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#1
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![]() I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.
My budget is $300.00 My picks for now are: $170.00 – Big Brown to Win Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati Across The Board $8 Macho Again Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane Across The Board $10 Casino Drive Total 300.00 I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick. |
#2
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![]() Seriously.....any win bet on BIG Brown is not the brightest of ideas.
The horse will be 1/5 or even 1/9. So what can you possibly stand to make betting to win in this situation? Load up on your exactas, and take a shot....... If you are going to go to Belmont in person, i would bet a 2.00 ticket on BB and save it.... |
#3
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![]() The $170.00 to win on Big Brown, if he wins you make peanuts (well probably about $30) and if he somehow loses your out $170.00 obviously. Doesn't sound like a good bet to me but what do I know, I make plenty of stupid bets. Why not put $100 to win on Big Brown if you really want to bet him to win, and take the other $70 playing a $35 exacta Denis of Cork, Tale of Ekati with Big Brown. That's if you like DofC and ToE. I think Anak Nakal might love the distance and nab a piece as well.
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#4
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#5
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![]() Well based on those responses, and as much as I hate to do it, I guess I won't bet Big Brown to Win. As Wyatt Earp said to Johnny Ringo in the movie Tombstone, "There's no money in it."
Maybe just Exactas and Trifectas? Is that a better strategy? I hate the fact that CD is somewhat injured and makes it hard to factor him. |
#6
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If it were me I'd use him over Macho, Tale of Ekati and Anak over all or something like that, and single him in a Pick 3 or 4. Anyway, best of luck. |
#7
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#8
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![]() Bet a different race.
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#9
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#10
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![]() That's a pretty chaotic race and it's probably not on TV.
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#11
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![]() With the question marks over Big Brown's quarter crack and Casino Drive's stone bruise, I'd suggest passing the race. Just enjoy the spectacle.
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#12
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#13
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![]() http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23024
Why would ABC or ESPN want to show a world-class G1 that many of their viewers will have bets on? |
#14
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#15
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![]() Play the field 'to show' minus Big Brown.
That's the only way your going to make any $$$$$$ |
#16
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#17
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#18
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roll with it roller doc |
#19
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#20
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__________________
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