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#1
08-31-2009, 05:56 AM
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8/31: Saratoga (Day 30; Saratoga Dew)
Closed out terrific Travers Weekend Sunday with what I thought was in many ways, my best day of handicapping of the meet. Every winner except for off the turf Maiden Claiming victor Chief Tomoka (6th) was available in the selections, with Best Value tabs Afrikaner ($11.00), Piazza Di Spagna ($22.40) and Valuable Lady ($35.40) leading the charge. Wide net P4 plays had potential to catch the $350 early and $1,000 late quads, while 6 rolling P3's of $41, $125, $115, $187, $33 and $425 (to close out the 9th-11th), littered the afternoon. 4 tris and 9 exactas were out there for key and box players as well. Hope you did very well...
Week 5 of the session ends with rather entertaining card Monday... Catch Seth Merrow and I 10:30-11:30 on Capital OTB-TV's "Call to the Post" this morning. Tim Ice and Kent Desormeaux join us. And don't miss Andy Beyer joining me on 'At the Races' this afternoon! Streaming (TV) video: http://www.capitalotb.com Streaming (ATR) audio: http://www.stevebyk.com SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: S/HCP, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Cavallo Pazzo 2-1 WON Best Value: #1 Jack On the Rocks 4-1 5th Next Best: #2 James Wilfred 3-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Executive Search 9-2 7th 2nd: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 For Love Alone 2-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Won Token 3-1 WON Best Value: #2 Laylaben 4-1 4th Super Add: #7 Louisa Mae 6-1 5th 3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Distinctively 2-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Film Charm 8-5 WON Exotics Use: #5 Patience Drive 3-1 2nd 4th: Mollie Wilmot, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Platinum 2-1 WON Best Value: #1 Lawless Falls 7-2 4th Next Best: #6 Stone Legacy 6-1 2nd 5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Check SCR's at 11am as #9 All Zipped Up (6-1) would need to be used in multis should he draw in.. Most Likely: #2e Contessa entry 7-2 9th Best Value: #5 Conga King 15-1 10th Next Best: #3 Quick Money 5-2 8th Exotics Use: #4 Thundering Roar 4-1 2nd <$75 P4 Play: 2: 2-3-6 3: 3-6 4: 1-3 5: 2-3-4-5-8-9 3x2x2x6 = $72 6th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e Rice entry 3-1 WON/5th Best Value: #2 Baton Rouge 6-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Dorian Will 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Sydney Road 12-1 7th 7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5,5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super) Consider using underlaid #2 Petecarol (7-2) and #5 Loyal Leader (SCR'D) in multis, but don't believe they are any better than the 4 below.. Best Value: #10 Hudson Landing 10-1 3rd Most Likely: #1 Great Attack 4-1 WON Next Best: #8 Pakula 8-1 8th Super Add: #13 Shamroge 8-1 7th 8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Best betting race of the day.. 12-1 on #12 Urban Flight is juicy, but he'll need a trip to be worked out under Garcia.. Many others are capable of board hits at bonus tote.. Fun affair. Most Likely: #1 Big Al 9-2 2nd Best Value: #12 Urban Flight 12-1 WON Exotics Use: #7 Blue Lion 10-1 8th Super Add: #3 Blazing Dynamo 7-2 6th 9th: 6th Saratoga Dew, F&M-3+, 9f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 My Dinah 5-2 3rd Best Value: #5 What a Pair 5-1 6th Next Best: #9 Borrowing Base 4-1 5th Super Add: #1 Yet Again 6-1 2nd 10th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super) Most Likely: #6 Ruff and Ready 5-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Skagerrak 3-1 5th Best Value: #3 Dancing Tin Man 6-1 3rd Super Add: #2b Jamaludin WON <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-8-10-13 8: 1-7-12 9: 5-6-9 10: 5-6 4x3x3x3 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-02-2009 at 04:16 AM. 
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#2
08-31-2009, 08:20 AM
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7TH off the turf... 10th moves to the Mellon...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
08-31-2009, 03:59 PM
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Thanks for pointing out the 12 Steve, was able to get a nice win place on him which I never would have had without you pointing out in the 8th race!
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