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#1
10-20-2009, 07:58 PM
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Some numbers from first half of KEE fall
Using Keeneland's terrific polycapping database, I've put together a few numbers on the winners of only poly races for the first half of the meet. Small sample size, but what the hell, maybe there's something to be learned.
# of polytrack races: 65 avg. half-mile position of winner: 2.4 lengths behind winners with prior polytrack start: 47 of 65 winners without prior polytrack start: 18 of 65 (7 of them had at least one turf start) winners with prior polytrack win: 32 of 65 winners' last race surface: dirt - 9 AWS - 26 turf - 25 none (FTS) - 5 winners with last workout at KEE: 24 of 65 winners with last workout on AWS: 37 of 65 posts 1-2: 7-for-130 (5.4%) posts 3-5: 20-for-195 (10.3%) posts 6-10: 32-for-274 (11.7%) posts 11-14: 6-for-52 (11.5%) hot barns McPeek - 31/6-4-6 ($2.80 ROI) Arnold - 12/4-3-1 ($6.31 ROI) Proctor - 10/3-1-1 ($2.97 ROI) cold barns Lukas - 16/0-0-0 Harty - 8/0-0-1 Asmussen - 7/0-0-1 Foley - 9/0-1-1 Wilkes - 14/0-2-3 
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#3
10-20-2009, 08:51 PM
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Quote:
Inclusive And Greater 4-40 (.10) 0-25 (.00) 0-40 (.00) 3-25 (.12) 2-40 (.05) 5-25 (.20) 4-40 (.10) 1-25 (.04) 6-40 (.15) 2-25 (.08) 3-40 (.08) 2-24 (.08) 3-39 (.08) 4-23 (.17) 4-37 (.11) 2-18 (.11) 5-33 (.15) 1-16 (.06) 5-30 (.17) 3-14 (.21) 1-22 (.05) 2-11 (.18) 3-11 (.27) 0-6 (.00) 0-0 (.00) 0-1 (.00) 0-0 (.00) 0-1 (.00)
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#5
10-20-2009, 10:54 PM
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Quote:
# of polytrack races: 729 avg. half-mile position of winner: 2.19 lengths behind Top sires: Tale of the Cat 17, Unbridled's Song 16, AP Indy 14, Giant's Causeway 13, Dynaformer 12, Storm Cat 12, Pulpit 12, Grand Slam 12, Distorted Humor 11, Smart Strike 10, Indian Charlie 10 Average exacta: $131 Average trifecta: $955 Previous race at distance longer than start: 200/729 Previous race at distance shorter than start: 382/729 Same distance: 147/729 Route to Sprint: 119/520 Sprint to Sprint: 354/520 Sprint to Route: 37/209 Route to Route: 172/209 winners with prior polytrack start: 416 of 661 (excluding FTS) winners without prior polytrack start: 245 of 661 (71 of them had at least one turf start) winners with prior polytrack win: 227 of 661 (excluding FTS) winners' last race surface: dirt - 217 AWS - 266 turf - 178 none (FTS) - 68 winners with last workout at KEE: 328 of 729 winners with last workout on AWS: 399 of 729
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#6
10-20-2009, 10:56 PM
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Of course the database nerd had to come dump all over my DrugS impression. Shouldn't you be on a honeymoon or something?
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#7
10-20-2009, 10:59 PM
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Another important note:
only TWO firsters have won route maidens. One was a 2yo in the fall, and the other was in a dreadful MSW for 4&up in the spring. Keep this in mind for the upcoming portion of the meet where there are 8 races scheduled for maidens going long.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#8
10-20-2009, 11:00 PM
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Quote:
You knew I had this stuff up my sleeve waiting for the right time for it though 
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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