11/3: CD P4; SA-Cal Cup

Kasept · #1 11-03-2007, 05:40 AM

Was still smarting from missing AQU P4 Thursday and took Friday off to decompress. Thought highly enough of Classic Marilyn to include as exotics fodder but left her off a $54 play that was sent in and missed a $1,200+ hit. Ouch.. Cal Cup at Santa Anita Saturday, and pair of quality stakes at the Downs as part of a tricky Late P4..

CHURCHILL DOWNS

8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

Best Value: #1 Over Under 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #12 Whitefish 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 South Atlantic 3-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Somethingintheway 30-1 2nd

9th: The Ack Ack H. (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Simon Pure 5-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Sun King 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Istan 5-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Casino Evil 10-1 DNF

10th: The Chilukki (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 High Heels 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Rolling Sea 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Windy 7-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Change Up 6-1 4th

11th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super)

Best Value: #9 Warrior Girl 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 Sans Reward 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 April Frost 7-2 WON
Super Add: #2 Transmit 8-1 4th

@$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-9-12
9: 3-5-8
10: 1-3
11: 3-7-9 (P3 $47)

3x3x2x3 = $54

SANTA ANITA

3rd: Cal Cup Juv. Fillies, 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ice Lady 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Runforthemoneybaby 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Cantina's Rose 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Love Ya Bye 5-1 7th

4th: Cal Cup Distance H., F&M-3+, 10f-T (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Fortunate Event 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 IMAGINE 7-5 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Memorette 2-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Special Heather 5-1 7th

5th: Cal Cup Matron H., F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Fun Logic 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #2 Somethinaboutlaura 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Bai and Bai 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Film Editor 15-1 6th

6th: Cal Cup Distaff H., F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, P3, P6, Super)

Best Value: #6 Kalookan Dancer 10-1 10th
Most Likely: #8 Dancing Edie 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Excessiveobsession 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Lady Gamer 3-1 2nd

7th: Cal Cup Juvenile, 2yo, 8.5f (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Wise Mandate 10-1 13th
Most Likely: #5 Sierra Sunset 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #10 Harlene 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Youarefun 15-1 9th

8th: Cal Cup Sprint H., 3+, 6f (DD, P3, P4, Super)

Best Value: #4 Areyoutalkintome 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Bilo 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Johnny Eves 7-2 7th
Super Add: #6 Bonfante 3-1 2nd

9th: Cal Cup Mile H., 3+, 1m-T (DD, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Jacks Wild 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Epic Power 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Super Strut 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Now Victory 6-1 10th

10th: Cal Cup Classic H., 3+, 9f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Tiz Afire 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #10 Lava Man 7-5 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Bold Chieftan 9-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Celtic Dreamin 6-1 2nd

11th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f-DHT (Super)

Best Value: #5 Skimmetry 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #11 Brian the Bold 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Warren's Scooter 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Sacred Mountain 15-1 6th

<$100 P6 Play:

6: 5-6-8
7: 5-8
8: 3
9: 1-5
10: 5-10
11: 5-11

3x2x1x2x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 3-4
9: 1-5
10: 5-10-11
11: 2-3-5-11

2x2x3x4 = $48

Good luck!
Steve

pointman · #2 11-03-2007, 10:58 AM

Steve, you were better off taking a day away from the Big A yesterday. Played pk4's with pmac, we still can't make a case for Song Senor in the 7th. No Big A today?

Kasept · #3 11-03-2007, 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman

Steve, you were better off taking a day away from the Big A yesterday. Played pk4's with pmac, we still can't make a case for Song Senor in the 7th. No Big A today?

No.. Heavy weather (tailend of the hurricane remnants) threatened so I looked westward...

-BT- · #4 11-03-2007, 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

No.. Heavy weather (tailend of the hurricane remnants) threatened so I looked westward...

big A cancled today due to high winds.... great, here i come delaware park

-bt-

Kasept · #5 11-03-2007, 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT-

big A cancled today due to high winds.... great, here i come delaware park

-bt-

Thx BT.. I guess I made the right call... And DEL has a nice card today.. Pino going for 6,000... The Spooky Mulder-Bound Notebook Moscarelli Memorial (8th)... Should be OK!

pointman · #6 11-03-2007, 11:47 AM

Good call Steve, wasted a lot of time capping Aqueduct. Have to start from scratch, going to move to your plays at Churchill and SA.

-BT- · #7 11-03-2007, 11:54 AM

the early part of the Churchill downs card could drive a man to drink...

i do like Simon Pure later in the card though

guess my best option is to wait on the left coast

-bt-

pmacdaddy · #8 11-03-2007, 11:56 AM

Smart move skipping AQU...

Guess I will look to tomorrow... Maybe a little Curchill / Santa Anita to fill the void...

pointman · #9 11-03-2007, 03:01 PM

Playing a pk4 with pmac at Churchill:

8: 1,4,9,12
9: 3,5,8
10: 1,2,3,8
11: 3,7,8

Good luck to everyone playing!

Kasept · #10 11-03-2007, 03:16 PM

Someone please come pick up the knives from my kitchen... CD 8th... Somethingintheway at 77-1.. nosed at the wire. Sickened. Did OK with place price great, but... OMG..

onebadbeast · #11 11-03-2007, 03:18 PM

wow u picked out a good one! i shoulda bet across on that one!

Kasept · #12 11-03-2007, 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onebadbeast

wow u picked out a good one! i shoulda bet across on that one!

Dude,

Just went $5/$5, but the exacta box (1-9-11-12) looked home free yards from the wire... If I'm smart I stop right now today..

#13 11-03-2007, 03:28 PM

Churchill Race 9
Pick 3 2,3,5/1,3,8/3,8

Sun King? No value, no thanks.

ArlJim78 · #14 11-03-2007, 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Someone please come pick up the knives from my kitchen... CD 8th... Somethingintheway at 77-1.. nosed at the wire. Sickened. Did OK with place price great, but... OMG..

that horse looked like it was going to be passed all through the stretch by the 12, and in the end held off that one, only to be caught by the three from out of the clouds. good selection.