Pat Day Mile

[moses]

Is it just me or is this race significantly trickier than it’s been in recent years? (Trick question since Jack Christopher and Jackie’s Warrior were easy picks.)

Both of the top two ML choices look very vulnerable to me. Kangaroo Court has great figures but questions of class and distance. Fort Bragg is probably most likely to hit the board…but most likely to win? Not sure. Echo Again stalking last race makes me wonder what the pace scenario will even be. Could a horse like Frosted Departure steal it? Also some horses with back class from their 2YO season that could run big here like Damon’s Mound or Curly Jack.

Excited for this race, though not excited to possibly get knocked out of the pick 5 in the first leg.

[freddymo]

Is Midnight Rising going to run? I bet him last week and REALLY needed him for second. Naturally, he had a horrid trip I think he was best. If he runs and the jock gives him a decent trip, and the if the pace is 120ish (Timeform) to the half, I expect him to be in the number, the turf fig useless he only ran 1/8th of a mile. I would love to get Damon in the number as well. I think you have to include the Echo Again. He looks like the most talented horse in the race, although a mile might be too much.

Kangaroo is a complete pitch IMO

[moses]

Originally Posted by freddymo

Is Midnight Rising going to run? I bet him last week and REALLY needed him for second. Naturally, he had a horrid trip I think he was best. If he runs and the jock gives him a decent trip, and the if the pace is 120ish (Timeform) to the half, I expect him to be in the number, the turf fig useless he only ran 1/8th of a mile. I would love to get Damon in the number as well. I think you have to include the Echo Again. He looks like the most talented horse in the race, although a mile might be too much.

Kangaroo is a complete pitch IMO

Steve literally just said he’s considering singling Kangaroo Court. I think that’s sort of crazy but maybe it’ll pay off. I know not to read too much into jockey decisions but a bit surprised Prat hops off that horse. I’ve considered tossing. Do we really think he can win while stepping up in class AND stretching out?

The recent trend for winners of this race has been horses who flunked out of Derby preps. Jack Christopher (long layoff) and Funny Duck (turf horse who never won again but paid $80+ to win) are the two exceptions in the last 6 years (Jackie’s Warrior, Rushie, Mr. money, Wild Shot).

[RolloTomasi]

The form is all muddled in this race with confounding turf and all weather races. Most are coming out of two turn races and a few out of atrocious Derby prep efforts.

Kangaroo Court on paper is the only dedicated sprint speed but nonetheless seems vulnerable over the distance. There's other inconsistent speed horses that could try to press. I wonder if he'll be an underlay; thought he'd be ML favorite or close to it.

Curly Jack was briefly a Derby candidate and his CD record is stellar. If you can make excuses why he turned into a pumpkin at Fair Grounds, he looks attractive by the ML. Trainer has had multiple positive tests in recent months.

Gilmore has a solid main track record; didn't see the Bay Shore, but his running line is odd as he lost a ton of ground in the middle of the race & gobbled it back up late to get 2nd.

Damon's Mound won a Grade 2 at Saratoga & crushed Confidence Game in his debut; he was laid up for several months & was tossed on the turf for his comeback. If you can draw a line through that race and figure he's fitter for this he could have a say as well.

General Jim seems a logical choice finishing close to the Wood winner in a troubled trip & then winning the Swale last out.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Though neither particularly need it, Echo Again and Kangaroo Court beating each other to death on the front is a distinct possibility. Provided a fast track, Gun Pilot can sit just off these sit just off these two and roll late, wet or dry.

Don't want to discount General Jim, though 7/8ths looks like his distance and Shug not known for having ready to fire off the layoff, I'll pass.

Tossing the FG starts for Curly Jack - he's a horse for course here and potentially good enough at a price.

Gun Pilot and Curly Jack for me horizontally, adding Lugan Knight and Bourbon Bash as prices underneath vertically

[Thoroughbred Fan]

Echo Again should win.

Superfecta key box 5 with 1,7,9,11