1/17: Gulfstream/Santa Anita (P4's)

[Kasept]

Friday's double carryover at Santa Anita was again an exersize in ticket building. Despite no winner paying much better than 5-1, a successful run of the sequence brought back a terrific $43,360 (Consos $438.00) to an estimated 25 players. At least was able to warm up a little on the day after two dreadful efforts Wednesday and Thursday. Getting my single in the skien (Alex's Wish in the 5th) was maddening given that it I had already been bumped from the wager missing the 2 early legs. Leaving 'Super Add' A Flicker of Light off the P4 ticket cost the very generous $350 Quad return, but was at least able to recoup some simoleans keying Alex's Wish for a nice $89 triple. Hope you did OK and are ready for a great Saturday of racing across the country!


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Well-matched bunch and some attractive prices should emerge..

Most Likely: #5 So Glitzy 4-1: Cheif's 6yo dangerous fresh & this strip.. 5th
Best Value: #4 SCR (Subbing #7 Stormin Mon 6-1) WON
Next Best: #12 Swift Temper 3-1: Romans returnee drilling well.. 8th
Super Add: #1 D'wild Ride 20-1: Orseno closer can fire off break.. 4th


8th: Dania Beach, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Kopitar 3-1: Military gelding had impressive 2yo pair.. 6th
Best Value: #3 Big Al Cordes 20-1: Crazy ML price; Last off-turf a toss.. 13th
Next Best: #14 Jack Spratt 6-1: Leparoux will needs to work out trip.. WON
Super Add: #10 Sweetlandofliberty 20-1: Comfortable either surface.. 7th


9th: Mr. Prospector (Gr. III), 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Rollers 4-1: Tagg PHA stake winner comes back running.. 2nd
Best Value: #1 Kelly's Landing 6-1: Now 8, Kenneally star likes Hallandale.. 7th
Next Best: #6 He's So Chic 5-2: 5yo challenged FabStrike honorably last.. 4th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Sky Cap 6-1: Willensky Sky Mesa was OK in debut.. 11th
Best Value: #8 Check Point 20-1: Goldberg karma moves Rahy mare miss.. 5th
Next Best: #10 Lovamor 3-1: Top connected bay should be better at 3.. 4th
Super Add: #4 Alexandrite Ring 10-1: Karma galore 2nd start for McPeek.. 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-7-9-12
8: 3-9
9: 1-7
10: 2-4-7-8-10-12

6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Potentially important maiden route for sophs..

Most Likely: #6 Infernal 7-2: Sir Cherokee (!) bay faced toughies; Breaks through.. 9th
Best Value: #2 Millenium Lakes 6-1: Casse has brought a loaded wagon out West.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mayor Marv 5-2: Baffert-Pegram rednut running up bit too often.. WON
Super Add: #9 Meteore 9-2: Mandella Pulpit improved on stretchout, had trouble.. 8th


6th: 58th Santa Ynez (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: #3, #10

Most Likely: #9 Alpha Kitten 9-5: Sadler grey has drilled 21f since Starlet.. WON
Best Value: #5 Empressive Lady 4-1: Expect big try off :57.4 move 1/9.. 6th
Next Best: #8 Evita Argentina 5-2: Righted ship in Moccasin; Totes 6f bullet.. 2nd
Super Add: #1 Candilejas 15-1: Mullins miss the right exotics use at price.. 4th


7th: 29th San Rafael (Gr. II), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Great kickoff to the Cali sophomore season with intriguing cast..

Most Likely: #6 Square Eddie 8-5: O'Neill told ATR juvy star is ready for 3yo debut.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 The Pamplemousse 4-1: Canani's 'grapefruit' broke MDN in route bow.. WON
Exotics Use: #2 Fiddlers Afleet 6-1: Dangerous NYB was purchased off Runyon run-up.. 5th
Super Add: #4 Ryehill Dreamer 12-1: Shirreffs' Euro surprise package overlaid at ML.. 3rd


8th: 57th San Fernando (Gr. II), 4yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Unbelievably deep and harrowing field for this important Santa Anita H'cap run up event..

Best Value: #9 Silver Sword 30-1: Celeb outfit colt looks live stretching out.. 10th
Most Likely: #10 Slew's Tiznow 7-2: Aced War Chant with big fig; Rested, tactical.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Nownownow 12-1: Malibu prepped; Attractive returning to 2 turns.. WON
Super Add: #2 Wishful Tomcat 8-1: New to IEAH, versatile rig a threat saving ground.. 3rd


9th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #6 Railroad 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Jack Hes Tops 15-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Valiant Effort 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Luhuk's Dancer 8-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Rivergrade Boy 20-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-8-9
7: 6
8: 2-6-9-10
9: 1-3-5-6-8-10

3x1x4x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

Gulfstream -- Early Changes: Saturday, January 17

Track: Fast Turf: Firm Rail 36 Feet

Race 1: #7 First Time Lasix

Race 3: #1 Inez Karlsson
#3 #10 First Time Lasix

Race 4: Scratch #5 #7
Jockey Change #1 POE Daniel Coa

Race 5: Scratch #13 #14

Race 7: Scratch #4

Race 8: Scratch #5

Race 10: Scratch #1A POE #13 #14 #15

[Scav]

If I was allowed to play TWO horses today and only two, I would be playing Kopitar to win, and then rolling that over on Infernal to win.

While Kopitar should be odds on, Infernal might not be because that Mayor Marv horse just lost a head to Papa Chem, but Mayor Marv had EVERY OPPORTUNITY to go right past him, I think he hangs on horses, regardless of blinkers. Also note that Infernal's sire, Sir Cherokee, gets runners that improve with the stretchout.....

$100 win on Kopitar should get you $250 or $300
$250 on Infernal should get you $900

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Scav

If I was allowed to play TWO horses today and only two, I would be playing Kopitar to win, and then rolling that over on Infernal to win.

While Kopitar should be odds on, Infernal might not be because that Mayor Marv horse just lost a head to Papa Chem, but Mayor Marv had EVERY OPPORTUNITY to go right past him, I think he hangs on horses, regardless of blinkers. Also note that Infernal's sire, Sir Cherokee, gets runners that improve with the stretchout.....

$100 win on Kopitar should get you $250 or $300
$250 on Infernal should get you $900

Tom..

Agree with both as the key horses in those events. I thought Infernal looked tons best in that SA 3rd, but I think 'Marv' and others are going to get bet plenty. Hammerle said there was lots of chatter around Clocker's Corner all week about Meteore as well as Thorondor.

As for Kopitar, if he's 3-1, how does Big Al Cordes get made at 20-1? Another bizarre GP line...

G/L today!

[sdjcom]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

minus-$24.50 (2009)


2) $2ex pw 4-7 with 2-4-6-7 $5wp 4 lost

4) $2 ex box 5-6-7 $5wp 5 scr 5-7 no bet

7) $2ex pw 2-5 with 1-2-4-5 $5wp 2 scr 4 lost

9) $2ex pw 6-7 with 1-3-6-7 $5wp #7 plc $12.00


total bet $ 62 lost 50.00 today -$74.50 (2009)

good luck, Stan

[sdjcom]

Thx Steve

[thunderdan09]

$1 Pick 4

1: 2,3,4,6,7,8 - WINNER - #7 Paid $22.20
2: 1,2,4 - WINNER - #2 Paid $13.80
3: 3 - WINNER - #3 Paid $5.00
4: 3,4,5,8,9 - WINNER - #9 Paid $4.40 (SCR#4)

$90 Ticket - Paid $1722.00

$1 Pick 4

6: 4,5,8,9
7: 1,3,6
8: 8
9: 1,3,5,11

$48 Ticket

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Scav

If I was allowed to play TWO horses today and only two, I would be playing Kopitar to win, and then rolling that over on Infernal to win.

While Kopitar should be odds on, Infernal might not be because that Mayor Marv horse just lost a head to Papa Chem, but Mayor Marv had EVERY OPPORTUNITY to go right past him, I think he hangs on horses, regardless of blinkers. Also note that Infernal's sire, Sir Cherokee, gets runners that improve with the stretchout.....

$100 win on Kopitar should get you $250 or $300
$250 on Infernal should get you $900

1) Infernal isn't as good as thought, bad trip, but still did zero running, I still don't believe in Mayor Marv, he will go in a stakes next and might get played but he had everything his own way and still hung down the lane a little......

2) Castellano is an idiot, 4w4w.....horrible...