Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-15-2009, 08:31 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,083
Default 1/15: Santa Anita (NOW $461k FRIDAY)

Struggled mightily Wednesday at both NY and Florida as P4's proved challenging from several standpoints. At Aqueduct, I lost early as ticket structure doomed the play, despite winners that were not that hard to identify (P4 returned $200). Gulfstream was a different story as the deep fields produced sizeable payouts on plausible but elusive types for a $778 return. Hope you did OK as I wasn't much help...

$103,000 P6 pot to start today at Arcadia..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MDN CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 James Prior 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Forster Hall 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Lucius Antonius 7-2 2nd


4th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Filter 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Hot n' Dusty 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Sterling Misty 10-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Summertime 7-2 7th


5th: CLM, 4yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Homemade Brew 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Lucky Striker 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 SCR


6th: MSW, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Lavender Touch 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Keira's Way 10-1 5th
Next Best: #10 More Than Music 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Kicken Vixen 5-1 4th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Heathersdaddysbaby 7-2 7th
Best Value: #7 We Will Rock You 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Squeeze Me Tight 9-2 9th
Super Add #9 Pretty Carina 3-1 6th


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #4 Coleville 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Hasty Treand 5-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Cole's Favorite 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Capt. Pike 4-1 4th
High 5 Play: #2 SCR


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 6
4: 1-2-3-4-7-8-9-10
5: 1-3
6: 4-9-10
7: 4
8: 4-6

1x8x2x3x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3
6: 4-9-10
7: 4-5-7-9
8: 4-6-9

2x3x4x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 01-16-2009 at 05:11 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-15-2009, 10:23 AM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default

Something isn't right about that Coleville. Smith rides in the race before, but isn't back on Coleville in the last race. Smith is damn near the adopted son of the Moss twosome. A Red light couldn't be more bright.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-15-2009, 10:29 AM
Rootdog1's Avatar
Rootdog1 Rootdog1 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: LexVegas
Posts: 2,481
Default

Your right, but the colt could have one more good race in him. They are dropping to cash out prior to sending him to the bench for while (my theory only). As capital is harder to come by, I expect to see more and more quality horses in claiming races as the risk of losing them is lowered. Get the cash is the name of the game.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-15-2009, 10:47 AM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Your right, but the colt could have one more good race in him. They are dropping to cash out prior to sending him to the bench for while (my theory only). As capital is harder to come by, I expect to see more and more quality horses in claiming races as the risk of losing them is lowered. Get the cash is the name of the game.
O.K., but why don't they want to give their favorite boy the 1k for riding? That dude must not want to take the chance of getting hurt that must be coming with this one.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-15-2009, 10:53 AM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default

If you look, his stride is like short n' choppy in that 1st race he had. He made a decent move, but the stride ain't looking that good(to me.) Why does Moss have a horse with Sherman to begin with? It's like the back legs have a big stride, and the front legs have a choppy lil stride. Ran good enough to beat maiden claimers, but (I ask again) why doesn't Smith want the thousand bucks that would come his way for winning tonite on him?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-15-2009, 11:12 AM
jwkniska's Avatar
jwkniska jwkniska is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Mt. Prospect, IL (AP)
Posts: 1,578
Default

don't count out North Rodeo at 8-1 in the 4th. Highest speed number on the downhill course that came in a 150k stakes two races back... with horse now dropping into $48k allow. Wish wasn't in the 1 hole, but I think has a real shot to win.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-15-2009, 03:59 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

3: 2,6
4: 8,9,10
5: 1
6: 8,9,10
7: 1,5,9
8: 6
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-15-2009, 04:11 PM
Rootdog1's Avatar
Rootdog1 Rootdog1 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: LexVegas
Posts: 2,481
Default

Im blocked at work...saw the 4 won, what did he go off at? also, did the #1 run or scratch? thanks
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-15-2009, 04:12 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Im blocked at work...saw the 4 won, what did he go off at? also, did the #1 run or scratch? thanks
4 won at 2/1, 1 ran 2nd I think
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-15-2009, 04:40 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Im blocked at work...saw the 4 won, what did he go off at? also, did the #1 run or scratch? thanks
Rootleg, leg 2 is 10-8-5
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-15-2009, 06:11 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

SCUDS' GUY Blowing up the Pick Six....MOON HAN SON!!
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 01-15-2009, 06:14 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
Default

this track is un playable..they stiff faves bury themselfs behind horses..ect..its a joke
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 01-15-2009, 09:43 PM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
SCUDS' GUY Blowing up the Pick Six....MOON HAN SON!!
Scav, I played the Rock You horse. My dad had me put $40 on the Mission Viejo filly. At 1st, I didn't want to make the bet, but just kept quiet. Made it for him. Then as the race was about to go off I finally looked at her, and she had a couple turf sprint wins. Obviously, she looked too slow, but if they've never been down the hill, then you never know. So, I thought she actually had a lil upset shot. Believe me, I was begging for that girl to get up past my horse. It was pretty cool. I mean, at his age, the fkn high point of his day is watching Jeopardy.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:30 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.