12/6: Aqueduct (r4-9)

[Kasept]

A very bettable card Wednesday at the Big A with the P6 races featuring full fields, solid favorites and intriguing price candidates...

Big day for Derby Trail-connected runners too:


5th: #2 Smokem Then Frolic (LBigDog) also 2nd race, #7 That's a Given
6th: #1a Casey's Joy (Gales)
7th: #4 This Is True (Storm Cadet) SCR!
3rd: #4 Pink Viper; 7th: #6 Daddy Joe (Outofthebox)


SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, 12/6 (R4-9, P6-P4-P3's-Grand Slam-DD's)


POST SCRATCHES...


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo fillies, 1m (P3/P6)

1. #2 Regal Playtime 7-2: 3rd Reynolds gets Coa for obscurely bred 3/0-1-1-1 bay
2. #6 Rosie's Attitude 2-1: WON Bush miss just missed v. stakes-places Visual Candy
A. #3 Pure Business 3-1: 2nd Dutrow-Dominguez +30% together; Obvious inclusion
B. #5 Freakazoid 12-1: 4th Savvy Hills gets plus results back 10 days/less


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo fillies, 6f (P3/Grand Slam/Superfecta)

1. #9 Fivefingerdiscount 3-1: 2nd Fact Coa lands here (versus with Levine) telling
2. #2 Smokem Then Frolic 8-1: WON From C. Martin and DTer Lansdon Robbins
A. #8 Cost of Luck 8-1: Jerkens potent when adding Lasix (8w/23st)
B. #7 Return to Tiffany 10-1: Ryerson goes T2D with Colorado (!) bred bay

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #3 High Audition SCRATCHED


6th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, DD)

1. #2 Marital Asset SCRATCHED
2. #7 Sensational Humor 8-1: Apopreciate price on Bush-Antsu red 2nd/break
A. #3 Ever Shifting 3-1: $5.2MM bay finally debuts and T.A. goes Coa (33%)
B. #1e McLaughlin entry 9-2: Seems prudent to include KMc pair underneath

Scratch Sub: #5 Marquet Desire 8-1 3rd


7th: CLM/N3L, 3yo's, 6f (P3/Superfecta)

1. #5 Stan the Man 3-1: 2nd Sharp since Spa and could sit speed-stalking trip
2. #6 Daddy Joe 15-1: $900k Paraneck 4yo steadied early last, goes 1st/tag
A. #7 Crunch the Numbers 5-2: 4th Klaravich/Violette giving up on yet another
B. #4 This Is True SCRATCHED

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #1e Russo entry 20-1: #1 Private Town SCRATCHED (#1a Brightest Ice runs and is a bit less likeable..)


8th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 9f (DD)

1. #8 Dancing Forever 3-1: 2nd Phipps' Rahy red tough with repeat of last
2. #4 Tasteyville 12-1:3rd Like price on Kelly grey 3/3 placing on inner, 3rd/break
A. #3 Fly So Far 15-1: Albertrani clicking with Smitty; Holy Bull also 3rd/break
B. #9 Broadway Producer LATE SCRATCH

LONGSHOT ALERT: #1 Greg Got Even 20-1: Hills bay will like 9 panels and has steady string of a.m. efforts in tow; Exotics charge if ready


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Superfecta)

1. #5 Raisin' Silver 7-2: WON Domino grey sitting on forward effort
2. #3 La Cunamh De 12-1: Schettino grey has had three straight poor breaks
A. #4 My Aiken Cat 3-1: Ribaudo miss beaten a head in bow
B. #9 Today's Charmer 9-2: 2nd Broman-bred bay threat with clean break, trip

Scratch Sub: #8 Friday Trick 6-1 3rd


Multi-race horses:

4: 2-6
5: 8-9
6: 5-7
7: 5-6-7
8: 4-8
9: 3-4-5-9


Fun, tough set of races!

Good luck..
Steve

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

Scratches and changes and track conditions. Go get em kiddies.
Of particular interest in scratches is the horse we all seemed to love independantly, Marital Asset.
So much for that set of pik-3's, there goes my single.
Somedays you wake and up and say why do I bother?

[Pistol]

thanks for the post, i always have trouble at the duct. any thoughts in the first

Originally Posted by Pistol

thanks for the post, i always have trouble at the duct. any thoughts in the first

First is kinda hard to play In my opinion.
I expect Lethal Missile to be a heavy fave, as he is lone speed off some good races, including his last where he was 3rd to double return winner Successful Affair. Hes also drawn the rail.
Whats the problem? To me its that there has been a trainer switch to Charlie Baker of Finger Lakes from Romans. And while Baker is very good, the horse has been training at Finger Lakes as of late and I know for a fact its harder to get one fit or keep one fit on that surface. Its not deep enough that they get anything out of their works, kinda like Philly Park.
I'm always real leery of taking a short price on a horse off a switch like this. He looks so very logical, but at that price the race is El Paso for me.

[Pistol]

good hit in the 5th on #2, i got on it , thanks

[Kasept]

Nice afternoon for DTer LBigdog (Lansdon Robbins) as Smokem Then Frolic breaks her maiden in the AQU 5th, and earlier, That's a Given (owned with Bruce Lunsford) was 2nd in the AQU 2nd...

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Pistol

good hit in the 5th on #2, i got on it , thanks

Good deal! And we're always rooting for LR3 and Carlos Martin, so everybody wins! (Except me, as I missed the tri having had no use for that Galluscio horse on the rail that was third..)

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

does the 9 fit with these in the 7th has some early speed

Originally Posted by Kasept

Nice afternoon for DTer LBigdog (Lansdon Robbins) as Smokem Then Frolic breaks her maiden in the AQU 5th, and earlier, That's a Given (owned with Bruce Lunsford) was 2nd in the AQU 2nd...

Actually it was really nice, someone claimed his horse that won.
He'll need some luck with her, lol.

[Pistol]

ok, so play the #6 to win, and help on the ex and tri. thinking 6-5-7 with the 9 maybe

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by Pistol

ok, so play the #6 to win, and help on the ex and tri. thinking 6-5-7 with the 9 maybe

nevermind on the nine..

The 1 might be a nice one to throw in at a price in the tris.
Last trainer doesn't win much, and new guy aint much either but hes 13% off the claim.
Dont like the post but the 2,5,8 might bang heads here early.