 11th, 23-1 Ya Gotta Have Soul lost the photo to 46-1 (!) Our Dark Knight quashing a big exacta with slam dunk 4-5 winner Dominus. Finally, in the nightcap, 24-1 Out of Your Mind was too fresh from the gate for Edgar Prado to deal with and after chasing 'chaser Manacor, leveled out in the stretch to be 4th. One price that did help out was the 7-1 on Fort Larned who hooked up with Ron the Greek for a decent $70+ exacta in the Whitney. So while there were consistent losses much of the day, I left knowing the concepts brought to the undertaking were valid enough. Hope everyone did OK and enjoyed the good Saturday racing. Vanderbilt Day Sunday with agood card and exceedingly intriguing feature with Shackleford, Emcee, Rothko, Justin Phillip and more.. SARATOGA RACE COURSE PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Trophy Wife 3-1 WON ($8.30) Best Value: #1 Centrina 6-1 5th Next Best: #3 Decennial 5-1 9th Exotics Use: #2 Forbidden Gift 10-1 2nd 2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Input 3-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Cornhusker 10-1 DNF Next Best: #2 Conspiracy 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Lelaps 10-1 WON ($10.60) 3rd: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Zito sends Mrs. Whitney's Prescott Brown, an Awesome Again colt out of KY Oaks winner Bird Town who has had trouble getting a foal to the races.. CAME OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #5 Loud Pipes 7-2 2nd Best Value: #7 Late SCR Next Best: #2 Rockin Boogie 3-1 DNF-Lost rider Exotics Use: #1 Our Mister 8-1 WON ($8.40) 4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Late SCR Next Best: #6 Resonating 9-5 WON Best Value: #2 Evasive Cat 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Brilliant Katie 5-1 3rd 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) CAME OFF THE TURF Best Value: #7 Late SCR Next Best: #8 Junoon 5-2 WON Exotics Use: #10 Always Home 4-1 5th Super Add: #2 Late SCR <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-6-9 3: 1-2-5-7 4: 2-6-7 5: 7-8-10 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/ALL/6,7/ALL) Paid $4.70 x 24 = $112.80 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T P6, P3, DD) Fun group with interesting peds including Paddy O'Prado baby sis Double Tapped. 3-1 on Three Hearts is an underlay. Pundits may cite her being a sib of Pluck, as if that's an endorsement.. Most Likely: #3 Double Tapped 6-1 6th Best Value: #6 Pink Traffic 8-1 4th Next Best: #1 Anita Chica 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Skyfall 4-1 WON ($12.80) 7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Here it is... A NY-bred turf route allowance. The most productive value events on the circuit.. CAME OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #1 I Dreamt I Was 7-2 3rd Best Value: #4 SCR Next Best: #5 SCR Exotics Use: #2 Siracha 15-1 8th 8th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Doubt the 5-1 on Sassy Expressions with Tony Dutrow numbers on the drop, etc.. Most Likely: #2 Sassy Expression 5-1 5th Best Value: #7 Uncaged Heart 6-1 4th Next Best: #6 SCR Exotics Use: #5 Ascended Fever 3-1 3rd 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Professor Fate 4-1 4th Best Value: #4 Ascauga 6-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Thermal Cat 5-2 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #8 Cajun Breeze 3-1 2nd 10th: 28th Vanderbilt H. (G1), 3+, 6f (DD) Great group for this prep/companion to the Forego.. Best Value: #4 Rothko 8-1 5th Next Best: #1 Shackleford 6-5 8th Exotics Use: #3 Justin Phillip 10-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Emcee 2-1 3rd 11th: CLM, 3+, 7f Some scrammble in this nightcap with a million things going on at once: Drop downs, Cut backs, Turf to dirts, First off claim. you name it. Grab your angle and hold on tight! Best Value: #10 Kid Wando 15-1 5th Next Best: #5 Africanist 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #3 My Man Dan 5-1 11th Super Add: #4 Devoted Wildcat 8-1 4th @$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-6/SCR-7 9: 4-6 10: 1-2-3-4 11: 3-4-5-9-10-11-14 3x2x4x7 = 168 x .50 = $84 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-05-2012 at 08:41 PM. 
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#2
08-05-2012, 08:26 AM
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The Met Mile got a 115.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#3
08-05-2012, 08:35 AM
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Quote:
 THX Andy.. And a good point as I looked only at performance over a mile... The 5 additional 110+ performers at a mile or less in '12: Caleb's Posse 115, 110 Shackleford 115 Camp Victory 112 Groupie Doll 112 Calibrachoa 111
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
08-05-2012, 09:24 AM
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Quote:
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#6
08-05-2012, 09:25 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
08-05-2012, 10:01 AM
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Awaiting changes and already see two pieces of disconcerting news..
2ND: #9 Input 2 ALUMINUM PADS ON 4TH: #2 Evasive Cat 2 ALUMINUM PADS ON
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
08-05-2012, 10:05 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
08-05-2012, 11:42 AM
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First thunderstorm hits...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
08-05-2012, 12:10 PM
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And the second..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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