7-26: Saratoga (Day 4-Shipman; $48k C/O)

[Kasept]

Busy morning with 9-10a ATR and then Capital OTB-TV 10:30-11:30a, but wanted to be sure everyone enjoyed the weekend. Especially wonderful Sunday with more than 40 Dee Tee partners, family and friends attending Ausable Chasm's debut. The filly was short and tired to 6th, but had an overall positive experience through several tough elements including the rail draw and heavy mud flung at her for half mile. She'll come back August 16 or 22.

Was a nice day from a wagering standpoint Sunday as well with a few good opinions and plays coming through including the $123.50 exacta in the Sanford. I have to apologize for transcribing the 2nd race selections into the P4 incorrectly though, as that botched the modest $90.50 payoff. Third race longshot try A Smart Judge gave a great effort at an overlaid 27-1 as well, though you had to settle for the exacta with the 4-5 Morrison comebacker Cody Samora. Hope you did well! Carryover today of $48k...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: 6th RACE IS OFF THE TURF


1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Moon Nistle 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #8 Fiery Rebel 8-1 4th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Yeah they're dime claimers, but a fun betting race with a few in here at double digits worth including or working from..

Most Likely: #1 Taza 9-2 7th
Best Value: #4 By the Sky 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Zippy Larry 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 First Flute 12-1 9th


3rd: 29th Evan Shipman, NY-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Good balanced edition of this Empire standard named for the brilliant turf scribe..

Most Likely: #7 Ichabad Crane 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Giant Moon 5-2 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #3 Groomed for Victory 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Mighty Morris 4-1 7th


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

P6 carryover of $48,600 starts here.. Pretty good group of maidens for $25k..

Best Value: #9 Avenging 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Bird Empire 4-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Mystic Fever 7-2 WON ($9.50)


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky group of quality turf gals with a couple eligible to jump up and win with the right trip..

Best Value: #6 Queen of the Creek 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Most Likely: #1 Diamond Dina 3-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Hot Trip 12-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Consequence 4-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-6
3: 5-7
4: 2-8-9
5: 1-6-9

4x2x3x3 = $72


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Electra's Ego 3-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Hennessy Light 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bernie's Pal 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #13 Mahogany Mist 10-1 9th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Platinum Plus 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Honorable Truth 8-1 WON ($25.60)
Next Best: #6 Mollyisintheclouds 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Double Dinghy Day 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $45.25
$1 Trifecta (7-3-1) Paid $243.50
$1 Superfecta (7-3-1-6) Paid $886.00


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Checklist 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #5 Dr. W 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Hamazing Destiny 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Rollers 4-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Utterly treacherous nightcap that could derail anyone's P6 play. Wild card is Ramsey 'Kitten' firster that gives mixed signals with Wes Ward not as strong debuting them around two turns, though solid bowing in MCLM company. You get Leparoux and 10-1, and this isn't exactly the an Ascot field of turfers..

Most Likely: #7 Lamar Valley 7-2 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #11 Pico Dinero 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Brad's Kitten 10-1 11th
Super Adds: #4 Pagan Ruler 8-1 8th; #10 Maloof Magic 8-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-8 (4-9)
5: 1-6
6: 1-8-11
7: 3
8: 4
9: 4-7-9-11

<$200: 4x2x3x1x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192 $2 P6 (4/6/3,4,5,7,8,9/7/4/7) Paid $200.00 (5 OF 6)
<$100: 2x2x3x1x1x4 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-8-11
7: 3-7
8: 4-5-6
9: 4-7-9-11

3x2x3x4 = $72 $1 P4 (3,4,5,7,8,9/7/4/7) Paid $696.50


Good luck!
Steve