8/31: Saratoga (Day 39; JC Gold Cup); Kentucky Downs (Day 3)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Maria Callas 9-5 9th
Next Best: #8 Cosmic Candy Girl 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Athena's Fury 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Spectacular Belle 6-1 8th


5th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (P5, P3, DD)

Spectacular assembly for this famed standard and Pletcher camp looks poised to complete heady summer with Mindframe and Antiquarian lining up here. Can't pass up chance to key Antiquarian (12-1) who can win with a pairing up of his big Suburban try. Johnny V should set up shop stalking Phileas Fogg and Contrary Thinking directly to his inside and get first run. Needs things to go perfectly, but is the best price of those with chance..

Best Value: #8 Antiquarian 12-1 WON ($28.00) ~ BEAT BYK
Next Best: #2 Highland Falls 5-1 3rd-Up via DQ
Exotics Use: #3 Sierra Leone 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #4 Mindframe 2-1 DNF-Lost rider


6th: OC-$100k/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Annelle 15-1 9th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #7 Sea to Sky 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Virgin Colada 2-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Obeissante 8-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Paige Turner 8-1: Half to Speed Boat Beach prepped at Ellis.. 2nd
Next Best: #9 Celebrity Quest 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Lovely Christina 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #5 Fancy N Flight 20-1 10th


P4 Grid:

4: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 7th)


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Tap Into This 3-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #8 Pass the Hat 5-1 9th
Best Value: #10 Vekoma Rides 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Protective 9-2 5th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Royal Guard 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chambersville 10-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Tacticality 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Section 8-1 8th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-9-10 (A), 8-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x1x5 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-8 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-9-10 (A), 8-13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 7th)


10th: Disco Partner, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

With Doncho out, there's not really any clear pacesetter. Dancing Buck has been out over a year and maybe Kendrick takes control and doesn't look back?

Best Value: #1 Dancing Buck 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Twenty Six Black 4-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Outlaw Kid 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Big Invasion 5-1 5th


11th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Vibrant Express 9-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Let's Get Weird 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Lodato 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Army Proud 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8-9-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
11: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x5x2x1 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x5x2x1 = 40 x .50 = $20 (5-8 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

8: 7-8 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8-9-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
11: 10 (A), - (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x5x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (CAAAA): 2x5x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10 (5 in 11th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve