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Old 07-29-2010, 05:51 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Default Baghdad Bob's newest job

Remember that Iraqi Information Minister dude who would come on tv during the early stages of that pointless invasion of Iraq?



Yeah, him.

I think his new job is morning line maker at Presque Isle. He put on one of his finest performances of the meet in yesterday's 8th race.

* meet the 4/1 morning line favorite: He was a well beaten 4th on a gold rail at 99/1 odds last out. In his other start he was beaten 13+ lengths to Chateau De Negro.



* meet 5/1 morning line second choice Gentleman Caller: He was beaten 16+ lengths to Chateau De Negro - has a career top Beyer of 33 - and you can always count on a 4-for-98 trainer to get big improvment with a 5th time starter.



* meet 8/1 on the morning line Chateau De Negro: He was 2nd beaten a length at even money when racing against a bias and tougher horses at this same class level last time out. Two starts back he was unprepared for the start, broke slow and was forced to rush up and was 3 wide against a bias. He's obvious lone speed in this spot as well.




Chateau De Negro goes off at 7/5 from an 8/1 ML. The morning line favorite goes off at 19/1 and the morning line second choice goes off at 37/1.

http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20100728&RN=8
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Old 07-29-2010, 06:24 AM
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joeydb joeydb is offline
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This would make a good example case if Steve has another discussion on morning line odds on the radio show.

That was weird. In the long-running discussion of how much the morning line affects the betting, it would seem that in that race the betting public correctly tracked in on the true contenders, regardless of the morning line odds.
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  #3  
Old 07-29-2010, 08:38 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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I turned in my picks for yesterday's card under the title 'Presque Isle Wed Selections' .. and someone new in the sports department thought it was a spam E-mail about weddings (since Presque Isle is where a lot of weddings happen) and they deleted it. My cell phone was off all evening and so for the first time ever - they ran a card without my picks.

I had the exacta in that race picked cold - it paid just $12.00 - and consisted of a horse winning who was 8/1 on the ML and a 2nd place finisher at 6/1 on the ML in a 12 horse field.

Had the picks appeared - I would have heard how those two horses got "Salvatore'd down" ... when in reality they went off at the odds they should go off at. It's a frequent thing where horses that are 5/1 on the ML go off at 4/5 - not because I pick them like a few goofballs upstairs think, but because those are the odds they should go off at.
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Old 07-29-2010, 09:15 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
I turned in my picks for yesterday's card under the title 'Presque Isle Wed Selections' .. and someone new in the sports department thought it was a spam E-mail about weddings (since Presque Isle is where a lot of weddings happen) and they deleted it. My cell phone was off all evening and so for the first time ever - they ran a card without my picks.

I had the exacta in that race picked cold - it paid just $12.00 - and consisted of a horse winning who was 8/1 on the ML and a 2nd place finisher at 6/1 on the ML in a 12 horse field.

Had the picks appeared - I would have heard how those two horses got "Salvatore'd down" ... when in reality they went off at the odds they should go off at. It's a frequent thing where horses that are 5/1 on the ML go off at 4/5 - not because I pick them like a few goofballs upstairs think, but because those are the odds they should go off at.

Take the oddsmaker job. I can see it now, the next Easy E. Look up to Eric, make him your role model. For a small fee, and a free meal I will come up and help you out.
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  #5  
Old 07-29-2010, 09:25 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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You'd make a much better linemaker than what's here ... or at most racetracks for that matter.

The sad part is .. I'm not joking.
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  #6  
Old 07-29-2010, 09:37 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
You'd make a much better linemaker than what's here ... or at most racetracks for that matter.

The sad part is .. I'm not joking.

I appreciate the confidence you have in me, this will help the friendship grow. Maybe even you can be part of the team. Give me an email link, I will express intrest in being the new linemaker at PID.
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