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#1
09-25-2008, 07:59 AM
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9/25: Belmont Selections ($186k C/O)
Even with the extra days to cap, Wednesday's carryover skien at Belmont proved impossible. Frankel's front-running Ground Frost ($14.40) in the opener started the parade of double digit winners which saw tough-to-like Vladimira ($33.40) win the fifth from Rodrigo Ubilio. I happened to love Quasicobra ($27.00) in the 6th, scoring on a win bet, but many undoubtedly left the back-in-form Romans' runner off their sextet ducat. Gold Record ($23.60), Stan Hough's first of two in the late P4, sealed the carryover deal in the 7th. (Of course the tone for the day was set from the get-go when Cleveland Johnson (!) won the opener..)
Thursday card looks safe from rain that is approaching New York, (and which may put a damper on the JCGC card which draws today), but the sequence is just as treacherous as yesterday's... BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Approaching this with experienced starters as the main plays and 'interesting firster' considerations below.. Most Likely: #1 Concorde's Dance 9-2: Hough again; Turns back.. 5th Best Value: #6 Sally's Song 8-1: Pletch bay's debut better than it looks.. 7th Next Best: #8 Just Livin a Dream 4-1: Improved in 2nd start; Sib of Gr. I winner.. 2nd Super Add: #10 Eleni's Hope 50-1: Strange line; Sister of Sabellina.. 10th Notable 1sters: #7 Gold d'Oro 8-1 (Adriano's 1/2 sister) 3rd #9 Habaya 8-1 (1st foal from the wondferful champion turf mare Golden Apples) WON #11 Driven Snow 6-1 (daughter of the excellent Wandesta) 6th 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2b (POE) Fiona Freud 5-2 3rd Next Best: #1e O'Brien entry 7-2 4th Best Value: #5 My Anna Rose 6-1 2nd 6th: CLM/C, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Dangerous race.. They all look deformed.. Most Likely: #2 Clemens 3-1 WON Best Value: #8 Arrrrr 6-1 Next Best: #7 Ready in the Morn 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Secret Stocks 12-1 7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD) The question here is what do you do with Bond's ML fave Ruffino (#5), who has been away 15 months? Note incredibly spotty worktab.. Your call.. Most Likely: #8 Alexandros 8-1 7th Best Value: #4 Benlayla 12-1 WON Next Best: #1 Tergesti 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Brookhaven's Money 12-1 6th 8th: OC-N3X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD) Most Likely: #6 Lucky Revival 5-2 5th Best Value: #1 Grace Happens 12-1 4th Next Best: #4 Boca Grande 2-1 WON 9th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 1m-T (Super) Best Value: #10 Ain't No Star 12-1 11th Most Likely: #4 Royal Tapit 8-1 4th Next Best: #7 Ten Ten Ten 6-1 12th Super Add: #12 Summit Creek 12-1 10th .10 Super Play: 4-7-10 over 4-7-10 over 1-4-5-7-10-11-12 over 1-4-5-7-10-11-12 (3x2x5x4 = 120 x .10 = $12.00) <$200 P6 Play: 4: 1-6-8-9 5: 1-2 6: 2-7-8 7: 8 8: 1-6 9: 4-10 4x2x3x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-7-8-9 7: 1-4-8 8: 1-6 9: 4-7-10 4x3x2x3 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-25-2008 at 04:44 PM. 
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#3
09-25-2008, 10:13 AM
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Scratches
5TH
3 Skipping Class Early 3X Smartgabrielle Early 12 North Ocean Drive Early 13 Queen of Fashion Early 6TH 1 (poe) Aflareandaprayer Early 6 Know the Game Early 7TH 1A Oedipus O'Neal Early 7 Lee Stewart Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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