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#1
09-19-2009, 07:00 AM
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9/19: Belmont Park (4th-10th)
BELMONT PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: 22nd Noble Damsel (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Does Rutherienne win here? Probably.. Should you take $3 on a notorious hanger that refuses to win against whatever level of competition she faces? Absolutely not. Fred Seitz' filly has the hedge, Ramon and 5 pounds on the favorite. She's nearly as fast too and will be at least a $20 prop. I'll bite. Best Value: #1 Meadow Saffron 15-1 4th Most Likely: #7 Rutherienne 1-2 WON Next Best: #5 Quiet Meadow 5-1 2nd Super Add: #6 Social Queen 8-1 3rd 5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Sunny 5-1 9th Most Likely: #1 Es Mia 3-1 2nd Next Best: #3 Casa Di Vino 4-1 3rd Super Add: #2 Simple Western 8-1 WON .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 7 with 1-2-3-6 with 1-2-3-4-5-6 with All (1x4x5x7 = 140 x .10 = $14.00) 6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #5 Pictural 6-1 8th Most Likely: #4 Picou 3-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Brother Nick 10-1 4th Super Add: #8 Crown Point 20-1 9th .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 4-5 with 4-5 with 2-3-6-8-9-11 with All (2x1x6x8 = 960 x .10 = $9.60) 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 D' Wildcard 3-1 WON Next Best: #1 Live On the Edge 7-2 6th Best Value: #7 Pavoratti's Soul 10-1 7th Super Add: #8 Stroll for Acure 2-1 5th 8th: 120th Futurity (Gr. II), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 D' Funnybone 6-5 WON Next Best: #1 Discreetly Mine 9-5 2nd Best Value: #8 Successful Score 10-1 8th Super Add: #7 Thiskyhasnolimit 12-1 3rd .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-6 with 1-6-7-8 with 1-3-6-7-8 with All (2x3x3x5 = 90 x .10 = $9.00) 9th: 103rd Matron (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 7f (DD, Super) Very well-matched group of fillies.. Will play against 2-1 Violette fave.. Most Likely: #4 Awesome Maria 7-2 WON Best Value: #1 Worship the Moon 20-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Speightful Lady 6-1 7th Super Add: #2 Southern Truth 20-1 4th 10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Terrific nightcap with mind-bendingly balanced bunch of solid state-breds. Respect ML fave #10 Scientist (3-1), but simply compelled to find prices here. Impossible finish to very tough P4.. Best Value: #2 Globemaster 8-1 10th Most Likely: #12 Livin Large 6-1 7th Next Best: #5 Too Amenable 8-1 WON Super Add: #3 Gamblin Fever 15-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: Murderously tough quad.. 7: 1-4 8: 1-6 9: 1-2-4-5-6-8 10: 2-5-12 2x2x6x3 = $72 P4 Paid $268.50 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-19-2009 at 07:17 PM. 
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#2
09-19-2009, 07:28 AM
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-19-2009 at 07:42 AM.
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#3
09-19-2009, 12:36 PM
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First time I've ever seen a 10-for-21 horse be called a notorious hanger.
On another note, has this meet been chalky enough so far? Favorites are winning at over 46%.
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#4
09-19-2009, 12:46 PM
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#5
09-19-2009, 12:50 PM
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#6
09-19-2009, 12:51 PM
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I guess I dont understand, I put 36$ into trying to beat her... I thought it was worth trying to beat her.
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#7
09-19-2009, 07:22 PM
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And meet has been crazily chalky... (though Sciacca tried to shake it up in the opener with kooky San Naa at @ 60-1)...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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