12/29: Gulfstream ($77 P5 C/O); Santa Anita ($148k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

Chalkout at Aqueduct Wednesday resulted in $50 loss on successful P4 play. Sequence had potential to go in much more lucrative direction however with near miss by 8-1 Swinging at Siro's in duel with Perfect Drive in the 6th. Plus, though I didn't use 35-1 runner-up Take Down Two in the 7th, there was a real possibility for him to win or get moved up had Coosada been DQ'd. So despite the $19 payoff in the quad, you can easily see how quickly the worm can turn in multi-race skiens. P6 at Santa Anita has fat $148k carry to start and Gulfstream features a $77k C/O in their P5..


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

$77k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #8 Fuhrever Dancing 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Send Him In 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Suave Jazz 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Juju 5-1 11th


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Hogde-podge of mediocrity. Looking for positive rider switches and key class relief players at a price. #15 Cass Lady would be a threat if able to draw in.

Best Value: #7 Desert Witch 12-1 10th
Next Best: #4 High On Kitten 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Resoundingly 7-2 9th
Super Add: #10 Zeenut 10-1 5th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Interesting group of 2yo's on lawn including Colonel John/Mr. Hot Stuff full brother Bill of Rights who receives T2D & Blinkers On makeover. Don't think they would be going green if he were any kind of colt. Silverton/Darren Miller bring Euro import in for 1st N.A. bid exiting what looks like it might have been nice company in Ireland. Pletcher/Starlight move Bridge Loan -- Empire Maker out of MSW Giant's Causeway mare -- to appropriate surface. Mott introduces Kinsman homebred by English Channel and you wouldn't think they'd name him Yankee Boss (after late farm patriarch) if he were a bum..

NOTE: #10 Bridge Loan has SCR'd; #16 Awesome Lady (4-1) surprisingly gets in and has a big chance with any kind of trip..

Most Likely: #4 Big Blue Spirit 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #16 Awesome Life 4-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Uncle Calvin 15-1 12th
Exotics Use: #11 Vector 6-1 9th


10th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

NOTE: Huge SCR's of 2 obvious faves leaves an always quirky 5 horse field..

Most Likely: #6 Supersonic Beauty WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Perfect Berry 5th
Next Best: #9 Lady d'Wildcat 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Vital Victory 2nd



11th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Ugly finish to sequences..

Most Likely: #5 Mountable 6-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Cash Belongings 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Portland Patty 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #14 Pleasant Hymm 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Lady Haddassah 4-1 WON ($13.60)



<$75 P5 Play:

7: 1-3-8
8: 4-7-8
9: 4
10: 1-5-6-9
11: 1-5-10-14

3x3x1x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 4-7-8
9: 4-7-16
10: 1-5-6-9
11: 1-5-10-14

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$148k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Backwoods Belle 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Elegant Eve 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Punch Drunk 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Silver Street 5-2 3rd


4th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Beautiful Strike 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Nifty Dream 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tanya's Tiara 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Boo Who Who 15-1 6th


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Ribat 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Stone Hot 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Metropolitan Man 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Warren's Knockout 8-1 6th


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 My Boy Luke 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Way Too Much 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Morganouska 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Skimming Skipper 15-1 5th


7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Husband's Folly 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Memphis 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Earnednevergiven 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Dance With Gable 7-2 2nd


8th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Two Feathers 5-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #3 Joca Queen 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Chilling Command 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Jessakar 8-1 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 2-6
4: 2
5: 10
6: 2-4-7
7: 1-2-7-11
8: 1-3-6-8

2x1x1x3x4x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-10
6: 2-4-7
7: 1-2-7-11
8: 1-3-6-8

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

Major SCR's in the 9th & 10th and a possibly important one in the 11th...

[GPK]

How quickly the worm can turn?

Is that a soap opera for annelids?

[pointman]

Steve, I think you may have an error in the 10th race of your GP pk5 play.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by pointman

Steve, I think you may have an error in the 10th race of your GP pk5 play.

Thx Nick.. Forgot to adjust the P5 for 10th race SCR.. G/L today. See you Saturday?

[Max Caidy]

Steve, Send Him In is the #3, not the #2.

[GPK]

Look SB, I'm sure Tina is on your mind alot, but it's Loaded Lady #16)in the 8th race not AWESOME LADY

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by GPK

Look SB, I'm sure Tina is on your mind alot, but it's Loaded Lady #16)in the 8th race not AWESOME LADY

The 9th is the right race.. The 16 that drew in there is Awesome Life (as opposed to Lady).

[GPK]

So, YOU and I both screwed up?!? At the same time?

World ending in 3...2...1...

[Kasept]

SA SCR/CHG'S

[Alan07]

Ticket alive on #4 for Rainbow 6 payoff, 4,6,7,12,13,15 uncovered in Pick 5.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Thx Nick.. Forgot to adjust the P5 for 10th race SCR.. G/L today. See you Saturday?

Will try to get down Saturday, been working on a major trial I am starting next Wednesday but hoping I can get away for the afternoon Saturday. Will see if I can drag Pat down there, it is my b'day so hopefully Pal has a gift for me!

Good Luck today!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Alan07

Ticket alive on #4 for Rainbow 6 payoff, 4,6,7,12,13,15 uncovered in Pick 5.

Would not have taken much to get the P6 'live' or one of the P5 uncovereds home.. Wow.

[clyde]

You know how it goes,Stevie...sometimes the horseys get you; and sometimes the horseys get you.