10/12: Keeneland (Jessamine; 4th-8th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky group to start the P5..

Most Likely: #6 Chastise 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #12 Expect a Kitten 5-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Saintly Ballad 12-1 12th
Exotics Use: #4 Coax 8-1 8th


5th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

That was a hot MDN race Oso Ready debuted in and won including Guest Suite who won finale here Sunday from wide berth. Can forgive synthetic flop..

Best Value: #1 Oso Ready 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Fact Finding 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Indian Lover 3-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Nice Not Nice 5-1 6th


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Rock solid set of tough-to-read ALW fillies with several getting class relief out of stakes and others displaying murky current form. With modest pace signed on, Jose Ortiz could be a great fit for LoPresti/Klein miss Dear Elaine (6-1) who could steal this on the front end..

Best Value: #8 Dear Elaine 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Thrilled 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Miss Mo Kelly 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Crown D' Oro 10-1 8th


7th: 26th Jessamine (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Excellent cast of quality fillies including stakes or maiden winners from SAR, KD, LaD, CD, BEL, WO, DEL, TDN, LRL, GP and Chantilly!

Most Likely: #2 La Coronel 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #5 Sweeping Paddy 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Wicked Lick 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Lipstick City 10-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Lull 3-1 2nd


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Ginger Stone 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Mango's Muse 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Tizsational 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #10 District Attorney 6-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Luce Mia 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

4: 6-12 (A), 11 (B), 2-4-5-7-9 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3 (C)
6: 4-8 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3-4-7-9 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)


P4 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 3 (C)
6: 4-8-9 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 5 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3-4-7-9 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 8 (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve