Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:02 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default Worth a Thought?

I'm going to make an argument here that I don't know if I even whole heartedly believe in myself but I feel it's worth at least a passing thought. In 2003, I supported a horse named Candy Ride for HOY. As anyone that has read anything I post on here knows, I don't think a horse has to run any certain number of races or win any specific ones in order to be considered for an Eclipse Award. The only listed criteria for consideration for the awards is that a horse start at least once in NA. It was under this same line of thinking that I supported Ghostzapper as a repeat HOY in 2005. If one performance can win an award in the other divisions, as it often does in the sprint, grass, and 2yo divisions, why not for older male or HOY? And who says that one outstanding performance has to be in the Breeders' Cup? Can anyone disagree that Ghostzapper's 2005 Met Mile was the single best performance of the year by any horse? Getting back to Candy Ride, I didn't think he had done enough on the dirt to deserve the award over Pleasantly Perfect, Medaglia d' Oro, and maybe even Mineshaft. I also didn't think he had done enough on the grass to deserve it over Johar, Sulamani, or Storming Home. But I thought his COMBINED efforts on both surfaces, where he beat top class horses on each while running some very fast races, were enough to stamp him out as the overall best horse of 2003. This was an argument that many didn't agree with then and I'm sure still wouldn't agree with now. Which brings me to 2008.

Should Einstein be in the conversation for best horse of 2008? He wasn't the top dirt horse of the year by any stretch. He is in the conversation for top grass horse though. When combining his grass and dirt races together, he had arguably the best year of any horse in this country when considering all factors. Not just the names of the races won but the consistency in performance and the actual competition faced. Curlin won bigger races than he did but didn't come close to beating horses as accomplished as what Einstein beat during the year. Not close. Consider who Einstein beat:

-in the Gulfstream Turf Hcp. (Dancing Forever, who went on to win the gr1 Manhattan and the gr2 Elkhorn in addition to finishing third in the BC Turf).

-in the Woodford Reserve (Out of Control, a dual gr2 winner last year and 2nd in three gr1 races this year, a nose from winning two of them and Artiste Royal, himself a gr1 winner this year).

-in the Clark. None other than Commentator, who was considered one of the three best dirt males in the country.

-in the Maker's Mark. Although Einstein finished second here, beaten a length by champion Kip Deville, he did beat out subsequent gr1 winner Thorn Song.

If you look at the list of horses that Curlin beat this year, it's not even close to comparable. The best horse he beat this year was Einstein and that wasn't on Einstein's preferred surface. Was there any horse that better combined versatility (winning on both surfaces and at distances from 8-11f) and consistency (three firsts, three seconds in gr1/2 competition) while racing at the top levels of the sport from the beginning of year to the end? My answer is no. Although Einstein won't win a single award this year, I thought it was worth pointing out how good his year really was. If there was an award for most underrated, he'd be a shoe-in.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:06 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

I was just going to write the same thread about why Court Vision should be Horse of the Year.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:13 PM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

Quote:
Should Einstein be in the conversation for best horse of 2008?
No.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:47 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

WORTH A THOUGHT??

It is worth a thoght, as to why all King G's post are full page essays.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:45 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
I'm going to make an argument here that I don't know if I even whole heartedly believe in myself but I feel it's worth at least a passing thought. In 2003, I supported a horse named Candy Ride for HOY. As anyone that has read anything I post on here knows, I don't think a horse has to run any certain number of races or win any specific ones in order to be considered for an Eclipse Award. The only listed criteria for consideration for the awards is that a horse start at least once in NA. It was under this same line of thinking that I supported Ghostzapper as a repeat HOY in 2005. If one performance can win an award in the other divisions, as it often does in the sprint, grass, and 2yo divisions, why not for older male or HOY? And who says that one outstanding performance has to be in the Breeders' Cup? Can anyone disagree that Ghostzapper's 2005 Met Mile was the single best performance of the year by any horse? Getting back to Candy Ride, I didn't think he had done enough on the dirt to deserve the award over Pleasantly Perfect, Medaglia d' Oro, and maybe even Mineshaft. I also didn't think he had done enough on the grass to deserve it over Johar, Sulamani, or Storming Home. But I thought his COMBINED efforts on both surfaces, where he beat top class horses on each while running some very fast races, were enough to stamp him out as the overall best horse of 2003. This was an argument that many didn't agree with then and I'm sure still wouldn't agree with now. Which brings me to 2008.

Should Einstein be in the conversation for best horse of 2008? He wasn't the top dirt horse of the year by any stretch. He is in the conversation for top grass horse though. When combining his grass and dirt races together, he had arguably the best year of any horse in this country when considering all factors. Not just the names of the races won but the consistency in performance and the actual competition faced. Curlin won bigger races than he did but didn't come close to beating horses as accomplished as what Einstein beat during the year. Not close. Consider who Einstein beat:

-in the Gulfstream Turf Hcp. (Dancing Forever, who went on to win the gr1 Manhattan and the gr2 Elkhorn in addition to finishing third in the BC Turf).

-in the Woodford Reserve (Out of Control, a dual gr2 winner last year and 2nd in three gr1 races this year, a nose from winning two of them and Artiste Royal, himself a gr1 winner this year).

-in the Clark. None other than Commentator, who was considered one of the three best dirt males in the country.

-in the Maker's Mark. Although Einstein finished second here, beaten a length by champion Kip Deville, he did beat out subsequent gr1 winner Thorn Song.

If you look at the list of horses that Curlin beat this year, it's not even close to comparable. The best horse he beat this year was Einstein and that wasn't on Einstein's preferred surface. Was there any horse that better combined versatility (winning on both surfaces and at distances from 8-11f) and consistency (three firsts, three seconds in gr1/2 competition) while racing at the top levels of the sport from the beginning of year to the end? My answer is no. Although Einstein won't win a single award this year, I thought it was worth pointing out how good his year really was. If there was an award for most underrated, he'd be a shoe-in.
Agree with this part. Had he beaten Curlin in the Stephen Foster, then your argument might have some more weight. He's a versatile and admirable animal.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:52 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Agree with this part. Had he beaten Curlin in the Stephen Foster, then your argument might have some more weight. He's a versatile and admirable animal.
Had he beaten Curlin there, in addition to having just beaten Commentator, he might actually be HOY. My argument isn't that he should be though. I'd personally vote for Raven's Pass followed by Curlin then Zenyatta. But I just thought it was interesting that Einstein wouldn't even get a mention. Maybe he shouldn't but I think he should.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-02-2008, 12:56 PM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
But I just thought it was interesting that Einstein wouldn't even get a mention. Maybe he shouldn't but I think he should.

Is it possible you over think things?
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-02-2008, 01:56 PM
cakes44's Avatar
cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,745
Default

Maybe if he ran one step in the Arlington Million. However, he did not.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-02-2008, 01:58 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44
Maybe if he ran one step in the Arlington Million. However, he did not.
But Big Brown can be considered even though he ran worse in the Belmont? Interesting.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:11 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

King Glorious posted this to incite a discussion and raise people's ire. Even he knows the entire premise of his post is patently absurd.

Einstein is, however, a really neat horse worthy of recognition. He's overcome issues for years and is a horse of true quality on both turf and dirt ( better on turf ). His race at Fair Grounds early last year was spectacular. He should be considered Versatile Horse of the Year.

He would have drowned Big Brown on the turf when he was at his best.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:16 PM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
King Glorious posted this to incite a discussion and raise people's ire. Even he knows the entire premise of his post is patently absurd.

Einstein is, however, a really neat horse worthy of recognition. He's overcome issues for years and is a horse of true quality on both turf and dirt ( better on turf ). His race at Fair Grounds early last year was spectacular. He should be considered Versatile Horse of the Year.

He would have drowned Big Brown on the turf when he was at his best.
Do you think he's an attorney?

As for Einstein drowning Big Brown on turf, Big Brown only had two starts on turf, one as a two year old. It's possible he had room for improvement had he run as a four or five year old.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:18 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
King Glorious posted this to incite a discussion and raise people's ire. Even he knows the entire premise of his post is patently absurd.

Einstein is, however, a really neat horse worthy of recognition. He's overcome issues for years and is a horse of true quality on both turf and dirt ( better on turf ). His race at Fair Grounds early last year was spectacular. He should be considered Versatile Horse of the Year.

He would have drowned Big Brown on the turf when he was at his best.
To incite discussion, yes. To raise ire, absolutely not. Let me ask you something though in all seriousness. You say he would have drowned Big Brown on the turf at his best. I agree with you here. Between Einstein and Curlin, which of them beat the single best opponent on dirt, in your opinion? I say Einstein did when he beat Commentator.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:25 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
To incite discussion, yes. To raise ire, absolutely not. Let me ask you something though in all seriousness. You say he would have drowned Big Brown on the turf at his best. I agree with you here. Between Einstein and Curlin, which of them beat the single best opponent on dirt, in your opinion? I say Einstein did when he beat Commentator.

I didn't mean any of it in a bad way. Raising people's ire while inciting a discussion is a good thing.

I don't really agree.....as the good Commentator, so to speak, didn't show up. Believe me, I have problems with both Curlin ( this year ) and Big Brown, but each ran races better than anything Einstein ran. Big Brown's Florida Derby and KY Derby easily eclipsed anything Einstein did, and they were BIG races, and Curlin's Dubai World Cup, Woodward and Jockey Club were all better races. Frankly, I'm not sure any race Einstein ran on the turf compared particularly favorably to his second in the Man o War. Maybe his 2nd at Keeneland to the perfect trip fraud Kip Deville.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:47 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I didn't mean any of it in a bad way. Raising people's ire while inciting a discussion is a good thing.

I don't really agree.....as the good Commentator, so to speak, didn't show up. Believe me, I have problems with both Curlin ( this year ) and Big Brown, but each ran races better than anything Einstein ran. Big Brown's Florida Derby and KY Derby easily eclipsed anything Einstein did, and they were BIG races, and Curlin's Dubai World Cup, Woodward and Jockey Club were all better races. Frankly, I'm not sure any race Einstein ran on the turf compared particularly favorably to his second in the Man o War. Maybe his 2nd at Keeneland to the perfect trip fraud Kip Deville.
See, I agree with you that both of them ran better races than Einstein's best race. I agree on Curlin's Dubai race but I think the Woodward and JCGC were mediocre. The Foster was better for me and he just so happened to toy with Einstein in that race. Curlin's grass race may have been better than all of Einstein's races too although if pressed, I'd probably go with Einstein at Keeneland as well. For these reasons, Curlin would be placed higher on my ballot than Einstein would be. So would Big Brown. So would Zenyatta. So would Raven's Pass, who would get my top vote. Commentator also would have been placed ahead of him until last weekend.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 12-02-2008, 03:29 PM
cakes44's Avatar
cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,745
Default

I kind of figured you wanted to put a name on a hypothetical debate, so Einstein was the one who people would remember and fit the argument. That is why I think that any horse who gets trounced twice like Einstein did in the Million and the Donn deserves much consideration for HOY.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:22 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.