8/16: Saratoga (Day 21; SAR Special; $97k C/O); Del Mar ($97k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$97k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #7 Captain Moss 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Mission Driven 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #3 Ferocious Tiger 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Mr. Maybe 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Ross J Dawg 6-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

First of 2 irksome MSW affairs in sequence. Theatric had murmurs going on potential with big mare power out of Ashado, but workout views are mixed..

Best Value: #10 Hyper Nation 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Shayna Lady 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Theatric 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Tap to It 6-1 WON ($7.30)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 The Catmancan 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Fundamental 5-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Dreaming of Gold 8-5 5th
Super Add: #1 Big Family 5-1 6th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 La Reverie 20-1 10th
Next Best: #2 C d'Cat 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Ack Naughty 7-5 WON ($3.50)
Super Add: #8 Missy Bay 12-1 4th


9th: 110th Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Saratoga Mischief 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Holding Gold 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Hammers Vision 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Exaggerator 5-2 WON ($11.40)


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Girls Secret 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Downside Analysis 8-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Wedding Dress 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Grey Stark 7-2 4th


P6 Grid:

Believe this to be a sequence too tough to play for small money. May just focus on P4, P3's & Doubles..

5: 7 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-10 (C)
6: 8-10 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
10: 7 (A), 11 (B), 4-5-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x1x2 = 144 x $2 = $288


P4 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-3 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 4 (B), 8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 2 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 7-11 (A), 4-5-8-10 (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 What a View 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #14 Lucky Reality 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Unusually DNF-Lost rider
Exotics Use: #4 The Custodian 5-1 8th


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ipray 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Flyin for a Livin 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Kristinite 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #2 I Heart You 7-2 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Perfectly Majestic 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #7 Dead Easy 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Somethings Unusual 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Seeking the West 6-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Oh Great Idea 2-1 5th
Next Best: #5 C.C. Zipp 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wake the Dawn 4-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Coniah 20-1 10th


9th: 21st Solano Beach H., F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Journey On 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Smoove It 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Shysheisnot 20-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Chiati's On Top 7-2 WON ($13.80)


10th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 No Contingency 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 I Will Follow 6-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Sir Barclay 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Bishamon 10-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Financial District 8-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

5: 12 (A), 8-14 (B), 4 (C)
6: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 9 (A), 2-7 (B), 1 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
10: 11 (A), 4 (B), 7-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x2x4x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
Full (A/B/C): $204


P4 Grid:

7: 7-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
10: 4-11 (A), 7-10-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x $.50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $76


Good luck!
Steve