8/3: Saratoga (Day 6/Amsterdam)

[Kasept]

Spa Sunday couldn't match Saturday's intensity as lousy weather dulled the crowd. Still struggling to find P4 paydirt, but isoltated exotic hits and/or OK P3's continue to justify the efforts. Opener's $67 tri and $93 1st-3rd P3 got the day going, but Parisella omission in the 5th quashed my early quad try. Schosberg-Fried runaway in the 6th got P3's going again though, and 6th-8th ($80) and 7th-9th ($70) returns felt overlaid given the relatively easy to find winners.

Was assured of a nice profit on the day in the Fourstardave as the tabs produced $172.75 triple and $819 super in a very exciting affair. For whatever reason, the 'Dave' has been a very productive spot for me personally, as a Dr. Kashnikow-Tubrok exacta 10+ years ago provided a similar bonanza, and there have been 1 or 2 other nice hits in this lawn tussle since then. Hope you did well!

Week One concludes Monday with a nice card that likely will lose some, or all, of its' grass events thanks to a driving downpour before Sunday's nightcap. Seth Merrow and I are doing 'Cal to the Post' this morning on Capital OTB-TV 12 this morning at 10:30. Stream available at http://www.capitalotb.com.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Gracious Victory 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sophisticated Lass 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #2 O'Sotopretty 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 No Rhyme or Reason 10-1 4th

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $18.10
$1 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $45.50
$1 Superfecta (1-2-7-5) Paid $414.50


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Most Happy Fella 2-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Elsaroarin 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Pletcher entry 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Wise Stop 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $75.50
$1 Trifecta (1-6-9) Paid $305


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Off the turf...

Most Likely: #8 SCR
Best Value: #6 Overlap 10-1 WON
Next Best: #2 King Kitten 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1a/1x Pletcher entry 7-2 2nd

$2 Exacta (6-1) Paid $43.25
$1 Pick 3 (1-1-6) 3 Correct Paid $257.00


4th: MSW, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Taking the stance that none of the ML favorites are particularly good in oddball race..

Best Value: #7 Lieutenant 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Whirling Thunder 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Chapin Beach 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 En Fuego 4-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Off the turf..

OFF THE TURF: 5/WON-9/2nd-10-4


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-7-9
3: 1-2-6
4: 1-2-3-6-7-8
5: 5

4x3x6x1 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (1-6-3-1/2/5/6/11) Paid $1,434


6th: Fleet Indian, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Dance Gal Dance 5-2 WON
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #7 Karakorum Fugitive 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Silvercup Baby 10-1 5th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Kristi With a K 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Pull Dancer 5-1 WON
Next Best: #12 La Mousse 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Esperanza d'Oro 12-1 10th


8th: 17th Amsterdam (Gr. II), 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Quality Road 6-5 WON
Next Best: #1 Everyday Heroes 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Capt. Candyman Can 7-2 2nd


9th: Tap the Admiral, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD, Super)

Scratch Mott's Tamborim who has been sold..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Vindication 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Together Indy 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Jack Spratt 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Golden Mexico 6-1 2nd

10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Lone Cypress 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Johnny's Surprise 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Comeback 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 True That 6-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Driven by Saarland 6-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-9
8: 1-4-6
9: 1-9
10: 1-2-4-8

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve