8/6: Saratoga (Day 8/Morrissey)

[Kasept]

Early bombs and chalk the rest of the way produced a generally unsatisfying afternoon at the windows Wednesday with break-even late P4 and a couple of modest win and exotics mutuels. No time to comment extensively except to say the P6 was eminently hittable and my inability to lay out the multi-ticket approach thanks to time pressures cost you the very nice $2,367 payout. Hope you did OK... Good action today!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: A. P. Smithwick (Gr. II), 4+, 16.5f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Slip Away 5-2
Best Value: #7 Mixed Up 5-1
Next Best: #4 Preemptive Strike 5-1
Super Add: #1 Planets Aligned 7-2


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Raffie's Rose 8-1
Most Likely: #1 (POE) Amiga Del Sol 2-1
Next Best: #7 Our Lady Liberty 12-1


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Past the Point 2-1
Best Value: #2 Garifine 12-1
Next Best: #1 Spin Master 5-1
Super Add: #6 Cave's Valley 3-1


4th: CLM, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Awesome Mich 12-1
Most Likely: #7 Pluto 3-1
Next Best: #6 Vindicat 6-1
Super Add: #10 Moving Violation 12-1

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 1-7 with 1-4-6-7-8-10 with 1-4-6-7-8-10 with 1-4-6-7-8-10 (2x5x4x3 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Jung Man Scot 9-5
Best Value: #1 (POE) Wana Play 12-1
Next Best: #3e Serpe entry 6-1
Exotics Use: #9 Blue Horseshoe 6-1


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-9
3: 1-2-7
4: 1-6-7-10
5: 1-3-5

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Pletcher AE-12 Ruff and Ready a major player if drawing in...

Best Value: #9 Big Jerome 10-1
Most Likely: #10 Skagerrak 6-1
Next Best: #8 Big Stick 5-1
Super Add: #5 Gaelic Storm 10-1


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very difficult turf route for juvies.. Confusing bunch..

Most Likely: #8 Petecarol 4-1
Best Value: #4e Ramsey entry 12-1
Next Best: #5 Novel Notion 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Straight Talk 10-1


8th: John Morrissey-NYB, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Driven by Success 1-1
Best Value: #4 Ferocious Fires 5-1
Next Best: #5 Premium Wine 4-1
Super Add: #7 Law Enforcement 6-1


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Lyke a Hurricane 8-1
Most Likely: #8 Separatist 3-1
Next Best: #4 Double Domino 6-1
Super Add: #9 Paul's Ace 8-1


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Live on the Edge 5-2
Best Value: #5 Big Flirt 10-1
Next Best: #10 Cullinan 7-2
Super Add: #4 Mendelssohn 9-2


<$75 P4 Play:

High wire act.. A nearly impossible sequence..

7: 1-3-4-5-8-10
8: 1-4
9: 4-7-8
10: 3-5

6x2x3x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[booner]

After looking at this card last night, my head was spinning. Thought it was just me. At least you have given me some reassurance that I'm not losing my mind. Tough card indeed.

Steve, what don't you like about #1 City Sneakers in the 9th? I know he is stepping up in class, but this group doesn't look to have accomplished much. And Linda Rice usually has them ready to fire in these turf sprints at Saratoga. Yeah, I would like better than the 7/2 ML, but for some reason, he still looks really good to me........

Good luck today!!

[atolunch]

Double check race #6, think Big Stick is #8.

BOL today, does look like a brutal card!

[herkhorse]

Byk on the jumpers!

[smuthg]

Any word on the horse who didn't finish the 1st?

[South Beach Luv]

Originally Posted by smuthg

Any word on the horse who didn't finish the 1st?

That was a bad trip from the start, hope they are ok.

I jumped on the Byk train in a P3, used 1,9 then singled the 7 and am alive to all Steve's picks in the 4th. #10 getting up would be

[DJARUM]

Originally Posted by smuthg

Any word on the horse who didn't finish the 1st?

"The race was somewhat marred when Rare Bush unseated Xavier Aizpuru after clearing the seventh of nine fences. Thankfully, neither horse nor rider suffered serious injury".

Pricci's Blog

[smuthg]

Originally Posted by DJARUM

"The race was somewhat marred when Rare Bush unseated Xavier Aizpuru after clearing the seventh of nine fences. Thankfully, neither horse nor rider suffered serious injury".

Pricci's Blog

Thanks... good to hear.