10/20: Belmont (Showcase); Far Hills (Foxbrook, Grand National)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f-OFF/TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Crack Shot SCR
Next Best: #3 Tapit Tango 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Le Gros Bill SCR
Exotics Use: #13 Rouxhere 12-1 9th


2nd: Iroquois, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Holiday Disguise 3-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Highway Star 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #10 Picco Uno 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Satisfy 4-1 2nd


3rd: Mohawk, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Tapitation 10-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Offering Plan 8-5 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #9 Black Tide 3-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Rapt 12-1 2nd


4th: Hudson, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Eye Luv Lulu 9-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Gold for the King 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Candid Desire 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 My Boy Tate 7-2 8th


5th: Ticonderoga, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fifty Five 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #6 La Moneda 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Conquest Hardcandy 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Lady Joan 4-1 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f-OFF/TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Overland 7-2 4th
Next Best: #14 Beachside 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Not That Brady 6-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Exchange Fever 5-1 6th


7th: Maid of the Mist, 2yo-F, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cartwheelin Lulu 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Surge of Pride 10-1 WON ($33.20)
Next Best: #9 Elegant Zip 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Galadriel's Light 15-1 10th


8th: Sleepy Hollow, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Dugout 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Poppy's Destiny 6-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Strive for a Cure 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Market Bubble 10-1 5th


FAR HILL RACE MEETING


FAR HILLS 4th: Foxbrook Novice Hurdle, 4+, 20f-National Fences (FH-BEL P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Boss Man 5-2 7th
Best Value: #2 City Dreamer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Surprising Soul 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Pik Em 8-1 5th


FAR HILLS 5th: Foxbrook Novice Hurdle, 4+, 20f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Amscel 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Ice It 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Cite 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Detroit Blues 6-1 WON ($12.60)


FAR HILLS 6th: Grand National (G1), 4+, 21f-National Fences (DD)

Best Value: #5 Clarcam 6-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Jury Duty 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Dawalan 8-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Hammersly Lake 3-1 7th


9th: Empire Distaff, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Bonita Bianca 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #8 Tiznow's Smile 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Frostie Anne 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Hay Field 6-1 5th


10th: Empire Classic, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Pat On the Back 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #7 Wine Not 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Can You Diggit 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sea Foam 12-1 7th


FH-BEL P4 Grid:

FH 5: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
FH 6: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
BEL 9: 8-12 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
BEL 10: 4-7-10 (A), 3-8-9 (B), 1-2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (9/7/3,11,12/5,10) PAID $154.50 (C-A-A-A)


11th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-OFF/TURF (Late)

Most Likely: #6 Dream Passage SCR
Next Best: #11 Lulu's Pom Pom SCR
Best Value: #3 Birthday Gift SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Mama Mary SCR


P4 Grid:

8: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), 2-4-11 (C)
10: 4-7-10 (A), 3-8-9 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
11: 6-11 (A), 3-8 (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

This is the 1st Far Hills meet where wagering will be allowed. Being from NJ, I was thinking of heading up there to check it out, but maybe another year.

Anyway, thanks Steve and good luck. I guess I’m not the only one who thinks Strive for a Cure could run a big race today? I like those ML odds.

[moses]

I love Cartwheelin Lulu but Elegant Zip at 8-1? Great odds there.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

I love Cartwheelin Lulu but Elegant Zip at 8-1? Great odds there.

EZ bet down to 9/2 in the last minute. Runs a solid second to Surge of Pride. Good call there Steve! She went off 15-1!