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#1
08-12-2013, 05:56 AM
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8/12: Saratoga (Day 22-Coronation Cup, Kid Russell)
Sunday's otherwise idyllic day at Saratoga were brought down considerably by unpleasant circumstances surrounding the running of the Adirondack. A bad step doomed McPeek's Charmed Hour at the back of the filly stake, while poor decision-making by Joel Rosario and Corey Lanerie were affecting the outcome through the stretch. Drawn inside, Lanerie and the heavily favored Fiftyshadesofgold were in jackpots all the way around the track and missed opportunities for an alternate route more than once before attempting to thread a needle inside Rosario and tiring Who's in Town. Rosario's desire to deny Lanerie and the Bret Calhoun trainee passage came close to initiating a pile up and resulted in the Michael Matz being disqualified from the win. The decision, which was a virtual certainty, elevated the hard-trying LA-bred Designer Legs into the circle. While Rosario was 100% wrong with his yellow card actions, Lanerie's failure to provide his gal a less harrowing route has to be acknowledged. Even more difficult though was the death throes of Charmed Hour who could not be prevented from making right in front of grandstand apron patrons. It completely diminished the otherwise perfect afternoon and weekend. Week 4 closes out with an interesting slate..
SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Lots of class dropping going on which makes for potential chaos. What there isn't in here, is a great deal of speed.. Most Likely: #5 Inflation Target 2-1 5th Next Best: #6 Tummel 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Martini Madness 12-1 WON ($12.20) 2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Well-matched field and vulnerable favorite Bin Elusive has to improve to contend.. Most Likely: #7 Seven Dreams 6-1 5th Best Value: #4 Hillary D 12-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Bin Elusive 5-2 8th Exotics Use: #1 Hailey's Star 7-2 6th 3rd: 2nd Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Magical Moon 7-5 2nd Best Value: #6 Little Sandy 10-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Lignite 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #1 Mystic Love 8-1 5th 4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) Hard to argue with C. Brown's numbers with horses like Leroy Jr. and you best believe he is out to impress the well-heeled new client involved.. Most Likely: #4 Leroy Jr. 5-2 4th Next Best: #6 National Buck 4-1 6th Best Value: #8 Downgoesfrazier 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Insighting 7-2 5th 5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) C. Brown looks for double here with sharp-working firster Due Diligence.. Most Likely: #8 Due Diligence 8-5 WON ($3.20) Next Best: #7 Sum Superstar 5-2 5th Best Value: #9 Vigorish 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 No Dishonor 4-1 4th <$50/$25 P4 Play: 2: ALL 3: 3-5-6 4: 4-6 5: 8 8x3x2x1 = $48 ($24 for .50) 6th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Inaflash 7-5 WON ($3.20) Next Best: #8 Rettalfa 3-1 4th Best Value: #7 Darnley Bay 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Toast to Ashley 4-1 3rd 7th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Terrific group. SCR of Dawly changes complexion a bit.. Most Likely: #5 The Truth and K G 4-1 WON ($9.70) Best Value: #7 Frazil 15-1 5th Next Best: #8 Hello Lover 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Nevada Kid 12-1 7th 8th: Kid Russell-R, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Another set of good horses led by favorite Hardened Wildcat who always fires.. Most Likely: #5 Hardened Wildcat 2-1 6th Best Value: #2 Right to Vote 8-1 4th Next Best: #3 Candyman E 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Trolius 12-1 5th 9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD) Most Likely: #2 Don't Say No 3-1 6th Next Best: #5 Radiohead 5-2 3rd Best Value: #1 Sokitumi Samurai 10-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Special Selection 15-1 7th 10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT Doesn't Edie look almost too likely? Most Likely: #4 Edie 2-1 WON ($3.50) Best Value: #3 Chick in Slacks 15-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Town Flirt 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Glamour Galore 10-1 - <$50 P4 Play: 7: 5-6-7-8 8: 2-5 9: 1-2-5 10: 4-3-8-10 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 08-12-2013 at 05:18 PM. 
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#2
08-12-2013, 10:08 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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