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#1
06-28-2007, 10:30 AM
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Welcome back, Leo!
Godolphin day at Belmont.....
 The return of Leo (finally!), Minefield possible, Palace Episode and Mathman..... can't wait! Belmont Park - June 29th, 2007 - Race 6 Estimated Local Post Time: 5:32 PM Race Type: Allowance Optional Claiming Breed: Thoroughbred Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward Purse: $47,000 Distance: Seven Furlongs Surface: Turf Post Horse Jockey Owner Age Sex Weight Trainer Breeder Odds Claiming Price 1 Kennel Up (FL) Eibar Coa Winning Move Stable 6 Horse 121 Kim Laudati J. V. Shields Jr. 6/1 $50,000 2 Coach Kent (FL) Raul I. Rojas Seventeen Racing Stable 4 Colt 121 Frank J. Russo Mr. & Mrs. Samuel H. Rogers Jr. 20/1 $0 3 Silver Timber (NY) Cornelio H. Velasquez Invictus Farm 4 Colt 121 Linda Rice Sez Who Thoroughbreds 9/5 $0 4 Out of Gwedda (KY) Kent J. Desormeaux Pegasus Dream Stable 3 Colt 116 William Badgett, Jr. James H. Heyward 5/1 $0 5 Leo (GB) Edgar S. Prado Godolphin Stable 4 Gelding 121 Saeed bin Suroor Hascombe and Valiant Studs 2/1 $0 6 Bon Marie (FL) Channing Hill Pearson, Max, H. 6 Gelding 121 W. Robert Bailes Marablue Farm 8/1 $50,000 7 Ryan Is Flying (NY) Fernando Jara Ricatto, Jr., Michael 7 Gelding 121 Diane Balsamo Teresa Maher 12/1 $50,000 8 True Cause (KY) Garrett K. Gomez Godolphin Stable 4 Colt 121 Saeed bin Suroor Darley 2/1 $0 MTO Graynumberfive (MD) Michael J. Luzzi McRacehorse Stable 4 Colt 121 Leah Gyarmati Bittersweet Farm & T. Mason Grasty 6/1 $50,000 MTO Bold Mon (KY) Cornelio H. Velasquez Clear Stars Stable 4 Colt 121 Richard E. Schosberg Pollock Farms 10/1 $50,000 MTO Minefield (KY) Garrett K. Gomez Godolphin Stable 3 Colt 116 Saeed bin Suroor Ashby Thoroughbreds 2/1 $0 MTO Rumspringa (KY) Winning Move Stable, Lerner, Harold, Celebrity Group Stables 5 Gelding 121 Kim Laudati Nancy C. Shuford 6/1 $50,000 Belmont Park - June 29th, 2007 - Race 8 Estimated Local Post Time: 6:36 PM Race Type: Allowance Optional Claiming Breed: Thoroughbred Age Restriction: Four Year Old and Upward Purse: $50,000 Distance: One Mile Surface: Turf 1 Mathematician (IRE) Garrett K. Gomez Godolphin Stable 5 Horse 120 Saeed bin Suroor Barouche Stud Ireland Ltd 3/1 $0 2 Raceland (NY) Eibar Coa Michael T. Martin 4 Gelding 120 Richard A. Violette, Jr. Michael T. Martin 15/1 $0 3 Rock Lobster (FL) Kent J. Desormeaux Pompa, Jr., Paul, P. 4 Colt 120 Patrick L. Reynolds Luis de Hechavarria 5/1 $0 4 Thunder Pass (KY) Javier Castellano Dogwood Stable 4 Colt 120 Frank A. Alexander Mrs. J. G. Jones Sr., D. R. Houchin,J. W. Hirshmann, R. J. Sullivan et al 12/1 $0 5 El Prado Rob (KY) Channing Hill Ochre House Stable 6 Horse 120 Glenn B. DiSanto Mill Ridge Farm, Ltd., Dr. John A Chandler, C. R. McGaughey III & Jamm, Ltd 12/1 $75,000 6 Woodlander (KY) Cornelio H. Velasquez Winning Move Stable, Minnella, Martin, J. 5 Horse 120 Kim Laudati Mike Connelly 8/1 $75,000 7 Real Quality (IA) Alan Garcia Three Gin Guys Stable 5 Gelding 120 Thomas Albertrani Woodsfield Farm 6/1 $0 8 Palace Episode (KY) Jean-Luc Samyn Godolphin Stable 4 Colt 120 Saeed bin Suroor Catesby W. Clay & Runnymede Farm Inc. 3/1 $0 9 Giant Basil (FL) Edgar S. Prado Live Oak Plantation 4 Colt 123 Robert J. Frankel Live Oak Stud 9/5 $0 MTO Thundering Success (FL) 
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#2
06-28-2007, 10:39 AM
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Where exactly do these Godolphin horses that are constantly returning off layoffs of over a year go during their respective hiatuses? Poor Leo was yet another victim of their incessant private purchases.
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#3
06-28-2007, 10:44 AM
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I believe Leo left Dubai for Belmont at the end of January.....
Some of their horses do quite well after the long layoffs..... Afrashad, Army of Angels, I believe Librettist as well..... Aaaah well. Wish i were going.
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#4
06-28-2007, 10:52 AM
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The reality is these Godolphin horses are being dramatically overbet, one after the other, and pretty much severely underperforming their odds. Sure, they have some exceptional talents, and these horses can overcome the layoffs ( though moreso in Europe ), but people are betting year plus layoff horses as though there is nothing to be concerned about. This is most certainly a recipe for pari-mutual disaster. Case in point, Mathematician in tomorrow's 8th race.....why on earth would anyone take 3:1 on him last time?
To be honest, the most interesting Godolphin entrant tomorrow is buried on the AEs as an MTO in Leo's race......Minefield. A lot of people, myself not included, were excited by him last year. Personally I'm surprised to see Godolphin rushing him back after just seven months. Certainly he needs another six to ten months to really be ready for another race.
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#6
06-28-2007, 11:03 AM
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Quote:
 I understand your thoughtful analysis and good points all..... It's just that i look at the same thing through different eyes. Very happy to see both Leo and Palace Episode entered.
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#7
06-28-2007, 11:03 AM
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Quote:
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#8
06-28-2007, 11:06 AM
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Quote:
I'm always glad to see these horses back, though I wish they came back more often and after less of a layoff, but from a betting standpoint these Godolphin horses are usually reasonable bet againsts.
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