12/20: Fair Grounds (3rd-12th), GP/OP ($3 P3's), Remington (Springboard)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Coronado 3-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Golden Tempo 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #10 Hot Days Ahead 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Obelus 5-1 3rd


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Quick Kiss 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 White Smoke 6-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Island Flower SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Punch 12-1 5th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Aurora Sky 7-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Classy Beach 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Lady Iva 9-2 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Faded Jeans 8-1 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Throttle 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Gethsemane 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Reagan's Honor 8-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Tapit's Gunner 8-1 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (.20 Crescent City P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Cruisin Chuck 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Prepped 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Karate Island 8-1 8th
Super Add: #12 Matching Funds 10-1 11th


8th: Tenacious, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Sir Greylind 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Not This Boy 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Komorebino Omoide 4-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Stowaway 12-1 3rd


9th: Diliberto, 3+, 8.5F-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Theismann Late SCR
Next Best: #2 Kupuna 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Gigante 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Legalize 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

5: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-9 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7/SCR (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

6: 2-9 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7/SCR (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8


10th: Untappable, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Pashmina 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Hit Parade 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Funny Bunny 12-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Miss Call 3-1 6th


11th: Gun Runner, 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Not sure why everyone is discounting the Ohio bred. Fast ~ and got faster stretching out ~ and there's not a lot of speed signed on here..

Best Value: #5 Crown the Buckeye 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Chip Honcho 9-2 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Liberty National 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mister Punch 6-1 6th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f

Liberty Valance is a highly vulnerable favorite. Many better options.. and they're all 8-1!

Best Value: #6 Ocelli 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Market Runner 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Thunder Buck 8-1 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #7 Maximum Effort 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-7/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), 1-7 (C)
12: 6 (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x4x2x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AAACA): 2x4x2x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-7 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

9: 2-6-7/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), 1-7 (C)
12: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AACA): 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-7 in 11th)



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T/59' ($3 Tropical Turf P3, P5, P3, DD)

Insanely deep group of turf routers and I’m betting a giant price that is going to move way up on turf. Dutrow's Concrete Bolt (30-1) is 100% a turf horse being by Omaha Beach (out of the Bob Lothenbach dispersal) and a half to multiple turf stakes winner Minnesota Ready. Among the firsters, Mike Welsch talked up Gargan's Minotaur and Riley Mott's Coburg has a license to run well. Protect and Defund has pedigree as does C J Star. The curious FTS in here of course is the FULL to Rachel Alexandra from Pletcher (Epic d’Oro) debuting on grass. However ~ there was another full sibling out of Lotta Kim named Gladys that was good on the grass. Pick and pray..

Best Value: #1 Concrete Bolt 30-1 12th
Next Best: #7 Hamunaptra 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Boss Henry 9-2 WON ($9.40)
Super Add: #2 Coburg 15-1 7th


$3 Tropical Turf P3 Grid:

7: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54


9th: Suwannee River, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Public Defender 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sirona 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Movin On Up 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Crevalle d'Oro 7-2 WON ($22.40)


11th: Fort Lauderdale (G3), 3+, 9f-T/59' (Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Chasing the Crown 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Cugino 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wolfie's Dynaghost 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #5 Beach Gold 8-1 3rd



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Tinsel, 3+, 9f ($3 Get Out P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Willy D's 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Mackman 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Rattle N Roll 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Woodcourt 10-1 4th


$3 Get Out P3 Grid:

8: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-7-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x4 = 24 x $3 = $72


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f ($5 Late DBL)

Most Likely: #6 Lips Say Bliss 9-2 DH-WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #8 Classify 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Dive Bomber 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Carbone 6-1 8th


$5 Late DBL Grid:

9: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-7-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4 = 8 x $5 = $40


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #5 Run Jalen Run 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 B Sudd 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Invictus 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Gunflash 15-1 4th



REMINGTON ~ SPRINGBOARD MILE


POST-SCRATCHES


12th: Springboard Mile, 2yo, 1m

Best Value: #4 Royalamerican 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Spice Runner 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Big Apple Patrick 15-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Time for Music 9-2 9th


Let's get lucky!
Steve