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#1
01-15-2009, 08:31 AM
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1/15: Santa Anita (NOW $461k FRIDAY)
Struggled mightily Wednesday at both NY and Florida as P4's proved challenging from several standpoints. At Aqueduct, I lost early as ticket structure doomed the play, despite winners that were not that hard to identify (P4 returned $200). Gulfstream was a different story as the deep fields produced sizeable payouts on plausible but elusive types for a $778 return. Hope you did OK as I wasn't much help...
$103,000 P6 pot to start today at Arcadia.. SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: MDN CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 James Prior 2-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Forster Hall 3-1 WON Exotics Use: #1 Lucius Antonius 7-2 2nd 4th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Filter 6-1 5th Best Value: #4 Hot n' Dusty 12-1 10th Next Best: #7 Sterling Misty 10-1 9th Super Add: #9 Summertime 7-2 7th 5th: CLM, 4yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Homemade Brew 2-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Lucky Striker 4-1 2nd Next Best: #4 SCR 6th: MSW, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Lavender Touch 5-2 2nd Best Value: #4 Keira's Way 10-1 5th Next Best: #10 More Than Music 4-1 6th Super Add: #6 Kicken Vixen 5-1 4th 7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Heathersdaddysbaby 7-2 7th Best Value: #7 We Will Rock You 5-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Squeeze Me Tight 9-2 9th Super Add #9 Pretty Carina 3-1 6th 8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super High 5) Most Likely: #4 Coleville 7-2 2nd Next Best: #6 Hasty Treand 5-2 WON Best Value: #9 Cole's Favorite 5-1 9th Exotics Use: #7 Capt. Pike 4-1 4th High 5 Play: #2 SCR <$200 P6 Play: 3: 6 4: 1-2-3-4-7-8-9-10 5: 1-3 6: 4-9-10 7: 4 8: 4-6 1x8x2x3x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 5: 1-3 6: 4-9-10 7: 4-5-7-9 8: 4-6-9 2x3x4x3 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-16-2009 at 05:11 AM. 
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#2
01-15-2009, 10:23 AM
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Something isn't right about that Coleville. Smith rides in the race before, but isn't back on Coleville in the last race. Smith is damn near the adopted son of the Moss twosome. A Red light couldn't be more bright.
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#3
01-15-2009, 10:29 AM
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Your right, but the colt could have one more good race in him. They are dropping to cash out prior to sending him to the bench for while (my theory only). As capital is harder to come by, I expect to see more and more quality horses in claiming races as the risk of losing them is lowered. Get the cash is the name of the game.
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#4
01-15-2009, 10:47 AM
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#5
01-15-2009, 10:53 AM
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If you look, his stride is like short n' choppy in that 1st race he had. He made a decent move, but the stride ain't looking that good(to me.) Why does Moss have a horse with Sherman to begin with? It's like the back legs have a big stride, and the front legs have a choppy lil stride. Ran good enough to beat maiden claimers, but (I ask again) why doesn't Smith want the thousand bucks that would come his way for winning tonite on him?
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#6
01-15-2009, 11:12 AM
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don't count out North Rodeo at 8-1 in the 4th. Highest speed number on the downhill course that came in a 150k stakes two races back... with horse now dropping into $48k allow. Wish wasn't in the 1 hole, but I think has a real shot to win.
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#7
01-15-2009, 11:58 AM
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North Rodeo will go off second choice...just a stupid ML.
Another one to watch for is Ms. Olympio at a big price. Watch the reply..Raffy ran her up the rear of someone, then when she got clear he didnt move. Last edited by Rootdog1 : 01-15-2009 at 12:31 PM.
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#8
01-15-2009, 12:09 PM
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#9
01-15-2009, 01:56 PM
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SA P6 SCR'S:
Race 5 #4 Flew First Class Race 8 #2 Belongs to Gotham
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#16
01-15-2009, 06:14 PM
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this track is un playable..they stiff faves bury themselfs behind horses..ect..its a joke
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#17
01-15-2009, 06:43 PM
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I think there are good values in later races....
early races are predictable small field chalky.. go narrow times X
now.. I did not see Han Moon coming although when you see a small trainer like that who decides to own a lightly race horse... but seeing Bejarano allowed to go off at 11-1.. or Rosario get away for at 7-1 when if you look at the PP's the horse ran an 80+ as a FTS while the Han Moon's happen.. I think the top riders get live horses and I think on the poly better riders have better timing of when to hit the button..whatever the PP's tell the general public didn't mean to get off on a rant, I could be wrong, I/L
__________________
"I got a home equity loan....every year I throw a big party and stick the house with the bill!" Homer Simpson
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#18
01-15-2009, 07:16 PM
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$461,000
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
01-15-2009, 09:43 PM
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#20
01-15-2009, 09:58 PM
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I can't disagree. I'd like to, but I just can't.
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