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Old 02-06-2010, 02:54 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,082
Default 2/6: GP (5th-11th); SA (Cancelled)

WINTER OF DISCONTENT: I live in Upstate New York and spent 10 years in Montreal, but I don't think I'd have been able to 'weather' the surprisingly tough series of winter storms the Mid-Atlatic region has faced this year. A second pile of snow will KO most of the seaboard's racing today, including a second cancellation of the Magna 5 because of Laurel. (Maybe I'm being overly critical, but you might have thought that MEC would have anticipated this scenario and used a 2nd Santa Anita race in the wager instead of the Laurel race, considering that the storm has been expected since Monday.) Aqueduct looks to have been spared from the storm's wrath, which will certainly please Gary Contessa and Co. who hope to stay on track towards the Gotham with slick Eightyfiveinafifty who looks like an unbettable dominator in today's Whirlaway. (And by the way, this is a perfect opportunity to sign up for NYRA's new text alert system that will let you know about cancellations, P6 carryovers and more..)

GULFSTREAM/SANTA ANITA WITH GREAT CARDS: I know it's more fun and fashionable to gripe about small fields and how terrible racing is in general, but even Debbie Downer would be hard-pressed to complain about today's Gulfstream and Santa Anita cards. In addition to the Donn, GP Turf H. and crazy Suwannee, Hallandale hosts 3 terrific ALW's and 2 sophomore MSW's. ATR regular Rick Hammerle gives Santa Anita fans a stakes-laden treat today that received the enhancement of carryovers with $85k in the P6 and $41k in the Super High 5 as well. And Sunday's Super Bowl lead-up slates are also solid, with the Hallandale Beach S. in So. FL and the San Antonio at Arcadia. My looks at GP and SA below.

THAT CHARLES CELLA? The Charles Cella that is being hailed as racing's greatest showman and promoter ever.. an equine Barnum as it were.. is he the same Charles Cella that in the early 90's vindictively undermined the American Championship Racing Series single-handed? Same guy, right?


GULFSTREAM PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Solid group and Kerouac, who should move up on lawn, particularly interesting at big number. Zito notoriously dreadful with grass debuters though, so tread lightly. El Kingdom, similarly likely to benefit from move to sod, another value option in good race. Note AE #14 Person of Interest (4-1) becomes a runner of interest should he get in..

Most Likely: #11 Lonesome Street 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Beau Choix 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sea of Sea 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Kerouac 12-1 7th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Pow Wow 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Day of Destiny 5-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Nadal 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Sun Dance Moon 8-1 9th


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Boots Ahead 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Sincero 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sleepless Knight 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 A. P. Ridge 12-1 7th

$1 Exacta (10-6) Paid $44.20
$1 Trifecta (10-6-4) Paid $132.20



8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Wildcat Frankie 9-5 WON
Best Value: #8 Tuvia's Force 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Overcommunication 3-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Bank the Eight 6-1 2nd


9th: 25th GP Turf H. (G1), 4+, 9f-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Court Vision 8-5 WON (Via DQ)
Best Value: #1 Le Grand Cru 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Never On Sunday 2-1 2nd


10th: 52nd Donn H. (G1), 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Quality Road 7-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Past the Point 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Mambo Meister 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Duke of Mischief 5-1 8th


11th: 63rd Suwannee River (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-Outer Turf (Super)

Best Value: #7 Indigo North 12-1 6th
Most Likely: #5 Cable 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #12 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-8
9: 1-3-4
10: 4-6-8
11: 5-7-8/SCR-10-11-12/SCR

2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36

$.50 Pick 4 (1-3-4-11) Paid $26.95


Press:

8: 1
9: 3
10: 4
11: 5-7-8/SCR-10-11-12/SCR

1x1x1x4 = 4 x $3 = $12

$1 Pick 4 (1-3-4-11) Paid $53.90 x 3 = $162.70


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-06-2010 at 05:40 PM.
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