7/16: Saratoga (Chuck Simon, Jonathon Kiser, Suzie O'Cain Memorials)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Kiser Novice, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Evie's Prince 3-1: Steinmann runner up the one to beat and not favored.. 4th
Best Value: #7 L'Avvocato 10-1 DNF-Rider fell
Next Best: #9 Blue Creek 9-2 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #8 China Beach 5-2 2nd


2nd: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Irrelevant 4-1: Fresh face from dangerous outfit working sharply.. 7th
Next Best: #6 Beer Run 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Dontworryboutnothn 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Cuando 9-2 4th


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Inaugural Chuck Simon Memorial

Most Likely: #2 Three B's 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aero Star 5-2 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Smilensaycheese 7-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Miles and Miles 2-1 4th


4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Undisputed 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kaz Oil Changer 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Iron Dome 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #6 State of Readiness 8-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Wamo 6-1: $210k Yaupon (30% first out so far) o/o Giant's Causeway mare.. DNF-Pulled up
Next Best: #3 Super Dave 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Three Thirteen 9-2 7th
Super Add: #10 Cristobal 6-1 3rd


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sassy Princess 8-5: Repeat of last overwhelms this group.. WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #10 Silent Melody 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Starlight Dancer 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Temple City Taboo 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

2: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2-4 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
5: 3-5-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

3: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2-4 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
5: 3-5-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x1 = 40 x .50 = $20
All A's: 2x2x3x1 = 12 x .50 = $6

$0.50 P4 (3-5-11-8) Paid $80.50


7th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mainstream 9-5: Facing good group, but controlling speed for Cox under Saez.. 5th
Best Value: #6 Private Flight 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Duration 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Barb 6-1 2nd


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Systemic Change 8-1: 6th Asmussen owned closer gets pace & Irad.. ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #8 Gilmore 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #9 My Noble Knight 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Alternate Reality 7-2 4th


9th: Suzie O'Cain-NY, 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner

Most Likely: #3 Trail of Gold 9-2 6th
Next Best: ##2 Mommy's Turn 7-2 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #7 Marvelous Madison 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Charlotte's Heart 9-2 8th


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-9 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
9: 2-3-7 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20
All A's: 1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup (AAACA): 1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-9 in 8th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve