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Old Today, 03:35 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,952
Default 7/19: Monmouth Park (Haskell Day); Saratoga (CCA Oaks/Vanderbilt)

MONMOUTH PARK ~ HASKELL DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Matchmaker (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Sacred Wish 5-2: Class edge but pace uncertain for her.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Segesta 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #6 Five Towns 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Spaliday 7-2 5th


6th: Monmouth Cup (G3), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Just a Touch 3-5: Lays over, though Classic Catch not far off him.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Classic Catch 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Vitality 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Cadet Corps 12-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Sand Pipes 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Main Beach 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Shrug 12-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Fidelightcayut 15-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (.20 Jersey Shore P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lord Berrier 7-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Electric Eel 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Pogi 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Vinsanity 12-1 3rd


9th: Wolf Hill, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Buccherino 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Isivunguvungu 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Nothing Better 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Eamonn 9-2 3rd


10th: Molly Pitcher (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Majestic Oops 6-1: Streaking mare in career best form.. 2nd
Next Best: #8 Power Squeeze SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Randomized 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #1 Candied 3-1 3rd


Cross Country P5 Grid:

MTH 10: 4 (A), - (B), 8 (C) Molly Pitcher
MTH 11: 3-7 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C) United Nations
SAR 10: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C) CCA Oaks
MTH 12: 2-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Haskell
SAR 11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C) Vanderbilt

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 1x2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAAA): 1x2x3x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (8 in MTH 10th)


11th: United Nations (G2), 3+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Rebel Red 9-2: One-eyed wonder gets class check.. 7th BEAT BYK PICK
Next Best: #3 Redistricting 7-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Limited Liability 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Major Dude 15-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 1-5 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8 in 10th)


12th: Haskell (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Journalism 4-5: Marauding star, though not invincible, back for more G1 plunder.. WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #4 Burnham Square 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Gosger 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Goal Oriented 4-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

9: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
12: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-3 in 10th)



SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Roswell coming up to a good one 2nd/break, but 2-1 tough to swallow. With Stall (Strong State) & Bauer (Claire's Run) involved here, good spot to remind that Churchill invaders have been scoring with alacrity..

Best Value: #7 Claire's Run 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Roswell 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Strong State 9-2 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #4 Justthefactsjack 5-1 5th


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Son of a Birch SCR: Entry tough, but Morley charge stretched out well last..
Next Best: #1e Barber Ownership entry 4-5 WON ($3.00)/6th
Exotics Use: #8 Activist Investing 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Oh Really 8-1 3rd


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Wrigleyville 8-1: Keeps improving and look to be controlling speed.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Alimara 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Celtic Charm 9-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Curlin's Angel 5-2 3rd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Stradale 3-1: Kaleem Shah's $1.3MM Yaupon from Asmussen camp.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Growth Equity 5-2: Brown/Klaravich Nyquist out of nice My Dear Venezuela.. 2nd
Best Value: #6 Day One Starter 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Emphasis 4-1 WON ($12.60)


P4 Grid:

4: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
5: 1-4 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
6: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 11f-Inner (Retail Only Late P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 L'Antharis 12-1: As noted by Aragona on ATR, inflated price on major player.. 7th
Next Best: #6 Betterluckythangood 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Mayor of Midnight 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Taraj 9-2 6th


9th: Caress (G3), F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Time to Dazzle 8-1: Best price of the win candidates.. 3rd
Next Best: #5 Pandora's Gift 5-1 DH-5th
Exotics Use: #7 Future Is Now 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #2 Zeitlos 8-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

5: 1-4 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
6: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-7 in 9th)


10th: Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

SCR Sweet Seraphine, La Cara..

Best Value: #4 Take Charge Milady 9-2: Ready for the heavy heads after Monomoy Girl confidence boost.. 4th
Next Best: #1 Immersive 8-5 2nd


11th: Alfred Gwynne Vanderbilt (G2), 4+, 6f (DD)

SCR Skelly..

Best Value: #6 Nash 8-1: This is the spot to get more polished Nash on the upswing.. 6th
Next Best: #4 Mulliken 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Book'em Danno 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #7 Baby Yoda 6-1 5th


12th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Stars and Strides 7-5 7th
Best Value: #3 Vekoma Rides 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Antonio of Venice 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Commuted 12-1 10th


P5 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x2 =128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AACAA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3-5 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

9: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2 =64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AAAC): 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-5 in 12th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : Today at 09:08 PM.
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  #2  
Old Today, 09:21 AM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,674
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LaCara scratched per twitter
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  #3  
Old Today, 09:30 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,952
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SAR - Scratches & Changes

1 #2 Credit Risk Scratched @ 10:24 AM

2 #2 Trinity River Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#11 Tinebar Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#13 Alpha Cat Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#14 Nordic Fyre Scratched @ 10:25 AM

3 #6 Heroneandonly Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#8 Pay the Juice Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#11 Vekinda Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#12 Stewie Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#13 Bustin Away Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#14 Blamicker Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#15 Roofer Scratched @ 10:25 AM
#16 Consider It Done Scratched @ 10:25 AM

5 #3 Won an Award Scratched @ 10:26 AM
#7 Itsallcomintogetha Scratched @ 10:26 AM
#9 Tabeguache Scratched @ 10:26 AM
#10 Film Star Scratched @ 10:26 AM

6 #11 Cailin Dana Scratched @ 10:27 AM
#12 Luckforyou Scratched @ 10:27 AM
#13 Street View Scratched @ 10:27 AM
#14 P Mutter Pickle Scratched @ 10:27 AM

7 #9 Our Magical Moon Scratched @ 10:27 AM

8 #2 Greystone Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#11 Classic Creation Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#12 Snookie Bear Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#13 Dear Dad Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#14 Fuerteventura Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#15 Warrior Richard Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#16 Interceptor Scratched @ 10:28 AM

9 #10 Halina's Forte Scratched @ 10:29 AM
#11 Little Prankster Scratched @ 10:29 AM
#12 Caress Scratched @ 10:29 AM

10 #2 Sweet Seraphine Scratched @ 10:29 AM
#6 La Cara Scratched @ 10:29 AM

11 #1 Skelly Scratched @ 10:30 AM
#2 Full Moon Madness Scratched @ 10:30 AM

12 #8 Executive Order Scratched @ 10:30 AM
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old Today, 09:33 AM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 19,029
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#6 La Cara Scratched @ 10:29 AM
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"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
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  #5  
Old Today, 09:36 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,952
Default

MTH Scratches & Changes

1 #3 Bazzarina Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#6 Classy Disposition Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#11 Civil Notion Scratched @ 10:18 AM

3 #9 J. Belkin Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#13 Trulli Warrior Scratched @ 10:18 AM

4 #7 Virginia City Scratched @ 10:18 AM

6 #2 Rabbit Hound Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#8 Real Sensation Scratched @ 10:18 AM

8 #3 Dither Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#6 Mister Lincoln Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#8 Lloyd Scratched @ 10:18 AM

9 #2 Super Chow Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#9 Ruse Scratched @ 10:18 AM

10 #6 Regaled Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#7 Leslie's Rose Scratched @ 10:18 AM

11 #1 Corruption Scratched @ 10:18 AM
#10 Get Smokin Scratched @ 10:28 AM
#12 Hush of a Storm Scratched @ 10:18 AM

14 #6 Lemon Creek Louie Scratched @ 10:18 AM
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #6  
Old Today, 02:41 PM
Sethcarter Sethcarter is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,120
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I'm confused... At this point if you're a jock or a trainer aren't you saying, " we need to be on the lead or close to the lead today?????????? Or am I seeing it wrong??????
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